From the trend: Medvedev doesn't give advice unless asked; young players can ask him
Will tennis player Daniil Medvedev rank top five this season on Monday?
Forecast before the AIs
Yes or no? Your forecast first — then we show what the AIs forecast.
Will tennis player Daniil Medvedev rank top five this season on Monday?
At the time of the question: 6th
Why this question: Тот же игрок, но другой список очков
We’ll know the answer
Yes — 5 AIsYou are here
🇺🇸Gemini🇨🇳DeepSeek🇺🇸Nemotron + Mercury🇨🇳Kimi🇺🇸Meta
Gemini: His season points tally keeps him well clear of sixth place before Paris.
No — 5 AIsYou are here
🇨🇳StepFun🇺🇸ChatGPT🇺🇸Claude🇨🇳MiMo🇨🇳Z.ai
StepFun: Sixth in the race, with no event left to climb before Monday.
We check it on: atptour.com
We’ll know the answer
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How we will check the answer
We check it on: atptour.com
The answer is due on Oct 26, 2026.
When the day comes, an AI judge that searches the web checks the answer. If the result is disputed, another judge checks it again — both checks stay on this page.
Exact wording, as the AIs got it (in English)
Will Daniil Medvedev be 5th or higher in the official ATP Race to Turin standings (this year's points race for the season-ending ATP Finals) published on Monday, October 26, 2026, on atptour.com?
Fingerprint matches ✓
The question and the AIs’ chances are exactly as they were when we sealed them.
Sealed by us on . Sent to OpenTimestamps, a free public registry that does not belong to us, 43 hours before the answer was due. Fixed for good: nobody, us included, can change it quietly now.
A fingerprint is a short code taken from a record when it is written. Change even one letter and the code is different.
The fingerprint itself, line 163 of the book: 79e10450473cf83e2c589c783e5ee6d0a00e8e106fd53bbc48d78bedce8a1110
Check it yourself, without us
- The book of questions: duels.jsonl
- The list we sent and the registry’s answer: polya1-trends-2026-10-24-165329Z.txt · polya1-trends-2026-10-24-165329Z.txt.ots
- The first 163 lines of the book give the same number as the list:
head -n 163 duels.jsonl | shasum -a 256
- The registry’s answer shows when the list existed:
ots verify polya1-trends-2026-10-24-165329Z.txt.ots
or drop both files on opentimestamps.org.