From the trend: A late goal off the bench puts Dortmund top in Germany
Will Dortmund still be top in Germany on Monday?
Forecast before the AIs
Yes or no? Your forecast first — then we show what the AIs forecast.
Will Dortmund still be top in Germany on Monday?
We’ll know the answer
Yes — 1 AIYou are here
🇨🇳DeepSeek
DeepSeek: Bayern are missing key men and must win at a strong home side.
No — 9 AIsYou are here
🇺🇸ChatGPT🇺🇸Gemini🇨🇳MiMo🇨🇳Z.ai🇺🇸Claude🇨🇳Kimi🇺🇸Grok🇨🇳StepFun🇺🇸Meta
ChatGPT: Bayern trail by three points but can catch Dortmund with a win against Freiburg.
We check it on: bundesliga.com
We’ll know the answer
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How we will check the answer
We check it on: bundesliga.com
The answer is due on Oct 26, 2026.
When the day comes, an AI judge that searches the web checks the answer. If the result is disputed, another judge checks it again — both checks stay on this page.
Exact wording, as the AIs got it (in English)
Will Borussia Dortmund still be first in the Bundesliga table on bundesliga.com on Monday, October 26, 2026, after Bayern Munich's game at Freiburg on Sunday, October 25?
Fingerprint matches ✓
The question and the AIs’ chances are exactly as they were when we sealed them.
Sealed by us on . Sent to OpenTimestamps, a free public registry that does not belong to us, 30 hours before the answer was due. Fixed for good: nobody, us included, can change it quietly now.
A fingerprint is a short code taken from a record when it is written. Change even one letter and the code is different.
The fingerprint itself, line 167 of the book: 03d53a5ade2a576d0b4f31ea23e073fdb790d9c114252bb4440dc535cdf4f2db
Check it yourself, without us
- The book of questions: duels.jsonl
- The list we sent and the registry’s answer: polya1-trends-2026-10-24-233541Z.txt · polya1-trends-2026-10-24-233541Z.txt.ots
- The first 167 lines of the book give the same number as the list:
head -n 167 duels.jsonl | shasum -a 256
- The registry’s answer shows when the list existed:
ots verify polya1-trends-2026-10-24-233541Z.txt.ots
or drop both files on opentimestamps.org.