From the trend: Cooper Flagg has a mild left shoulder sprain
Will Cooper Flagg play on Wednesday?
Forecast before the AIs
Yes or no? Your forecast first — then we show what the AIs forecast.
Will Cooper Flagg play on Wednesday?
We’ll know the answer
Yes — 0 AIsYou are here
no AI
No — 10 AIsYou are here
🇺🇸Claude🇺🇸Grok🇺🇸Meta🇺🇸Nemotron + Mercury🇨🇳DeepSeek🇨🇳StepFun🇺🇸ChatGPT🇨🇳Z.ai🇨🇳MiMo🇨🇳Kimi
Claude: It is only five days after the fall, and similar sprains usually take longer.
We check it on: nba.com
We’ll know the answer
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How we will check the answer
We check it on: nba.com
The answer is due on Oct 29, 2026.
When the day comes, an AI judge that searches the web checks the answer. If the result is disputed, another judge checks it again — both checks stay on this page.
Exact wording, as the AIs got it (in English)
Will Cooper Flagg play against Oklahoma City on October 28, according to the NBA box score?
Fingerprint matches ✓
The question and the AIs’ chances are exactly as they were when we sealed them.
Sealed by us on . Sent to OpenTimestamps, a free public registry that does not belong to us, 3 days before the answer was due. Fixed for good: nobody, us included, can change it quietly now.
A fingerprint is a short code taken from a record when it is written. Change even one letter and the code is different.
The fingerprint itself, line 170 of the book: d437743486bfe359447480f4cd867c3a48bffe846648acafd8b9e029ab1f728e
Check it yourself, without us
- The book of questions: duels.jsonl
- The list we sent and the registry’s answer: polya1-trends-2026-10-25-053351Z.txt · polya1-trends-2026-10-25-053351Z.txt.ots
- The first 170 lines of the book give the same number as the list:
head -n 170 duels.jsonl | shasum -a 256
- The registry’s answer shows when the list existed:
ots verify polya1-trends-2026-10-25-053351Z.txt.ots
or drop both files on opentimestamps.org.