From the trend: Ronaldo's former coach says Ronaldo let Manchester United down
Will Ronaldo score in his team's Asian cup game on Monday?
Forecast before the AIs
Yes or no? Your forecast first — then we show what 8 AIs forecast.
Will Ronaldo score in his team's Asian cup game on Monday?
Why this question: Ronaldo's own goals, days after the coach's criticism
We’ll know the answer
Yes — 5 AIsYou are here
🇺🇸Meta🇨🇳MiMo🇺🇸Gemini🇨🇳Kimi🇨🇳DeepSeek
Meta: Home game in Riyadh, just scored in Asia, feels confident
No — 3 AIsYou are here
🇺🇸ChatGPT🇨🇳StepFun🇺🇸Claude
ChatGPT: He can score, though a single match gives him little margin for error.
We check it on: espn.com
We’ll know the answer
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How we will check the answer
We check it on: espn.com
The answer is due on Oct 26, 2026.
When the day comes, an AI judge that searches the web checks the answer. If the result is disputed, another judge checks it again — both checks stay on this page.
Exact wording, as the AIs got it (in English)
Will Cristiano Ronaldo score at least one goal (not counting penalty shoot-outs) for Al Nassr against Al Wasl in the AFC Champions League Elite match in Riyadh on Monday, October 26, 2026, according to ESPN's match report?
Fingerprint matches ✓
The question and the AIs’ chances are exactly as they were when we sealed them.
Sealed by us on . Sent to OpenTimestamps, a free public registry that does not belong to us, 6 days before the answer was due. Fixed for good: nobody, us included, can change it quietly now.
A fingerprint is a short code taken from a record when it is written. Change even one letter and the code is different.
The fingerprint itself, line 117 of the book: 800687c7473d57af5bb8d15dd8291932747b13a9b9b6d2b19c8b47bdf08a8996
Check it yourself, without us
- The book of questions: duels.jsonl
- The list we sent and the registry’s answer: polya1-trends-2026-10-20-153605Z.txt · polya1-trends-2026-10-20-153605Z.txt.ots
- The first 117 lines of the book give the same number as the list:
head -n 117 duels.jsonl | shasum -a 256
- The registry’s answer shows when the list existed:
ots verify polya1-trends-2026-10-20-153605Z.txt.ots
or drop both files on opentimestamps.org.