From the trend: Reality TV star cries on air over his mother's failing lungs
Will young adults watch Monday's final more than the first night?
Forecast before the AIs
Yes or no? Your forecast first — then we show what 10 AIs forecast.
Will young adults watch Monday's final more than the first night?
At the time of the question: 9%
Why this question: Audience share for the same show whose episode featured the crying moment
We’ll know the answer
Yes — 3 AIsYou are here
🇨🇳DeepSeek🇨🇳Qwen🇺🇸Meta
DeepSeek: The young-adult share has been near 10–12%, so hitting 13% is possible but not certain.
No — 6 AIsYou are here
🇺🇸Claude🇨🇳StepFun🇺🇸ChatGPT🇨🇳Kimi🇺🇸Grok🇺🇸Gemini
Claude: Last two finales won ten of every hundred younger viewers; thirteen is far.
Could not decide (50/50): Wenxin
We check it on: quotenmeter.de
We’ll know the answer
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How we will check the answer
We check it on: quotenmeter.de
The answer is due on Oct 20, 2026.
When the day comes, an AI judge that searches the web checks the answer. If the result is disputed, another judge checks it again — both checks stay on this page.
Exact wording, as the AIs got it (in English)
Will the Promi Big Brother final on Sat.1 on Monday, October 19, 2026, reach a market share of 13.0% or more among viewers aged 14 to 49, per preliminary ratings on Quotenmeter.de, by 2026-10-20T10:00Z?
Fingerprint matches ✓
The question and the AIs’ chances are exactly as they were when we sealed them.
Sealed by us on . Sent to OpenTimestamps, a free public registry that does not belong to us, 3 days before the answer was due. Waiting to be fixed for good.
A fingerprint is a short code taken from a record when it is written. Change even one letter and the code is different.
The fingerprint itself, line 71 of the book: d4bd890275233ced6d390e28fcc06614dfb8c4b68095e38f4dd23144fe412f42
Check it yourself, without us
- The book of questions: duels.jsonl
- The list we sent and the registry’s answer: polya1-trends-2026-10-16-153546Z.txt · polya1-trends-2026-10-16-153546Z.txt.ots
- The first 71 lines of the book give the same number as the list:
head -n 71 duels.jsonl | shasum -a 256
- The registry’s answer shows when the list existed:
ots verify polya1-trends-2026-10-16-153546Z.txt.ots
or drop both files on opentimestamps.org.