From the trend: Bayern Munich throws away a 3-0 lead and draws in Norway
Will Michael Olise start for Bayern on Saturday?
Forecast before the AIs
Yes or no? Your forecast first — then we show what 10 AIs forecast.
Will Michael Olise start for Bayern on Saturday?
We’ll know the answer
Yes — 7 AIsYou are here
🇺🇸ChatGPT🇺🇸Gemini🇺🇸Grok🇺🇸Meta AI🇨🇳MiMo🇨🇳Z.ai🇨🇳Qwen
ChatGPT: His European suspension does not normally affect domestic games, and he regularly starts.
No — 3 AIsYou are here
🇨🇳Wenxin🇺🇸Nemotron + Mercury🇨🇳DeepSeek
Wenxin: Olise is suspended for two yellow cards last game
We check it on: bundesliga.com
We’ll know the answer
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How we will check the answer
We check it on: bundesliga.com
The answer is due on Oct 17, 2026.
When the day comes, an AI judge that searches the web checks the answer. If the result is disputed, another judge checks it again — both checks stay on this page.
Exact wording, as the AIs got it (in English)
Will Michael Olise be in Bayern Munich's starting eleven against RB Leipzig on October 17, 2026, per the official line-up on bundesliga.com?
Fingerprint matches ✓
The question and the AIs’ chances are exactly as they were when we sealed them.
Sealed by us on . Sent to OpenTimestamps, a free public registry that does not belong to us, 3 days before the answer was due. Fixed for good: nobody, us included, can change it quietly now.
A fingerprint is a short code taken from a record when it is written. Change even one letter and the code is different.
The fingerprint itself, line 26 of the book: f2214a265da4f97fd3e211531f77a5dde96579749d723a02860725e656dd1fcb
Check it yourself, without us
- The book of questions: duels.jsonl
- The list we sent and the registry’s answer: polya1-trends-2026-10-14-173445Z.txt · polya1-trends-2026-10-14-173445Z.txt.ots
- The first 26 lines of the book give the same number as the list:
head -n 26 duels.jsonl | shasum -a 256
- The registry’s answer shows when the list existed:
ots verify polya1-trends-2026-10-14-173445Z.txt.ots
or drop both files on opentimestamps.org.