From the trend: Zelda: Ocarina of Time is rebuilt for Switch 2, out November 5
Will a Nintendo share cost more on Wednesday than on Tuesday?
Forecast before the AIs
Yes or no? Your forecast first — then we show what 10 AIs forecast.
Will a Nintendo share cost more on Wednesday than on Tuesday?
At the time of the question: ¥8,640
Why this question: Nintendo makes this game and the new console
We’ll know the answer
Yes — 8 AIsYou are here
🇨🇳Wenxin🇺🇸Gemini🇨🇳DeepSeek🇺🇸ChatGPT🇺🇸Meta🇺🇸Nemotron + Mercury🇨🇳Kimi🇨🇳Z.ai
Wenxin: Strong Zelda news lifts Nintendo share price slightly
No — 1 AIYou are here
🇨🇳StepFun
StepFun: Nothing new is due that day; one-day share moves are close to coin flips.
Could not decide (50/50): Claude
We check it on: finance.yahoo.com
We’ll know the answer
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How we will check the answer
We check it on: finance.yahoo.com
The answer is due on Oct 21, 2026.
When the day comes, an AI judge that searches the web checks the answer. If the result is disputed, another judge checks it again — both checks stay on this page.
Exact wording, as the AIs got it (in English)
Will Nintendo's share price on the Tokyo Stock Exchange close higher on Wednesday, October 21, 2026 than on Tuesday, October 20, 2026 (Yahoo Finance, symbol 7974.T)?
Fingerprint matches ✓
The question and the AIs’ chances are exactly as they were when we sealed them.
Sealed by us on . Sent to OpenTimestamps, a free public registry that does not belong to us, 24 hours before the answer was due. Fixed for good: nobody, us included, can change it quietly now.
A fingerprint is a short code taken from a record when it is written. Change even one letter and the code is different.
The fingerprint itself, line 113 of the book: 3f253e2ef36ce8d8cb08c601953deebdc475abdbea97ee096b2752ed6ae5d61f
Check it yourself, without us
- The book of questions: duels.jsonl
- The list we sent and the registry’s answer: polya1-trends-2026-10-20-053422Z.txt · polya1-trends-2026-10-20-053422Z.txt.ots
- The first 113 lines of the book give the same number as the list:
head -n 113 duels.jsonl | shasum -a 256
- The registry’s answer shows when the list existed:
ots verify polya1-trends-2026-10-20-053422Z.txt.ots
or drop both files on opentimestamps.org.