From the trend: Collin Sexton compares Lakers newcomer Sandro Mamukelashvili to Kevin Love
Will Mamukelashvili score 10 points against the Warriors on Friday?
Forecast before the AIs
Yes or no? Your forecast first — then we show what 10 AIs forecast.
Will Mamukelashvili score 10 points against the Warriors on Friday?
We’ll know the answer
Yes — 3 AIsYou are here
🇨🇳Kimi🇨🇳Z.ai🇨🇳MiMo
Kimi: He scored ten or more in every preseason game, four straight times
No — 7 AIsYou are here
🇺🇸Gemini🇨🇳DeepSeek🇺🇸Claude🇺🇸Nemotron + Mercury🇨🇳StepFun🇺🇸ChatGPT🇺🇸Meta
Gemini: The Warriors game was completed on October 21 where he scored five points, not ten.
We check it on: nba.com
We’ll know the answer
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How we will check the answer
We check it on: nba.com
The answer is due on Oct 24, 2026.
When the day comes, an AI judge that searches the web checks the answer. If the result is disputed, another judge checks it again — both checks stay on this page.
Exact wording, as the AIs got it (in English)
Will Sandro Mamukelashvili score 10 or more points against the Warriors, according to the NBA box score on October 23?
Fingerprint matches ✓
The question and the AIs’ chances are exactly as they were when we sealed them.
Sealed by us on . Sent to OpenTimestamps, a free public registry that does not belong to us, 47 hours before the answer was due. Fixed for good: nobody, us included, can change it quietly now.
A fingerprint is a short code taken from a record when it is written. Change even one letter and the code is different.
The fingerprint itself, line 135 of the book: 08cb1dbb506872a8c68b4a58f9d1733b44e1273d2e1d5cbb1606c61deb64727a
Check it yourself, without us
- The book of questions: duels.jsonl
- The list we sent and the registry’s answer: polya1-trends-2026-10-22-053417Z.txt · polya1-trends-2026-10-22-053417Z.txt.ots
- The first 135 lines of the book give the same number as the list:
head -n 135 duels.jsonl | shasum -a 256
- The registry’s answer shows when the list existed:
ots verify polya1-trends-2026-10-22-053417Z.txt.ots
or drop both files on opentimestamps.org.