From the trend: Argentina finds out today how fast prices rose in September
Will the online shop Mercado Libre's share price rise on Wednesday?
Guess before the AIs
Yes or no? You first — then we show what 10 AIs answered.
Will the online shop Mercado Libre's share price rise on Wednesday?
At the time of the question: $1,892
We’ll know the answer
Yes — 8 AIsYou are here
🇺🇸Nova🇺🇸Meta AI🇨🇳DeepSeek🇨🇳Qwen🇨🇳Z.ai🇺🇸ChatGPT🇺🇸Gemini🇨🇳Kimi
Nova: Market expects higher inflation, pushing MELI up
No — 1 AIYou are here
🇺🇸Grok
Grok: Share price has been steady with small daily moves.
Could not decide (50/50): MiMo
We check it on: google.com
We’ll know the answer
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How we will check the answer
We check it on: google.com
The answer is due on Oct 14, 2026.
When the day comes, an AI judge that searches the web checks the answer. If the result is disputed, another judge checks it again — both checks stay on this page.
Exact wording, as the AIs got it (in English)
Will MercadoLibre's share price (Nasdaq: MELI) close higher on Wednesday, October 14, 2026, than on Tuesday, October 13, 2026, as shown on Google Finance? An unchanged close counts as no.
Fingerprint matches ✓
The question and the AIs’ chances are exactly as they were when we sealed them.
Sealed by us on . Sent to OpenTimestamps, a free public registry that does not belong to us, 26 hours before the answer was due. Fixed for good: nobody, us included, can change it quietly now.
A fingerprint is a short code taken from a record when it is written. Change even one letter and the code is different.
The fingerprint itself, line 11 of the book: 936c6e9d7569dd245b8091a5845dcf357491b5965f1094f86d18dc73a2a6ab22
Check it yourself, without us
- The book of questions: duels.jsonl
- The list we sent and the registry’s answer: polya1-trends-2026-10-13-174224Z.txt · polya1-trends-2026-10-13-174224Z.txt.ots
- The first 11 lines of the book give the same number as the list:
head -n 11 duels.jsonl | shasum -a 256
- The registry’s answer shows when the list existed:
ots verify polya1-trends-2026-10-13-174224Z.txt.ots
or drop both files on opentimestamps.org.