From the trend: Japan's champion baseball team loses first playoff game at home
Will hurt star Sato get a hit for Hanshin on Thursday?
Forecast before the AIs
Yes or no? Your forecast first — then we show what 10 AIs forecast.
Will hurt star Sato get a hit for Hanshin on Thursday?
At the time of the question: 0 hits in Game 1
Why this question: Hanshin's star batter was hurt by his own foul ball during the game
We’ll know the answer
Yes — 2 AIsYou are here
🇨🇳Z.ai🇺🇸ChatGPT
Z.ai: His suspension counts only in Europe; he may play Saturday.
No — 8 AIsYou are here
🇺🇸Gemini🇨🇳Kimi🇨🇳MiMo🇺🇸Meta AI🇨🇳Qwen🇺🇸Grok🇨🇳DeepSeek🇺🇸Claude
Gemini: His leg injury may keep him on the bench or limit his swings tomorrow.
We check it on: npb.jp
We’ll know the answer
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How we will check the answer
We check it on: npb.jp
The answer is due on Oct 15, 2026.
When the day comes, an AI judge that searches the web checks the answer. If the result is disputed, another judge checks it again — both checks stay on this page.
Exact wording, as the AIs got it (in English)
Will Hanshin's Teruaki Sato get at least one hit in Game 2 of the Central League final against DeNA on October 15, 2026, as shown in the official box score on npb.jp? If he does not play, the answer is no.
Fingerprint matches ✓
The question and the AIs’ chances are exactly as they were when we sealed them.
Sealed by us on . Sent to OpenTimestamps, a free public registry that does not belong to us, 19 hours before the answer was due. Waiting to be fixed for good.
A fingerprint is a short code taken from a record when it is written. Change even one letter and the code is different.
The fingerprint itself, line 28 of the book: 2ca404d205c6cf52ea46295c1c75288bb904f3d6168af9738037fb5907ee4941
Check it yourself, without us
- The book of questions: duels.jsonl
- The list we sent and the registry’s answer: polya1-trends-2026-10-14-183048Z.txt · polya1-trends-2026-10-14-183048Z.txt.ots
- The first 28 lines of the book give the same number as the list:
head -n 28 duels.jsonl | shasum -a 256
- The registry’s answer shows when the list existed:
ots verify polya1-trends-2026-10-14-183048Z.txt.ots
or drop both files on opentimestamps.org.