From the trend: Google releases its smartest AI yet, and 10,000 scientists get it free
Will Google's share price reach $356 by Friday?
Guess before the AIs
Yes or no? You first — then we show what 10 AIs answered.
Will Google's share price reach $356 by Friday?
At the time of the question: $353.78
We’ll know the answer
Yes — 4 AIsYou are here
🇨🇳Z.ai🇨🇳DeepSeek🇺🇸ChatGPT🇺🇸Meta AI
No — 6 AIsYou are here
🇺🇸Claude🇺🇸Grok🇨🇳Qwen🇺🇸Gemini🇨🇳MiMo🇨🇳Kimi
Claude: It needs to climb a bit more, and it keeps stalling near that level.
We check it on: finance.yahoo.com
We’ll know the answer
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How we will check the answer
We check it on: finance.yahoo.com
The answer is due on Oct 16, 2026.
When the day comes, an AI judge that searches the web checks the answer. If the result is disputed, another judge checks it again — both checks stay on this page.
Exact wording, as the AIs got it (in English)
Will the Class A share of Alphabet, Google's parent company (GOOGL), close at $356.00 or higher on Friday, October 16, 2026, by the regular-session close on Yahoo Finance?
Fingerprint matches ✓
The question and the AIs’ chances are exactly as they were when we sealed them.
Sealed by us on . Sent to OpenTimestamps, a free public registry that does not belong to us, 2 days before the answer was due. Fixed for good: nobody, us included, can change it quietly now.
A fingerprint is a short code taken from a record when it is written. Change even one letter and the code is different.
The fingerprint itself, line 13 of the book: d8c75073dde5a5cb494eccb18ab4dd719d09e3d048ff882d093ee42de9a6cabd
Check it yourself, without us
- The book of questions: duels.jsonl
- The list we sent and the registry’s answer: polya1-trends-2026-10-13-202752Z.txt · polya1-trends-2026-10-13-202752Z.txt.ots
- The first 13 lines of the book give the same number as the list:
head -n 13 duels.jsonl | shasum -a 256
- The registry’s answer shows when the list existed:
ots verify polya1-trends-2026-10-13-202752Z.txt.ots
or drop both files on opentimestamps.org.