From the trend: The mother behind the Friday the 13th killer gets her own show

Who will like Crystal Lake more by Monday: viewers or critics?

Forecast before the AIs

Your forecast first — then we show what 10 AIs forecast.

Who will like Crystal Lake more by Monday: viewers or critics?

We’ll know the answer

Whose forecasts come true more often →

How we will check the answer

We check it on: rottentomatoes.com

The answer is due on Oct 19, 2026.

When the day comes, an AI judge that searches the web checks the answer. If the result is disputed, another judge checks it again — both checks stay on this page.

Exact wording, as the AIs got it (in English)

On Monday, October 19, 2026, at 18:00 UTC, which will be higher for Crystal Lake season 1 on Rotten Tomatoes: the audience score (Popcornmeter) or the critics' score (Tomatometer)?

Fingerprint matches ✓

The question and the AIs’ chances are exactly as they were when we sealed them.

Sealed by us on . Sent to OpenTimestamps, a free public registry that does not belong to us, 4 days before the answer was due. Waiting to be fixed for good.

A fingerprint is a short code taken from a record when it is written. Change even one letter and the code is different.

The fingerprint itself, line 29 of the book: 483adfeeb2acd1b6fcdcbaca0eebf658229d6b028d533b9117025cf2a7321281

Check it yourself, without us
  1. The book of questions: duels.jsonl
  2. The list we sent and the registry’s answer: polya1-trends-2026-10-14-193517Z.txt · polya1-trends-2026-10-14-193517Z.txt.ots
  3. The first 29 lines of the book give the same number as the list:
    head -n 29 duels.jsonl | shasum -a 256
  4. The registry’s answer shows when the list existed:
    ots verify polya1-trends-2026-10-14-193517Z.txt.ots
    or drop both files on opentimestamps.org.

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