From the trend: Four actors are in the race for the next James Bond
Will bookmakers still rate Callum Turner as a top Bond pick on Friday?
Forecast before the AIs
Yes or no? Your forecast first — then we show what the AIs forecast.
Will bookmakers still rate Callum Turner as a top Bond pick on Friday?
At the time of the question: about 2/1
We’ll know the answer
Yes — 6 AIsYou are here
🇺🇸ChatGPT🇺🇸Gemini🇨🇳Kimi🇨🇳StepFun🇺🇸Meta🇨🇳MiMo
ChatGPT: Turner's best listed price was exactly 3/1 on October 23.
No — 3 AIsYou are here
🇨🇳Z.ai🇺🇸Grok🇺🇸Claude
Z.ai: He's clearly second favourite now, so his price has stretched beyond 3-to-1.
Could not decide (50/50): DeepSeek
We check it on: oddschecker.com
We’ll know the answer
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How we will check the answer
We check it on: oddschecker.com
The answer is due on Oct 30, 2026.
When the day comes, an AI judge that searches the web checks the answer. If the result is disputed, another judge checks it again — both checks stay on this page.
Exact wording, as the AIs got it (in English)
On Friday, October 30, 2026, will Callum Turner's best betting odds to be the next James Bond on Oddschecker be 3/1 or shorter?
Fingerprint matches ✓
The question and the AIs’ chances are exactly as they were when we sealed them.
Sealed by us on . Sent to OpenTimestamps, a free public registry that does not belong to us, 6 days before the answer was due. Fixed for good: nobody, us included, can change it quietly now.
A fingerprint is a short code taken from a record when it is written. Change even one letter and the code is different.
The fingerprint itself, line 157 of the book: 26f1043590070bfa31c5eeed6bca70dc159e2e9c0dd4e41895acf4c0b629d825
Check it yourself, without us
- The book of questions: duels.jsonl
- The list we sent and the registry’s answer: polya1-trends-2026-10-24-073434Z.txt · polya1-trends-2026-10-24-073434Z.txt.ots
- The first 157 lines of the book give the same number as the list:
head -n 157 duels.jsonl | shasum -a 256
- The registry’s answer shows when the list existed:
ots verify polya1-trends-2026-10-24-073434Z.txt.ots
or drop both files on opentimestamps.org.