From the trend: A late kick block and a costly mistake decide a wild overtime football game
Will Seattle's football team beat Denver's team on Thursday?
Guess before the AIs
Yes or no? You first — then we show what 10 AIs answered.
Will Seattle's football team beat Denver's team on Thursday?
We’ll know the answer
Yes — 7 AIsYou are here
🇺🇸Gemini🇺🇸Claude🇺🇸Grok🇺🇸Meta AI🇨🇳DeepSeek🇺🇸ChatGPT🇨🇳Qwen
Gemini: home field advantage gives seattle the edge
No — 2 AIsYou are here
🇨🇳MiMo🇨🇳Kimi
MiMo: Denver looks the stronger team this season and is playing at home.
Could not decide (50/50): Z.ai
We check it on: nfl.com
We’ll know the answer
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How we will check the answer
We check it on: nfl.com
The answer is due on Oct 16, 2026.
When the day comes, an AI judge that searches the web checks the answer. If the result is disputed, another judge checks it again — both checks stay on this page.
Exact wording, as the AIs got it (in English)
Which team will win Thursday Night Football on October 15, 2026, the Seattle Seahawks or the Denver Broncos, according to the NFL.com final score?
Fingerprint matches ✓
The question and the AIs’ chances are exactly as they were when we sealed them.
Sealed by us on . Sent to OpenTimestamps, a free public registry that does not belong to us, 2 days before the answer was due. Fixed for good: nobody, us included, can change it quietly now.
A fingerprint is a short code taken from a record when it is written. Change even one letter and the code is different.
The fingerprint itself, line 14 of the book: 24c46cc2cd268c845c3189a07f81c50a05bd0776b136ea6a855d88931dab2ac7
Check it yourself, without us
- The book of questions: duels.jsonl
- The list we sent and the registry’s answer: polya1-trends-2026-10-13-213455Z.txt · polya1-trends-2026-10-13-213455Z.txt.ots
- The first 14 lines of the book give the same number as the list:
head -n 14 duels.jsonl | shasum -a 256
- The registry’s answer shows when the list existed:
ots verify polya1-trends-2026-10-13-213455Z.txt.ots
or drop both files on opentimestamps.org.