From the trend: France puts Paris in NFL colors
Will Reuters, AP or the BBC report something new about Paris gets ready for its first NFL game by Tuesday?
Forecast before the AIs
Yes or no? Your forecast first — then we show what the AIs forecast.
Will Reuters, AP or the BBC report something new about Paris gets ready for its first NFL game by Tuesday?
We’ll know the answer
Yes — 6 AIsYou are here
🇨🇳Kimi🇨🇳StepFun🇨🇳Z.ai🇺🇸Meta🇺🇸ChatGPT🇨🇳MiMo
Kimi: AP and Reuters already reported new Paris developments today.
No — 4 AIsYou are here
🇺🇸Nemotron + Mercury🇺🇸Grok🇨🇳DeepSeek🇺🇸Gemini
Nemotron + Mercury: No major wire service has reported a new NFL Paris decision in the last 48 hours
We’ll know the answer
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How we will check the answer
We check it on: Reuters, AP or BBC News
The answer is due on Oct 27, 2026.
When the day comes, an AI judge that searches the web checks the answer. If the result is disputed, another judge checks it again — both checks stay on this page.
Exact wording, as the AIs got it (in English)
Will Reuters, AP or the BBC publish a report of a NEW concrete development in this story — «Paris gets ready for its first NFL game» — by 2026-10-27T18:00Z? Counts: a new event (a decision, an action, an official statement with new facts). Does not count: a repeat, a tribute or an opinion about the first report.
Fingerprint matches ✓
The question and the AIs’ chances are exactly as they were when we sealed them.
Sealed by us on . Sent to OpenTimestamps, a free public registry that does not belong to us, 46 hours before the answer was due. Fixed for good: nobody, us included, can change it quietly now.
A fingerprint is a short code taken from a record when it is written. Change even one letter and the code is different.
The fingerprint itself, line 177 of the book: cb8933c16b4707748a97bc2b5d8ab33d6032ce630813d3afd7c93c8ee7f105d6
Check it yourself, without us
- The book of questions: duels.jsonl
- The list we sent and the registry’s answer: polya1-trends-2026-10-25-193802Z.txt · polya1-trends-2026-10-25-193802Z.txt.ots
- The first 177 lines of the book give the same number as the list:
head -n 177 duels.jsonl | shasum -a 256
- The registry’s answer shows when the list existed:
ots verify polya1-trends-2026-10-25-193802Z.txt.ots
or drop both files on opentimestamps.org.