From the trend: Garmin's new luxury watch can call for help by satellite, from $2,500
Will Garmin's share price be $270 or more on Friday?
Guess before the AIs
Yes or no? You first — then we show what 8 AIs answered.
Will Garmin's share price be $270 or more on Friday?
At the time of the question: $269.36
We’ll know the answer
Yes — 1 AIYou are here
🇨🇳Qwen
Qwen: The stock price is already almost at the target amount.
No — 7 AIsYou are here
🇨🇳Wenxin🇺🇸Nova🇺🇸Perplexity🇺🇸Grok🇺🇸Meta AI🇨🇳DeepSeek🇨🇳Z.ai
Wenxin: Price far above current $290 is unlikely
We check it on: stockanalysis.com
We’ll know the answer
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How we will check the answer
We check it on: stockanalysis.com
The answer is due on Oct 16, 2026.
When the day comes, an AI judge that searches the web checks the answer. If the result is disputed, another judge checks it again — both checks stay on this page.
Exact wording, as the AIs got it (in English)
Will Garmin's share price close at $270.00 or more on Friday, October 16, 2026, by the daily close on stockanalysis.com?
Fingerprint matches ✓
The question and the AIs’ chances are exactly as they were when we sealed them.
Sealed by us on . Sent to OpenTimestamps, a free public registry that does not belong to us, 3 days before the answer was due. Fixed for good: nobody, us included, can change it quietly now.
A fingerprint is a short code taken from a record when it is written. Change even one letter and the code is different.
The fingerprint itself, line 9 of the book: 9c23f1a2601cde03b29e16209d054df4643ce390cb5f526ce62002e82c76703d
Check it yourself, without us
- The book of questions: duels.jsonl
- The list we sent and the registry’s answer: polya1-trends-2026-10-13-153505Z.txt · polya1-trends-2026-10-13-153505Z.txt.ots
- The first 9 lines of the book give the same number as the list:
head -n 9 duels.jsonl | shasum -a 256
- The registry’s answer shows when the list existed:
ots verify polya1-trends-2026-10-13-153505Z.txt.ots
or drop both files on opentimestamps.org.