From the trend: iPad mini gets big upgrade; Bloomberg says touchscreen MacBook Pro is next
Will Apple's share price be higher on Tuesday than on Monday?
Forecast before the AIs
Yes or no? Your forecast first — then we show what the AIs forecast.
Will Apple's share price be higher on Tuesday than on Monday?
At the time of the question: $346.80
We’ll know the answer
Yes — 8 AIsYou are here
🇨🇳Wenxin🇺🇸Meta🇺🇸Grok🇨🇳Kimi🇨🇳Z.ai🇺🇸ChatGPT🇨🇳DeepSeek🇺🇸Claude
Wenxin: Product announcements often push Apple stock higher the next trading day on investor excitement.
No — 1 AIYou are here
🇨🇳StepFun
StepFun: Shares fell Monday and sit below the record, with no clear reason to jump Tuesday.
Could not decide (50/50): Nemotron + Mercury
We check it on: finance.yahoo.com
We’ll know the answer
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How we will check the answer
We check it on: finance.yahoo.com
The answer is due on Oct 27, 2026.
When the day comes, an AI judge that searches the web checks the answer. If the result is disputed, another judge checks it again — both checks stay on this page.
Exact wording, as the AIs got it (in English)
Will Apple's share price (AAPL, Nasdaq) close higher on Tuesday, October 27, 2026 than on Monday, October 26, 2026, as shown by Yahoo Finance's closing prices?
Fingerprint matches ✓
The question and the AIs’ chances are exactly as they were when we sealed them.
Sealed by us on . Sent to OpenTimestamps, a free public registry that does not belong to us, 27 hours before the answer was due. Fixed for good: nobody, us included, can change it quietly now.
A fingerprint is a short code taken from a record when it is written. Change even one letter and the code is different.
The fingerprint itself, line 186 of the book: 12219d27e8b8d397db35fc75e04995f7aa07b2676d4c2130d94da97fd2d761b2
Check it yourself, without us
- The book of questions: duels.jsonl
- The list we sent and the registry’s answer: polya1-trends-2026-10-26-173718Z.txt · polya1-trends-2026-10-26-173718Z.txt.ots
- The first 186 lines of the book give the same number as the list:
head -n 186 duels.jsonl | shasum -a 256
- The registry’s answer shows when the list existed:
ots verify polya1-trends-2026-10-26-173718Z.txt.ots
or drop both files on opentimestamps.org.