From the trend: A Stranger Things star opens tonight on Broadway with four famous actors
Which sells more tickets this week: this play or The Lion King?
Forecast before the AIs
Your forecast first — then we show what 10 AIs forecast.
Which sells more tickets this week: this play or The Lion King?
Why this question: the play's own ticket money, compared with a rival show's
We’ll know the answer
This play — 5 AIsYou are here
🇨🇳Kimi🇨🇳DeepSeek🇺🇸Meta🇨🇳StepFun🇺🇸Claude
Kimi: The play is sold out again while Lion King falls after the holiday weekend
Lion King — 5 AIsYou are here
🇺🇸ChatGPT🇺🇸Gemini🇺🇸Grok🇨🇳MiMo🇨🇳Z.ai
ChatGPT: The published figures put The Lion King about $60,000 ahead.
We check it on: broadwayworld.com
We’ll know the answer
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How we will check the answer
We check it on: broadwayworld.com
The answer is due on Oct 20, 2026.
When the day comes, an AI judge that searches the web checks the answer. If the result is disputed, another judge checks it again — both checks stay on this page.
Exact wording, as the AIs got it (in English)
In the week ending October 18, 2026, which earns more at the box office, Other Desert Cities or The Lion King, according to The Broadway League's weekly figures as published by BroadwayWorld on October 19–20? Last week The Lion King earned $2,217,835 and Other Desert Cities $2,157,355.
Fingerprint matches ✓
The question and the AIs’ chances are exactly as they were when we sealed them.
Sealed by us on . Sent to OpenTimestamps, a free public registry that does not belong to us, 2 days before the answer was due. Fixed for good: nobody, us included, can change it quietly now.
A fingerprint is a short code taken from a record when it is written. Change even one letter and the code is different.
The fingerprint itself, line 91 of the book: d1e6308046cf123651d484e9270d4cd6744b775e00c6d1575e59f6646afe0989
Check it yourself, without us
- The book of questions: duels.jsonl
- The list we sent and the registry’s answer: polya1-trends-2026-10-18-093451Z.txt · polya1-trends-2026-10-18-093451Z.txt.ots
- The first 91 lines of the book give the same number as the list:
head -n 91 duels.jsonl | shasum -a 256
- The registry’s answer shows when the list existed:
ots verify polya1-trends-2026-10-18-093451Z.txt.ots
or drop both files on opentimestamps.org.