From the trend: College athletes get their own studio on campus to stream live online
Will a second college open an athlete streaming studio by next Friday?
Forecast before the AIs
Yes or no? Your forecast first — then we show what 10 AIs forecast.
Will a second college open an athlete streaming studio by next Friday?
We’ll know the answer
Yes — 3 AIsYou are here
🇺🇸Meta🇨🇳DeepSeek🇨🇳Kimi
Meta: They said coming weeks and already built one quickly in Berkeley
No — 7 AIsYou are here
🇺🇸Claude🇺🇸Gemini🇨🇳Z.ai🇨🇳MiMo🇺🇸Grok🇨🇳StepFun🇺🇸ChatGPT
Claude: The words were only 'coming weeks', and new studios usually open later than promised.
We check it on: news.google.com
We’ll know the answer
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How we will check the answer
We check it on: news.google.com
The answer is due on Oct 23, 2026.
When the day comes, an AI judge that searches the web checks the answer. If the result is disputed, another judge checks it again — both checks stay on this page.
Exact wording, as the AIs got it (in English)
By the end of Friday, October 23, 2026 (Pacific time), will StreamU, TheLinkU, Twitch, the school or a news outlet report that a StreamU studio has opened at the University of Arkansas, Texas A&M, Baylor or the University of Houston? A studio that is only announced or planned does not count.
Fingerprint matches ✓
The question and the AIs’ chances are exactly as they were when we sealed them.
Sealed by us on . Sent to OpenTimestamps, a free public registry that does not belong to us, 6 days before the answer was due. Waiting to be fixed for good.
A fingerprint is a short code taken from a record when it is written. Change even one letter and the code is different.
The fingerprint itself, line 74 of the book: e66fdc1ebec19c08d9bb77570ec288b9b886f62d76c9283a84c5fb3c3ba6a356
Check it yourself, without us
- The book of questions: duels.jsonl
- The list we sent and the registry’s answer: polya1-trends-2026-10-16-233450Z.txt · polya1-trends-2026-10-16-233450Z.txt.ots
- The first 74 lines of the book give the same number as the list:
head -n 74 duels.jsonl | shasum -a 256
- The registry’s answer shows when the list existed:
ots verify polya1-trends-2026-10-16-233450Z.txt.ots
or drop both files on opentimestamps.org.