From the trend: Warriors explore trade options for Kristaps Porzingis, who is out indefinitely
Will there be big news about Porzingis's future by Wednesday?
Forecast before the AIs
Yes or no? Your forecast first — then we show what 10 AIs forecast.
Will there be big news about Porzingis's future by Wednesday?
We’ll know the answer
Yes — 2 AIsYou are here
🇨🇳Wenxin🇺🇸ChatGPT
Wenxin: Reports say both sides are serious; a decision usually leaks or drops within a week.
No — 8 AIsYou are here
🇺🇸Claude🇨🇳MiMo🇺🇸Gemini🇨🇳Z.ai🇨🇳DeepSeek🇨🇳StepFun🇺🇸Nemotron + Mercury🇺🇸Meta
Claude: Teams rarely finish trades in the first week; quitting now would cost him his pay.
We check it on: espn.com
We’ll know the answer
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How we will check the answer
We check it on: espn.com
The answer is due on Oct 28, 2026.
When the day comes, an AI judge that searches the web checks the answer. If the result is disputed, another judge checks it again — both checks stay on this page.
Exact wording, as the AIs got it (in English)
By the end of Wednesday, October 28, 2026 (UTC), will ESPN, The Athletic or the Associated Press report a new step in Porzingis's future: a trade agreed, a release, a retirement decision or a set date for his return? Check: espn.com, nytimes.com/athletic, apnews.com. More talks or the same 'exploring options' news do not count.
Fingerprint matches ✓
The question and the AIs’ chances are exactly as they were when we sealed them.
Sealed by us on . Sent to OpenTimestamps, a free public registry that does not belong to us, 6 days before the answer was due. Fixed for good: nobody, us included, can change it quietly now.
A fingerprint is a short code taken from a record when it is written. Change even one letter and the code is different.
The fingerprint itself, line 134 of the book: 603960a883095532b0f440c29c24bac95f56db67cbae6237acfe8c9f91ae3da8
Check it yourself, without us
- The book of questions: duels.jsonl
- The list we sent and the registry’s answer: polya1-trends-2026-10-22-033427Z.txt · polya1-trends-2026-10-22-033427Z.txt.ots
- The first 134 lines of the book give the same number as the list:
head -n 134 duels.jsonl | shasum -a 256
- The registry’s answer shows when the list existed:
ots verify polya1-trends-2026-10-22-033427Z.txt.ots
or drop both files on opentimestamps.org.