From the trend: Kimi Antonelli takes US Grand Prix pole with title at stake
Who finishes higher Sunday: Russell or Hamilton?
Forecast before the AIs
Your forecast first — then we show what the AIs forecast.
Who finishes higher Sunday: Russell or Hamilton?
Why this question: Russell and Hamilton race in the same Grand Prix
We’ll know the answer
Russell — 4 AIsYou are here
🇺🇸Grok🇺🇸Gemini🇨🇳DeepSeek🇨🇳StepFun
Grok: Russell starts only one place behind Hamilton
Hamilton — 5 AIsYou are here
🇨🇳Wenxin🇨🇳MiMo🇨🇳Z.ai🇺🇸ChatGPT🇺🇸Meta
Wenxin: Russell drives Mercedes too so both team orders could shuffle; Hamilton has older car.
Could not decide (50/50): Nemotron + Mercury
We check it on: formula1.com
We’ll know the answer
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How we will check the answer
We check it on: formula1.com
The answer is due on Oct 25, 2026.
When the day comes, an AI judge that searches the web checks the answer. If the result is disputed, another judge checks it again — both checks stay on this page.
Exact wording, as the AIs got it (in English)
Who will finish higher in Sunday's United States Grand Prix, according to Formula 1's official results: George Russell or Lewis Hamilton?
Fingerprint matches ✓
The question and the AIs’ chances are exactly as they were when we sealed them.
Sealed by us on . Sent to OpenTimestamps, a free public registry that does not belong to us, 18 hours before the answer was due. Fixed for good: nobody, us included, can change it quietly now.
A fingerprint is a short code taken from a record when it is written. Change even one letter and the code is different.
The fingerprint itself, line 169 of the book: fce9621b1e2876a5488234fba55c5a63208e03bac9fc6e6f1c2c270c731a0b04
Check it yourself, without us
- The book of questions: duels.jsonl
- The list we sent and the registry’s answer: polya1-trends-2026-10-25-033413Z.txt · polya1-trends-2026-10-25-033413Z.txt.ots
- The first 169 lines of the book give the same number as the list:
head -n 169 duels.jsonl | shasum -a 256
- The registry’s answer shows when the list existed:
ots verify polya1-trends-2026-10-25-033413Z.txt.ots
or drop both files on opentimestamps.org.