{
 "license": "CC BY 4.0",
 "kind": "council-distinct",
 "generated": "2026-10-23T14:53:37Z",
 "rule": "Dated 22.10.2026. Descriptive: the votes are the timely cells of the counted runs (the same cells as n_eff in council-stats.json). mean_rho_others = the mean over runs of the seat's mean pairwise correlation with the other seats across the markets of the run (seats in 4+ markets or half of them, 3+ seats, 4+ markets). share_against_majority = of the seat's directional cells (probability not 50), the share where its side differs from the majority side of the other seats (2+ directional others, no tie). nearest_seat = the seat with the highest mean correlation with it over the runs they share. Nothing is fitted and nothing here changes a score. In a blind or unsure season the rows are ranked by mean_rho_others (rank 1 = the most distinct) without names and nearest_seat; the names come after the reveal.",
 "seats_named": true,
 "horizons": {
  "1d": {
   "seats": 12,
   "rows": [
    {
     "seat": "nemotron",
     "runs": 1,
     "mean_rho_others": -0.096,
     "directional_cells": 11,
     "share_against_majority": 0.636,
     "nearest_seat": "grok",
     "nearest_rho": 0.533
    },
    {
     "seat": "claude",
     "runs": 5,
     "mean_rho_others": 0.295,
     "directional_cells": 55,
     "share_against_majority": 0.291,
     "nearest_seat": "zai",
     "nearest_rho": 0.507
    },
    {
     "seat": "zai",
     "runs": 3,
     "mean_rho_others": 0.428,
     "directional_cells": 34,
     "share_against_majority": 0.206,
     "nearest_seat": "kimi",
     "nearest_rho": 0.744
    },
    {
     "seat": "mimo",
     "runs": 5,
     "mean_rho_others": 0.496,
     "directional_cells": 57,
     "share_against_majority": 0.158,
     "nearest_seat": "wenxin",
     "nearest_rho": 0.761
    },
    {
     "seat": "gemini",
     "runs": 4,
     "mean_rho_others": 0.501,
     "directional_cells": 45,
     "share_against_majority": 0.267,
     "nearest_seat": "wenxin",
     "nearest_rho": 0.811
    },
    {
     "seat": "meta",
     "runs": 3,
     "mean_rho_others": 0.518,
     "directional_cells": 32,
     "share_against_majority": 0.094,
     "nearest_seat": "deepseek",
     "nearest_rho": 0.789
    },
    {
     "seat": "chatgpt",
     "runs": 4,
     "mean_rho_others": 0.52,
     "directional_cells": 48,
     "share_against_majority": 0.229,
     "nearest_seat": "meta",
     "nearest_rho": 0.718
    },
    {
     "seat": "grok",
     "runs": 5,
     "mean_rho_others": 0.539,
     "directional_cells": 54,
     "share_against_majority": 0.148,
     "nearest_seat": "wenxin",
     "nearest_rho": 0.92
    },
    {
     "seat": "kimi",
     "runs": 2,
     "mean_rho_others": 0.541,
     "directional_cells": 23,
     "share_against_majority": 0.087,
     "nearest_seat": "zai",
     "nearest_rho": 0.744
    },
    {
     "seat": "deepseek",
     "runs": 5,
     "mean_rho_others": 0.542,
     "directional_cells": 56,
     "share_against_majority": 0.089,
     "nearest_seat": "wenxin",
     "nearest_rho": 0.898
    },
    {
     "seat": "stepfun",
     "runs": 3,
     "mean_rho_others": 0.568,
     "directional_cells": 32,
     "share_against_majority": 0.031,
     "nearest_seat": "grok",
     "nearest_rho": 0.807
    },
    {
     "seat": "wenxin",
     "runs": 1,
     "mean_rho_others": 0.693,
     "directional_cells": 11,
     "share_against_majority": 0.182,
     "nearest_seat": "grok",
     "nearest_rho": 0.92
    }
   ]
  },
  "1w": {
   "seats": 12,
   "rows": [
    {
     "seat": "claude",
     "runs": 5,
     "mean_rho_others": 0.013,
     "directional_cells": 48,
     "share_against_majority": 0.375,
     "nearest_seat": "zai",
     "nearest_rho": 0.417
    },
    {
     "seat": "nemotron",
     "runs": 1,
     "mean_rho_others": 0.142,
     "directional_cells": 9,
     "share_against_majority": 0.556,
     "nearest_seat": "grok",
     "nearest_rho": 0.657
    },
    {
     "seat": "chatgpt",
     "runs": 4,
     "mean_rho_others": 0.366,
     "directional_cells": 46,
     "share_against_majority": 0.239,
     "nearest_seat": "wenxin",
     "nearest_rho": 0.851
    },
    {
     "seat": "kimi",
     "runs": 2,
     "mean_rho_others": 0.431,
     "directional_cells": 20,
     "share_against_majority": 0.2,
     "nearest_seat": "zai",
     "nearest_rho": 0.891
    },
    {
     "seat": "gemini",
     "runs": 4,
     "mean_rho_others": 0.48,
     "directional_cells": 44,
     "share_against_majority": 0.159,
     "nearest_seat": "wenxin",
     "nearest_rho": 0.786
    },
    {
     "seat": "grok",
     "runs": 5,
     "mean_rho_others": 0.486,
     "directional_cells": 57,
     "share_against_majority": 0.228,
     "nearest_seat": "kimi",
     "nearest_rho": 0.748
    },
    {
     "seat": "mimo",
     "runs": 5,
     "mean_rho_others": 0.495,
     "directional_cells": 51,
     "share_against_majority": 0.157,
     "nearest_seat": "wenxin",
     "nearest_rho": 0.876
    },
    {
     "seat": "wenxin",
     "runs": 1,
     "mean_rho_others": 0.529,
     "directional_cells": 12,
     "share_against_majority": 0.25,
     "nearest_seat": "mimo",
     "nearest_rho": 0.876
    },
    {
     "seat": "zai",
     "runs": 3,
     "mean_rho_others": 0.567,
     "directional_cells": 33,
     "share_against_majority": 0.03,
     "nearest_seat": "kimi",
     "nearest_rho": 0.891
    },
    {
     "seat": "deepseek",
     "runs": 5,
     "mean_rho_others": 0.575,
     "directional_cells": 53,
     "share_against_majority": 0.17,
     "nearest_seat": "meta",
     "nearest_rho": 0.893
    },
    {
     "seat": "meta",
     "runs": 3,
     "mean_rho_others": 0.593,
     "directional_cells": 32,
     "share_against_majority": 0.156,
     "nearest_seat": "deepseek",
     "nearest_rho": 0.893
    },
    {
     "seat": "stepfun",
     "runs": 3,
     "mean_rho_others": 0.595,
     "directional_cells": 34,
     "share_against_majority": 0.147,
     "nearest_seat": "wenxin",
     "nearest_rho": 0.856
    }
   ]
  },
  "1m": {
   "seats": 12,
   "rows": [
    {
     "seat": "claude",
     "runs": 5,
     "mean_rho_others": -0.105,
     "directional_cells": 56,
     "share_against_majority": 0.518,
     "nearest_seat": "nemotron",
     "nearest_rho": 0.573
    },
    {
     "seat": "wenxin",
     "runs": 1,
     "mean_rho_others": 0.135,
     "directional_cells": 10,
     "share_against_majority": 0.3,
     "nearest_seat": "stepfun",
     "nearest_rho": 0.755
    },
    {
     "seat": "nemotron",
     "runs": 1,
     "mean_rho_others": 0.176,
     "directional_cells": 10,
     "share_against_majority": 0.5,
     "nearest_seat": "grok",
     "nearest_rho": 0.833
    },
    {
     "seat": "zai",
     "runs": 3,
     "mean_rho_others": 0.261,
     "directional_cells": 33,
     "share_against_majority": 0.273,
     "nearest_seat": "kimi",
     "nearest_rho": 0.886
    },
    {
     "seat": "chatgpt",
     "runs": 4,
     "mean_rho_others": 0.27,
     "directional_cells": 42,
     "share_against_majority": 0.333,
     "nearest_seat": "mimo",
     "nearest_rho": 0.467
    },
    {
     "seat": "mimo",
     "runs": 5,
     "mean_rho_others": 0.313,
     "directional_cells": 48,
     "share_against_majority": 0.375,
     "nearest_seat": "meta",
     "nearest_rho": 0.666
    },
    {
     "seat": "stepfun",
     "runs": 3,
     "mean_rho_others": 0.368,
     "directional_cells": 33,
     "share_against_majority": 0.394,
     "nearest_seat": "meta",
     "nearest_rho": 0.857
    },
    {
     "seat": "kimi",
     "runs": 2,
     "mean_rho_others": 0.377,
     "directional_cells": 18,
     "share_against_majority": 0.444,
     "nearest_seat": "zai",
     "nearest_rho": 0.886
    },
    {
     "seat": "gemini",
     "runs": 4,
     "mean_rho_others": 0.379,
     "directional_cells": 40,
     "share_against_majority": 0.175,
     "nearest_seat": "deepseek",
     "nearest_rho": 0.643
    },
    {
     "seat": "grok",
     "runs": 5,
     "mean_rho_others": 0.388,
     "directional_cells": 51,
     "share_against_majority": 0.275,
     "nearest_seat": "nemotron",
     "nearest_rho": 0.833
    },
    {
     "seat": "meta",
     "runs": 3,
     "mean_rho_others": 0.399,
     "directional_cells": 31,
     "share_against_majority": 0.226,
     "nearest_seat": "stepfun",
     "nearest_rho": 0.857
    },
    {
     "seat": "deepseek",
     "runs": 5,
     "mean_rho_others": 0.423,
     "directional_cells": 47,
     "share_against_majority": 0.17,
     "nearest_seat": "meta",
     "nearest_rho": 0.707
    }
   ]
  },
  "6m": {
   "seats": 12,
   "rows": [
    {
     "seat": "stepfun",
     "runs": 3,
     "mean_rho_others": 0.395,
     "directional_cells": 32,
     "share_against_majority": 0.281,
     "nearest_seat": "wenxin",
     "nearest_rho": 0.625
    },
    {
     "seat": "nemotron",
     "runs": 1,
     "mean_rho_others": 0.519,
     "directional_cells": 10,
     "share_against_majority": 0.3,
     "nearest_seat": "grok",
     "nearest_rho": 0.61
    },
    {
     "seat": "meta",
     "runs": 3,
     "mean_rho_others": 0.699,
     "directional_cells": 33,
     "share_against_majority": 0.061,
     "nearest_seat": "mimo",
     "nearest_rho": 0.874
    },
    {
     "seat": "deepseek",
     "runs": 5,
     "mean_rho_others": 0.762,
     "directional_cells": 59,
     "share_against_majority": 0.102,
     "nearest_seat": "wenxin",
     "nearest_rho": 0.911
    },
    {
     "seat": "zai",
     "runs": 3,
     "mean_rho_others": 0.763,
     "directional_cells": 33,
     "share_against_majority": 0.061,
     "nearest_seat": "claude",
     "nearest_rho": 0.893
    },
    {
     "seat": "kimi",
     "runs": 2,
     "mean_rho_others": 0.77,
     "directional_cells": 18,
     "share_against_majority": 0.056,
     "nearest_seat": "gemini",
     "nearest_rho": 0.978
    },
    {
     "seat": "gemini",
     "runs": 4,
     "mean_rho_others": 0.79,
     "directional_cells": 47,
     "share_against_majority": 0.106,
     "nearest_seat": "kimi",
     "nearest_rho": 0.978
    },
    {
     "seat": "grok",
     "runs": 5,
     "mean_rho_others": 0.806,
     "directional_cells": 57,
     "share_against_majority": 0.035,
     "nearest_seat": "claude",
     "nearest_rho": 0.921
    },
    {
     "seat": "wenxin",
     "runs": 1,
     "mean_rho_others": 0.818,
     "directional_cells": 12,
     "share_against_majority": 0.0,
     "nearest_seat": "chatgpt",
     "nearest_rho": 0.939
    },
    {
     "seat": "mimo",
     "runs": 5,
     "mean_rho_others": 0.83,
     "directional_cells": 60,
     "share_against_majority": 0.033,
     "nearest_seat": "chatgpt",
     "nearest_rho": 0.927
    },
    {
     "seat": "claude",
     "runs": 5,
     "mean_rho_others": 0.834,
     "directional_cells": 60,
     "share_against_majority": 0.0,
     "nearest_seat": "chatgpt",
     "nearest_rho": 0.974
    },
    {
     "seat": "chatgpt",
     "runs": 4,
     "mean_rho_others": 0.835,
     "directional_cells": 48,
     "share_against_majority": 0.021,
     "nearest_seat": "claude",
     "nearest_rho": 0.974
    }
   ]
  }
 },
 "snapshot_id": "81bb52dea9cac906f145233bc63ec37e702106dd0945b666bf45e980571ee447",
 "snapshot_run": "2026-10-23-am"
}