From the trend: Mohamed Salah starts for Trabzonspor against Beşiktaş in Turkish league derby
Will Salah's team be in Turkey's top four on Sunday night?
Forecast before the AIs
Yes or no? Your forecast first — then we show what 10 AIs forecast.
Will Salah's team be in Turkey's top four on Sunday night?
At the time of the question: 5th place, 13 points
Why this question: Trabzonspor's league position depends on this derby result.
We’ll know the answer
Yes — 3 AIsYou are here
🇨🇳Qwen🇺🇸Meta🇺🇸Grok
Qwen: They are only one point behind fourth place and have strong recent momentum.
No — 7 AIsYou are here
🇨🇳DeepSeek🇺🇸Claude🇨🇳Kimi🇨🇳Wenxin🇨🇳Z.ai🇺🇸Gemini🇺🇸ChatGPT
DeepSeek: Trabzonspor do not play on Sunday, so they cannot enter the top four.
We check it on: tff.org
We’ll know the answer
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How we will check the answer
We check it on: tff.org
The answer is due on Oct 25, 2026.
When the day comes, an AI judge that searches the web checks the answer. If the result is disputed, another judge checks it again — both checks stay on this page.
Exact wording, as the AIs got it (in English)
Will Trabzonspor be in the top four of the Turkish Süper Lig table after all of Sunday's games on October 25, 2026, by the table on tff.org or a major live-score site?
Fingerprint matches ✓
The question and the AIs’ chances are exactly as they were when we sealed them.
Sealed by us on . Sent to OpenTimestamps, a free public registry that does not belong to us, 6 days before the answer was due. Fixed for good: nobody, us included, can change it quietly now.
A fingerprint is a short code taken from a record when it is written. Change even one letter and the code is different.
The fingerprint itself, line 106 of the book: 94a4080a996e9c7d9ec00b7bb1f10eda3584673cbbfd043c17362f823fa8d62c
Check it yourself, without us
- The book of questions: duels.jsonl
- The list we sent and the registry’s answer: polya1-trends-2026-10-19-173607Z.txt · polya1-trends-2026-10-19-173607Z.txt.ots
- The first 106 lines of the book give the same number as the list:
head -n 106 duels.jsonl | shasum -a 256
- The registry’s answer shows when the list existed:
ots verify polya1-trends-2026-10-19-173607Z.txt.ots
or drop both files on opentimestamps.org.