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Will Nvidia's share price be higher on Wednesday than Tuesday?
Forecast before the AIs
Yes or no? Your forecast first — then we show what 10 AIs forecast.
Will Nvidia's share price be higher on Wednesday than Tuesday?
At the time of the question: $217.09
Why this question: The engine runs on Nvidia chips, so its stock may react.
We’ll know the answer
Yes — 8 AIsYou are here
🇺🇸Grok🇨🇳Z.ai🇺🇸Meta🇨🇳DeepSeek🇨🇳Kimi🇺🇸Claude🇺🇸Gemini🇺🇸ChatGPT
Grok: After the close the share was already about two percent higher.
No — 1 AIYou are here
🇨🇳StepFun
StepFun: Nvidia barely moved on the news, so one more trading day is close to a coin toss.
Could not decide (50/50): MiMo
We check it on: finance.yahoo.com
We’ll know the answer
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How we will check the answer
We check it on: finance.yahoo.com
The answer is due on Oct 21, 2026.
When the day comes, an AI judge that searches the web checks the answer. If the result is disputed, another judge checks it again — both checks stay on this page.
Exact wording, as the AIs got it (in English)
Will Nvidia's share price close higher on Wednesday, October 21, 2026, than on Tuesday, October 20, 2026, at the end of regular trading in New York (Yahoo Finance history)?
Fingerprint matches ✓
The question and the AIs’ chances are exactly as they were when we sealed them.
Sealed by us on . Sent to OpenTimestamps, a free public registry that does not belong to us, 16 hours before the answer was due. Fixed for good: nobody, us included, can change it quietly now.
A fingerprint is a short code taken from a record when it is written. Change even one letter and the code is different.
The fingerprint itself, line 123 of the book: d38822d0f9d27ae9313a2747aa9dce3989d23c3b808fdac35954c432cb05d52a
Check it yourself, without us
- The book of questions: duels.jsonl
- The list we sent and the registry’s answer: polya1-trends-2026-10-21-033434Z.txt · polya1-trends-2026-10-21-033434Z.txt.ots
- The first 123 lines of the book give the same number as the list:
head -n 123 duels.jsonl | shasum -a 256
- The registry’s answer shows when the list existed:
ots verify polya1-trends-2026-10-21-033434Z.txt.ots
or drop both files on opentimestamps.org.