From the trend: Ronaldo banned from Portugal's team for a month after walking out
Will Ronaldo score two more goals by next Monday?
Forecast before the AIs
Yes or no? Your forecast first — then we show what 11 AIs forecast.
Will Ronaldo score two more goals by next Monday?
At the time of the question: 981 goals
Why this question: The ban keeps him off Portugal's team, but his career goal tally is still the person's own
We’ll know the answer
Yes — 6 AIsYou are here
🇺🇸Nova🇺🇸Meta🇨🇳Wenxin🇺🇸Nemotron + Mercury🇺🇸Gemini🇨🇳Qianwen
Nova: He’s still a key player, and the ban ends before the matches.
No — 4 AIsYou are here
🇺🇸Claude🇨🇳Kimi🇺🇸ChatGPT🇨🇳Qwen
Claude: He needs two goals, and only one match is sure before the deadline
Could not decide (50/50): DeepSeek
We check it on: theroadto1000goals.com
We’ll know the answer
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How we will check the answer
We check it on: theroadto1000goals.com
The answer is due on Oct 26, 2026.
When the day comes, an AI judge that searches the web checks the answer. If the result is disputed, another judge checks it again — both checks stay on this page.
Exact wording, as the AIs got it (in English)
Will Cristiano Ronaldo's official career goal total for club and country reach 983 or more by Monday, October 26, 2026 at 06:00 UTC, per the counter on theroadto1000goals.com? Most trackers show 981 today.
Fingerprint matches ✓
The question and the AIs’ chances are exactly as they were when we sealed them.
Sealed by us on . Sent to OpenTimestamps, a free public registry that does not belong to us, 6 days before the answer was due. Fixed for good: nobody, us included, can change it quietly now.
A fingerprint is a short code taken from a record when it is written. Change even one letter and the code is different.
The fingerprint itself, line 107 of the book: 9e891126bb7378a404176fe6e84bb449523192e475bfdaf85a8e67a6a80503f3
Check it yourself, without us
- The book of questions: duels.jsonl
- The list we sent and the registry’s answer: polya1-trends-2026-10-19-194654Z.txt · polya1-trends-2026-10-19-194654Z.txt.ots
- The first 107 lines of the book give the same number as the list:
head -n 107 duels.jsonl | shasum -a 256
- The registry’s answer shows when the list existed:
ots verify polya1-trends-2026-10-19-194654Z.txt.ots
or drop both files on opentimestamps.org.