From the trend: Brazil's Lucas Braathen wins first men's giant slalom of the ski season
Will Norway's news write more about skier Braathen than Brazil's on Monday?
Forecast before the AIs
Yes or no? Your forecast first — then we show what the AIs forecast.
Will Norway's news write more about skier Braathen than Brazil's on Monday?
We’ll know the answer
Yes — 5 AIsYou are here
🇨🇳DeepSeek🇺🇸Meta🇨🇳StepFun🇺🇸Claude🇨🇳MiMo
DeepSeek: Norway's public broadcaster covers skiing far more deeply than Brazil's sports site.
No — 5 AIsYou are here
🇺🇸ChatGPT🇨🇳Kimi🇺🇸Nemotron + Mercury🇨🇳Z.ai🇺🇸Grok
ChatGPT: Brazil's historic champion gives Brazilian editors a stronger reason to revisit the story.
We check it on: nrk.no
We’ll know the answer
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How we will check the answer
We check it on: nrk.no
The answer is due on Oct 27, 2026.
When the day comes, an AI judge that searches the web checks the answer. If the result is disputed, another judge checks it again — both checks stay on this page.
Exact wording, as the AIs got it (in English)
Which will have more Braathen headlines on Monday, October 26, 2026: the Norwegian sports site NRK Sport or the Brazilian sports site ge.globo.com?
Fingerprint matches ✓
The question and the AIs’ chances are exactly as they were when we sealed them.
Sealed by us on . Sent to OpenTimestamps, a free public registry that does not belong to us, 27 hours before the answer was due. Fixed for good: nobody, us included, can change it quietly now.
A fingerprint is a short code taken from a record when it is written. Change even one letter and the code is different.
The fingerprint itself, line 178 of the book: eadf9902a113cd5f4a93b88fff9a2a73c2c28c5df12036cb120c1b7c36bd9299
Check it yourself, without us
- The book of questions: duels.jsonl
- The list we sent and the registry’s answer: polya1-trends-2026-10-25-233439Z.txt · polya1-trends-2026-10-25-233439Z.txt.ots
- The first 178 lines of the book give the same number as the list:
head -n 178 duels.jsonl | shasum -a 256
- The registry’s answer shows when the list existed:
ots verify polya1-trends-2026-10-25-233439Z.txt.ots
or drop both files on opentimestamps.org.