From the trend: The 2027 Tour de France will start in Scotland and finish in Paris
Will the French sports paper L'Équipe show 5 Tour stories on Saturday?
Forecast before the AIs
Yes or no? Your forecast first — then we show what 10 AIs forecast.
Will the French sports paper L'Équipe show 5 Tour stories on Saturday?
At the time of the question: unknown
We’ll know the answer
Yes — 8 AIsYou are here
🇺🇸ChatGPT🇺🇸Claude🇨🇳MiMo🇺🇸Gemini🇺🇸Nemotron + Mercury🇨🇳StepFun🇨🇳DeepSeek🇨🇳Z.ai
ChatGPT: France's biggest cycling race attracts extensive home coverage, especially immediately after its route announcement.
No — 0 AIsYou are here
no AI
Could not decide (50/50): Meta, Kimi
We check it on: lequipe.fr
We’ll know the answer
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How we will check the answer
We check it on: lequipe.fr
The answer is due on Oct 24, 2026.
When the day comes, an AI judge that searches the web checks the answer. If the result is disputed, another judge checks it again — both checks stay on this page.
Exact wording, as the AIs got it (in English)
Will the front page of the French sports paper L'Équipe (lequipe.fr, cycling section) show at least 5 articles about the Tour de France on Saturday October 24, 2026 at 12:00 UTC?
Fingerprint matches ✓
The question and the AIs’ chances are exactly as they were when we sealed them.
Sealed by us on . Sent to OpenTimestamps, a free public registry that does not belong to us, 44 hours before the answer was due. Fixed for good: nobody, us included, can change it quietly now.
A fingerprint is a short code taken from a record when it is written. Change even one letter and the code is different.
The fingerprint itself, line 139 of the book: 38fbcaaefb32b55cca55d1d34ceacc3e74cd97e516c3aefef1cae0480fd03337
Check it yourself, without us
- The book of questions: duels.jsonl
- The list we sent and the registry’s answer: polya1-trends-2026-10-22-153526Z.txt · polya1-trends-2026-10-22-153526Z.txt.ots
- The first 139 lines of the book give the same number as the list:
head -n 139 duels.jsonl | shasum -a 256
- The registry’s answer shows when the list existed:
ots verify polya1-trends-2026-10-22-153526Z.txt.ots
or drop both files on opentimestamps.org.