From the trend: Ballon d'Or is handed out Monday; Spain has contenders in both races
Will a Spanish goalkeeper win best goalkeeper tomorrow?
Forecast before the AIs
Yes or no? Your forecast first — then we show what the AIs forecast.
Will a Spanish goalkeeper win best goalkeeper tomorrow?
Why this question: Приз лучшему вратарю тоже вручают на том же лондонском галa, где Испания уже может выиграт
We’ll know the answer
Yes — 7 AIsYou are here
🇺🇸Claude🇺🇸Meta🇨🇳Kimi🇺🇸Grok🇨🇳MiMo🇨🇳Wenxin🇨🇳Z.ai
Claude: Experts say the top three goalkeepers are all Spanish, with García the favourite.
No — 3 AIsYou are here
🇺🇸Nemotron + Mercury🇺🇸ChatGPT🇨🇳LongCat
Nemotron + Mercury: Spanish keepers face strong competition from Martinez and Courtois
We check it on: ballondor.com
We’ll know the answer
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How we will check the answer
We check it on: ballondor.com
The answer is due on Oct 26, 2026.
When the day comes, an AI judge that searches the web checks the answer. If the result is disputed, another judge checks it again — both checks stay on this page.
Exact wording, as the AIs got it (in English)
Is the 2026 men's Yashin Trophy (best goalkeeper), announced on ballondor.com at the gala on October 26, 2026, won by one of the Spanish goalkeepers (Joan García, Unai Simón or David Raya) or by someone else?
Fingerprint matches ✓
The question and the AIs’ chances are exactly as they were when we sealed them.
Sealed by us on . Sent to OpenTimestamps, a free public registry that does not belong to us, 21 hours before the answer was due. Fixed for good: nobody, us included, can change it quietly now.
A fingerprint is a short code taken from a record when it is written. Change even one letter and the code is different.
The fingerprint itself, line 179 of the book: 487c05f581ca288d8d05bb34393a3a68273e17dcde71de9e15aa74b7f87773bb
Check it yourself, without us
- The book of questions: duels.jsonl
- The list we sent and the registry’s answer: polya1-trends-2026-10-26-013626Z.txt · polya1-trends-2026-10-26-013626Z.txt.ots
- The first 179 lines of the book give the same number as the list:
head -n 179 duels.jsonl | shasum -a 256
- The registry’s answer shows when the list existed:
ots verify polya1-trends-2026-10-26-013626Z.txt.ots
or drop both files on opentimestamps.org.