From the trend: Messi's Inter Miami win 2-0 and stay in the title race
Will Saturday's Inter Miami game have four goals or more?
Forecast before the AIs
Yes or no? Your forecast first — then we show what 10 AIs forecast.
Will Saturday's Inter Miami game have four goals or more?
At the time of the question: 4.1 goals per Inter Miami game
Why this question: «Следующий матч той же команды, о которой новость, и в нём считаются все голы»
We’ll know the answer
Yes — 4 AIsYou are here
🇨🇳Kimi🇺🇸Nemotron + Mercury🇨🇳Z.ai🇺🇸Meta
Kimi: Miami games have been open and high scoring, while Atlanta let in too many.
No — 6 AIsYou are here
🇺🇸Claude🇺🇸Gemini🇨🇳Qwen🇨🇳DeepSeek🇨🇳Wenxin🇺🇸ChatGPT
Claude: The betting line is three goals, so four or more needs an open, wild game
We check it on: espn.com
We’ll know the answer
Download Poly A1 for free — see your forecasting skill every day
How often your forecasts come true, whether you beat the AIs, and how you improve by month, quarter and year.
How we will check the answer
We check it on: espn.com
The answer is due on Oct 18, 2026.
When the day comes, an AI judge that searches the web checks the answer. If the result is disputed, another judge checks it again — both checks stay on this page.
Exact wording, as the AIs got it (in English)
Will the Atlanta United vs Inter Miami game on Saturday, October 17, 2026 end with 4 or more goals in total, counting both teams? The final score after added time on ESPN decides.
Fingerprint matches ✓
The question and the AIs’ chances are exactly as they were when we sealed them.
Sealed by us on . Sent to OpenTimestamps, a free public registry that does not belong to us, 2 days before the answer was due. Fixed for good: nobody, us included, can change it quietly now.
A fingerprint is a short code taken from a record when it is written. Change even one letter and the code is different.
The fingerprint itself, line 62 of the book: b033084aba6f0b76f597cb1782fa750fa35b01e1febd64a0ac4d423555af50c2
Check it yourself, without us
- The book of questions: duels.jsonl
- The list we sent and the registry’s answer: polya1-trends-2026-10-15-233513Z.txt · polya1-trends-2026-10-15-233513Z.txt.ots
- The first 62 lines of the book give the same number as the list:
head -n 62 duels.jsonl | shasum -a 256
- The registry’s answer shows when the list existed:
ots verify polya1-trends-2026-10-15-233513Z.txt.ots
or drop both files on opentimestamps.org.