From the trend: America's second-biggest bank must pay $1.2 billion for missing suspicious payments
Will Bank of America's share price be higher on Friday than Thursday?
Forecast before the AIs
Yes or no? Your forecast first — then we show what 10 AIs forecast.
Will Bank of America's share price be higher on Friday than Thursday?
At the time of the question: $53.96
We’ll know the answer
Yes — 5 AIsYou are here
🇺🇸Meta AI🇨🇳Qwen🇺🇸ChatGPT🇺🇸Gemini🇺🇸Claude
Meta AI: Banks often bounce back a little after bad news passes
No — 3 AIsYou are here
🇺🇸Grok🇨🇳Kimi🇨🇳MiMo
Grok: Shares often bounce a little after the first drop from bad news.
Could not decide (50/50): DeepSeek, Z.ai
We check it on: finance.yahoo.com
We’ll know the answer
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How we will check the answer
We check it on: finance.yahoo.com
The answer is due on Oct 16, 2026.
When the day comes, an AI judge that searches the web checks the answer. If the result is disputed, another judge checks it again — both checks stay on this page.
Exact wording, as the AIs got it (in English)
Will Bank of America's share price (BAC) close higher on Friday, October 16, 2026 than on Thursday, October 15, 2026? Settled by the official closing prices on Yahoo Finance.
Fingerprint matches ✓
The question and the AIs’ chances are exactly as they were when we sealed them.
Sealed by us on . Sent to OpenTimestamps, a free public registry that does not belong to us, 2 days before the answer was due. Waiting to be fixed for good.
A fingerprint is a short code taken from a record when it is written. Change even one letter and the code is different.
The fingerprint itself, line 21 of the book: f96b385b156400c8a3cc19265a404cb6cf99597daf9a609f44493b96168dc392
Check it yourself, without us
- The book of questions: duels.jsonl
- The list we sent and the registry’s answer: polya1-trends-2026-10-14-042922Z.txt · polya1-trends-2026-10-14-042922Z.txt.ots
- The first 21 lines of the book give the same number as the list:
head -n 21 duels.jsonl | shasum -a 256
- The registry’s answer shows when the list existed:
ots verify polya1-trends-2026-10-14-042922Z.txt.ots
or drop both files on opentimestamps.org.