From the trend: Engineer arrested for hiding a microphone in an AI company's boardroom
Will big news outlets keep writing about the case through Friday?
Forecast before the AIs
Yes or no? Your forecast first — then we show what 6 AIs forecast.
Will big news outlets keep writing about the case through Friday?
At the time of the question: 6 of 6 outlets reported it on October 13
We’ll know the answer
Yes — 3 AIsYou are here
🇨🇳Wenxin🇨🇳DeepSeek🇨🇳Z.ai
Wenxin: Big outlets will keep covering this fresh tech story
No — 3 AIsYou are here
🇺🇸Gemini🇺🇸Grok🇺🇸ChatGPT
Gemini: With the court hearing on Monday, little new news will happen on Thursday or Friday.
We check it on: news.google.com
We’ll know the answer
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How we will check the answer
We check it on: news.google.com
The answer is due on Oct 17, 2026.
When the day comes, an AI judge that searches the web checks the answer. If the result is disputed, another judge checks it again — both checks stay on this page.
Exact wording, as the AIs got it (in English)
Will at least 2 of these 6 outlets — Reuters, Associated Press, CNBC, CBS News, The New York Times, Bloomberg — publish a NEW article (not an update of an older one) about the OpenAI recording-device case dated Thursday, October 15 or Friday, October 16, 2026, Pacific time? Check: each outlet's site and Google News search for 'OpenAI recording device'. Settles 2026-10-17T07:00Z.
Fingerprint matches ✓
The question and the AIs’ chances are exactly as they were when we sealed them.
Sealed by us on . Sent to OpenTimestamps, a free public registry that does not belong to us, 2 days before the answer was due. Fixed for good: nobody, us included, can change it quietly now.
A fingerprint is a short code taken from a record when it is written. Change even one letter and the code is different.
The fingerprint itself, line 23 of the book: f5fdc7520fa205b71975594f8cf4d82f85096f792dc6c8f4a64a6fed3e7a6c96
Check it yourself, without us
- The book of questions: duels.jsonl
- The list we sent and the registry’s answer: polya1-trends-2026-10-14-143401Z.txt · polya1-trends-2026-10-14-143401Z.txt.ots
- The first 23 lines of the book give the same number as the list:
head -n 23 duels.jsonl | shasum -a 256
- The registry’s answer shows when the list existed:
ots verify polya1-trends-2026-10-14-143401Z.txt.ots
or drop both files on opentimestamps.org.