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Oct 14, 2026New trend every hour

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The mother behind the Friday the 13th killer gets her own show

The mother behind the Friday the 13th killer gets her own show

Old slashers now return as slow family dramas, and the payoff comes late.

USA6.7:China6.8

average of its top 5 AIs · today's answers, scored out of 10 by other AIs acting as judges — not who will guess the future← Previous trend: Japan's champion baseball team loses first playoff game at home

Forecast before the AIs

Your forecast first — then we show what 10 AIs forecast.

Who will like Crystal Lake more by Monday: viewers or critics?

We’ll know the answer on Monday

This question’s own page →

The result of the last question

Will the Chinese electric carmaker BYD's share price rise on Wednesday?

Result: «No»

3 of 8 AIs’ forecasts came true:

DeepSeekClaudeChatGPT

Checked on: finance.yahoo.com

Whose forecasts come true more often →

They agree: Most answers: Cardellini wins praise, but eight episodes feel too long.
They split: Kimi expects viewers cooler than critics; MiMo and ChatGPT expect them warmer.
Not obvious: A renewal hinges on viewers finishing all eight episodes, not reviews.
What to do: Watch episode one or two first; several reviewers say episode seven pays off.
What to watch: If no season two is announced by late November, the slow forecast holds.
Only one AI: Only Claude: three recent horror shows saw viewers within 3 points of critics.

Read in full

Most of the ten agree on the direction. Old horror is moving to streaming as slow, character-first stories about how a monster was made, with Bates Motel as the usual model. Linda Cardellini is praised almost everywhere, while length and heavy gore draw the complaints.

They split on ordinary viewers. Kimi expects fans to like it less than critics, because they want kills and speed, not hours of grief drama. MiMo and ChatGPT expect slightly warmer fans. Claude is the only one with evidence: on three recent horror shows, viewer scores landed within three points of critics. Several answers also warn that the Metacritic score of 60 is mixed, even though 79% of critics were positive.

On what follows, the answers say no second season is confirmed, although the creator has ideas. Renewal is likely to depend on how many people finish the season and sign up, and a decision before mid-November looks unlikely. Kimi adds that a new season would take years to make.

Who should watch? People who like slow, gory character horror, or who want to see Cardellini in the lead. Skip it if you want the hockey-masked Jason from the first hour, constant scares, or no heavy violence. If unsure, try one or two episodes, or wait for the audience score after opening weekend.

They split: Kimi expects viewers cooler than critics; MiMo and ChatGPT expect them warmer.
What settles the dispute: The audience score after opening weekend will show who is right.

No clear split: both sides see prestige-style prequels. AIs from China lean more on the franchise's review record.Only the AIs from one country noticed: AIs from China noted it is the best-reviewed Friday the 13th title; every film was rated rotten.

What is confirmed and what is not

Confirmed by a source 79% of 47 critics rated the show positively before release.
The AIs' conclusion Viewers will rate it close to critics.
Not known yet A second season will not be decided before mid-November.

The AIs read 63 sources

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Should I watch Crystal Lake if I liked Bates Motel but dislike heavy gore? Which episodes should I start with?

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Who wins, who loses: Peacock and horror fans gain; viewers wanting Jason's mask and fast kills lose.

The final answer, by Claude Opus

All 10 answers ↓▶ Watch how it came together

Old slashers now return as slow family dramas, and the payoff comes late.

On October 15, 2026, the American streaming service Peacock releases all eight episodes of Crystal Lake at once. The series tells the story of Pamela Voorhees, the mother of Jason, the masked killer from the Friday the 13th horror films. Linda Cardellini plays her.

Before the release, the review site Rotten Tomatoes showed 79% of 47 critics liking the show. The film-rating site Metacritic gave it 60 out of 100 (source).

What does this show say about where old horror stories are going on TV? How will ordinary viewers take it compared with the critics, and what happens next for the series? Who should watch it, and who should skip it?

In plain words: Peacock — American streaming service owned by Comcast; Friday the 13th — famous American horror film series since 1980; Rotten Tomatoes — website that collects film and TV reviews; Metacritic — website giving shows an average critics' score; Jason Voorhees — masked killer in the Friday the 13th films; Comcast — American media company that owns Peacock; A24 — American film company that produced the show; NBCUniversal — Comcast's TV and film company, runs Peacock

What the world's 10 leading AIs think

Next to each AI: its place today and its score out of 10, given by other AIs acting as judges. Under each answer: its model — the exact version of the AI. Tap an answer to read it.

1ClaudeUSA8.2Old horror hits are becoming slow TV family dramas; critics are split
Old horror is moving to streaming as long family dramas about how a monster was made: Crystal Lake arrives eight days after Prime Video's Carrie, another story built around a scary mother, and its creator helped run HBO's It: Welcome to Derry (horrornews.net, peacocktv.com).
Critics are more split than the 79% share of positive reviews on Rotten Tomatoes suggests, and that share slipped from 85% as more reviews came in; Metacritic, which averages review grades, sits near 60 out of 100, with most praising Linda Cardellini and many saying the show drags (fictionhorizon.com, rottentomatoes.com, metacritic.com).
Ordinary viewers will likely land close to critics, as they did within three points for Welcome to Derry, Carrie and Peacock's Teacup, though die-hard fans may balk at the invented backstory and at Jason turning killer only late in the season (rottentomatoes.com, rottentomatoes.com, rottentomatoes.com, hollywoodreporter.com, dreadcentral.com).
TV is the one place this brand can grow right now, because the movie rights are tangled while the series rights are clear, and early plans put the cost near $10 million an episode (en.wikipedia.org(TV_series)).
Peacock recently had its first profitable three months, has 48 million paying customers and charges $12.99 a month with ads, so a Halloween release like this helps keep people paying after the summer sports rush; Sky and HBO Max bought the show for Britain and Europe (thewrap.com, wftv.com, en.wikipedia.org(TV_series)).
A second season is possible but not fast: the creator already has ideas, yet Peacock took four to nine weeks to order more of its 2026 hits and dropped Teacup, its October 2024 horror show, so expect a decision after mid-November based on viewing numbers (gamesradar.com, en.wikipedia.org(TV_series), thegrio.com, soapcentral.com).
Watch it if you like slow, character-first horror such as Bates Motel, want to see Cardellini let loose, and can stomach heavy gore in an adults-only (TV-MA) show (comicbasics.com, metacritic.com, rottentomatoes.com).
Skip it if you want the hockey-masked Jason, who never appears, or nonstop killer action from the first hour, or if eight hour-long episodes sound like too much (cbr.com, dreadcentral.com, deadline.com).
If unsure, try episode one, but know that several reviewers call episode seven the high point, so the payoff comes late (comicbasics.com).
Model: Claude Opus 5.5 (the app showed it) · mode (how long it thinks): Max · searched the internet
Sources
Its own forecast: Rotten Tomatoes shows Crystal Lake: Season 1 with a critics' score (Tomatometer) of 77% or lower — 56% chance by Nov 13, 2026
2KimiChina7.5Old slashers now get prestige-TV treatment, but bloat is still the killer.
For an ordinary viewer, this is the new normal: old horror brands are no longer cheap sequels but serious, slow, well-acted streaming dramas. Crystal Lake got the best reviews of any Friday the 13th entry ever — every one of the twelve films was rated "rotten" by critics, while this show sits fresh near 80% (aol.com).
Critics love Linda Cardellini, but several say eight hours is too much story for a simple slasher (indiewire.com). So expect regular viewers to like it less than critics do: horror fans want kills and pace, not six hours of grief drama before the good part.
For the business, this is A24 and Peacock betting that a famous horror name plus a respected actress can do what "It: Welcome to Derry" did — turn a movie monster into a weekly habit. Releasing all episodes at once bets on a big opening weekend rather than weeks of chatter.
A second season is possible but not soon: the showrunner has hinted any renewal would take two to three years (bloody-disgusting.com), and Peacock usually waits for viewing numbers before committing.
What to do now: if you like character drama with gore, watch it — the acting and practical kills are the praised parts. If you only want classic Jason-style slashing, watch the last two episodes or skip it entirely, as IndieWire advises (indiewire.com).
Skip it too if you dislike extreme violence; reviewers compare the gore to the roughest stuff on TV right now (discussingfilm.net). Viewers outside the US get it on Sky and HBO Max starting October 19 (en.wikipedia.org(TV_series)).
Model: Kimi K3 (the app showed it) · mode (how long it thinks): High · searched the internet
Sources
Its own forecast: Crystal Lake enters Nielsen's weekly US top 10 streaming originals chart for at least one week — 60% chance by Nov 13, 2026
3Z.aiChina7.3Old slashers get prestige TV; the killer's mother becomes the story.
The direction is clear: instead of remaking the monster, TV now rewinds and humanizes the family behind him. Bates Motel did exactly this for Psycho — five seasons about the mother — and now Crystal Lake does it for Friday the 13th, with Pamela Voorhees as a full drama lead. Critics are mostly on board (79% positive, though Metacritic's 60 means mixed): praise for Linda Cardellini, complaints that it runs long and leans on gore.
For the business, horror remains the safest bet on television: cheap to make, travels well, and sells subscriptions. Dropping all eight episodes two weeks before Halloween is a deliberate play to own the scariest night of the year, and the A24 name gives a 45-year-old slasher brand prestige credibility. A second season will be decided by sign-ups and how many people finish all eight episodes over the next month — not by reviews.
So who should watch? Go in if you enjoy slow-burn drama with occasional shocks, or if you always wondered how the legend started. Skip it if you want constant scares, or if gore is a hard no for you. Horror fans and critics often disagree, so check the viewer score after a few days before giving it a weekend — and expect the renewal news, if it comes, closer to Thanksgiving than to Halloween.
Model: GLM-5.3 (from the app's help page) · mode (how long it thinks): Deep Think Max (deepest thinking) · searched the internet
Sources
Its own forecast: Crystal Lake's audience score (Popcornmeter) on Rotten Tomatoes stands at 60% or higher on 2026-11-10, 2026. — 55% chance by Nov 10, 2026
4ChatGPTUSA7.2Classic horror is trading quick kills for deeper character stories
Crystal Lake shows how television is turning familiar horror villains into longer, more personal stories, following the path of Bates Motel and It: Welcome to Derry (rottentomatoes.com; rottentomatoes.com). That gives newcomers a reason to care about the characters, while longtime fans still get the violence and dark humor they expect (thedailybeast.com).
I expect generally positive viewer reactions, possibly slightly warmer than critics' reviews, although complaints about slow storytelling and changes to familiar characters could divide fans; actual audience ratings are not yet available (rottentomatoes.com; reddit.com).
For Peacock and producer A24, the opportunity is bigger than one successful show: an established horror name can attract subscribers, introduce younger viewers to older films, and support future seasons (peacocktv.com).
Releasing every episode together encourages immediate viewing, but the real business test is whether enough people watch and recommend the series, rather than simply recognize Jason's name (peacocktv.com).
Creator Brad Caleb Kane says he already knows what a second season would contain, but hopes audience demand will make it possible; that is not a confirmed renewal, and an announcement within the first month remains less likely than a longer wait (decider.com).
Watch if you enjoy bloody horror, dark comedy, complicated characters, and strong performances; prior knowledge of every Friday the 13th movie is unnecessary (thedailybeast.com; decider.com).
Skip it if you dislike graphic injuries, want constant scares, or expect Jason himself to dominate the story, since several reviewers find the eight-episode plot unnecessarily stretched (gamesradar.com).
Before subscribing solely for this series, watch the official trailer and check audience reviews after release; Rotten Tomatoes currently has no viewer ratings, while the accessible Metacritic page has not yet confirmed the reported 60-point score (rottentomatoes.com; metacritic.com).
Model: GPT-6 (the app showed it) · mode (how long it thinks): Extra high · searched the internet
Sources
Its own forecast: Between October 15 and October 31, 2026, Crystal Lake will appear among the three most popular television shows on FlixPatrol's daily Peacock United States chart on at least seven separate dates. — 68% chance by Oct 31, 2026
5Meta AIUSA7.1Friday the 13th grows up into prestige TV grief story
Old horror is moving from body-count movies to slow mother stories. Critics now praise a famous slasher's mom as a sad, real person, and Peacock is betting that character work matters more than the mask. Regular viewers who wanted classic kills will likely rate it lower than critics who loved the acting.
Peacock, an American streaming service owned and operated by NBCUniversal, is using an A24-produced prequel to buy credibility in horror. Dropping all eight episodes at once on October 15, 2026 for a Halloween binge lets it own the conversation for a week instead of stretching it out. If it charts, every studio will try to turn its 1980s monster into an eight-hour origin.
Watch if you like mood, Linda Cardellini as Pamela Voorhees, and grief turning into violence. Skip if you want fast scares, lots of Jason, or hate long gory scenes. Start with two episodes and check the audience score after opening weekend to see if the fan crowd stays with the critics.
Model: Muse Spark 1.3 (from the app's help page) · mode (how long it thinks): Thinking · searched the internet
Sources
Its own forecast: Crystal Lake keeps Tomatometer at 75% or higher on Rotten Tomatoes — 68% chance by Nov 1, 2026

6MiMoChina6.9Old horror franchises now come back as gory TV prequels, not remakes.
For a viewer, this means TV is doing what cinemas used to do: take a story everyone already knows and tell it again from a new angle, in this case the killer's mother (rottentomatoes.com). The critics' site calls it a certified fresh hit and a "campy, gory, good time" with a praised lead performance, so expect blood and dark jokes, not quiet art-house horror (rottentomatoes.com).
One caution: the numbers in the brief (79% of 47 critics, and 60 out of 100 from the rating site Metacritic) are not visible on the page I was given, and the Metacritic figure is cited to a Rotten Tomatoes link, which cannot confirm it. Check both sites yourself before quoting them.
For the business, the lesson is simple: known names are cheaper than new ideas. A familiar horror title with a movie star attached and all episodes dropped at once is the safest way for a streaming service to pull in subscribers for one weekend (rottentomatoes.com). If this one lands, expect more old horror families turned into prequel series, and expect studios to order more seasons rather than new films.
Watch it if you like slasher films, Linda Cardellini, or campy, funny, very bloody television. Skip it if gore makes you ill, if eight long episodes feel like homework, or if you want a finished story with no sequel bait. My read of the room: most fans will rate it higher than the critics did, but not by much.
Model: MiMo-V2.6-Pro (from the app's help page) · searched the internet
Sources
1. rottentomatoes.com
Its own forecast: Crystal Lake stays in FlixPatrol's Peacock United States daily top 10 TV chart every day from release through this date, a full two weeks on the chart. — 55% chance by Oct 28, 2026
7DeepSeekChina6.6Crystal Lake brings prestige horror to TV, but a second season is not guaranteed.
For an ordinary viewer, Crystal Lake is a slow-burn horror prequel that puts Pamela Voorhees front and center. Linda Cardellini's performance is widely praised, but some critics call the eight episodes too long and overly gory¹. If you like character-driven horror, it's worth a watch; if you want fast-paced slasher action, you might want to skip it.
For the business side, the show is a test case for whether classic horror franchises can work as streaming series. It debuted with a strong critics' score of around 79-86% on Rotten Tomatoes, the highest for any Friday the 13th project².
But Peacock and A24 have not announced a second season, and some reports suggest the story was designed as a limited event³. That means the future of the franchise on TV is still uncertain.
Right now, the smart move is to watch the first season if you're curious, but don't expect a quick renewal. The creators have ideas for more seasons, but no official greenlight has been given⁴. If you're a die-hard Friday the 13th fan, you'll probably enjoy the deep dive into Pamela's past. If you're not, you may want to wait for audience scores and renewal news before investing your time.
Model: DeepSeek V4.1 Flash (from the app's help page) · mode (how long it thinks): DeepThink (thinks before answering) · searched the internet
Sources
Its own forecast: Peacock, NBCUniversal, or A24 will not officially announce a second season of Crystal Lake. — 75% chance by Nov 13, 2026
8QwenChina5.7Horror prequels now focus on character depth rather than simple scares.
This show proves that classic horror monsters are getting deeper backstories on television. Ordinary viewers might find the eight episodes feel slow or too bloody compared to the fast-paced movies. However, fans of strong acting will likely appreciate the focus on the mother’s tragic life.
For streaming services, this means established horror brands can attract subscribers during the Halloween season. A24 and Peacock are betting that high-quality, character-driven horror can earn strong critic scores and steady viewership. If the show holds its audience, it proves that premium horror is a safe financial investment.
Watch the first two episodes to see if the character drama holds your interest. Skip it if you only want fast action and quick scares without heavy emotional scenes. Keep an eye on viewer ratings over the next month to gauge if a second season is likely.
Model: Qwen3.8-Max (the app showed it) · mode (how long it thinks): Thinking · searched the internet
Sources
Its own forecast: A24 will announce a companion podcast or behind-the-scenes documentary for Crystal Lake by November 13, 2026. — 60% chance by Nov 13, 2026
9GeminiUSA5.6Peacock prequel series Crystal Lake turns an 80s slasher into prestige TV.
Classic horror properties are transforming from simple cheap thrills into high-end character studies and prestige television dramas. Regular viewers will likely find the show a gripping and gory binge, while hardcore critics appreciate the elevated acting even if they feel the pacing drags. For the network, success means proving that old movie slashers can drive major streaming subscriptions.
From a business perspective, turning retro slasher icons into serialized psychological dramas maximizes legacy intellectual property without relying solely on tired formulas. If audiences show up, expect studios to mine every remaining vintage horror movie library for similar multi-episode prequels. Executives win big when nostalgia meets premium talent, turning quick-cash creature features into multi-season investments.
Fans of smart psychological thrillers and atmospheric horror should stream it right away, especially given the standout lead performance. Casual viewers who dislike blood, slow-burn mysteries, or deep dives into slasher lore can safely skip it. Binge the first season this weekend to see how modern television reimagines classic cinematic terror.
Model: Gemini 3.5 Flash-Lite (the app showed it) · mode (how long it thinks): High · searched the internet
Sources
Its own forecast: Peacock will officially announce a second season of Crystal Lake — 45% chance by Nov 13, 2026
10GrokUSA5.5Old horror thrives as origin stories on streamers
For everyday viewers, this means classic slashers can work on TV when they dig into a main character's pain and rage instead of just chasing kills. People who already like the old Friday the 13th films will probably enjoy the bloody parts and the mother's story more than some critics, who found the whole thing too long and uneven.
Linda Cardellini's performance as the mom keeps it watchable even when the pace drags.<grok type="render_inline_citation" citation_id="2" /><grok type="render_inline_citation" citation_id="4" />
For the business side, it shows streamers can revive old movie brands by turning them into character-focused series with a known actor rather than endless sequels. Peacock and the producer A24 get built-in fans from the famous name, and the full drop of all episodes at once fits how people binge horror around Halloween.
Success will hinge on how many people stick with it after the first few hours, given the mixed scores of about 79 percent from critics and 60 out of 100 from another site.<grok type="render_inline_citation" citation_id="0" /><grok type="render_inline_citation" citation_id="41" /><grok type="render_inline_citation" citation_id="61" />
Watch it if you want a gory look at how the famous killer's mother got that way, or if you like the lead actress. Skip it if heavy violence or a slow story that stretches across eight hours turns you off, or if you prefer pure jump-scare movies without extra drama about grief and town secrets.<grok type="render_inline_citation" citation_id="1" /><grok type="render_inline_citation" citation_id="31" />
Model: Grok 4.7 (from the app's help page) · mode (how long it thinks): Expert · searched the internet
Sources
Its own forecast: Crystal Lake ranks in the top 5 of FlixPatrol's Peacock United States TV top 10 on at least three days between October 16 and October 22, 2026 — 62% chance by Oct 23, 2026

Crystal Lake Just Changed Jason Forever! | SEASON 1 REVIEW

Cody Leach · YouTube

Previous trends

Whose forecasts come true more often

Accuracy 0–100: how close the chance was to what happened. 100 — exact, 50 — a coin toss, 0 — the opposite. Too early to judge: 0 of 30 questions checked so far.

The first results come a day after the first questions.

Came true or not: forecasts of the leading AI models →

How it works

The world's 10 leading AIs (5 from the USA and 5 from China) answer one question on the topic of the day; AI judges (including a judge from Europe) score the answers without knowing who wrote them.

More

10 AIs, one question. 5 AIs from the USA and 5 from China answered it; 9 judges scored them without knowing who wrote them. In all, 16 AIs were asked and 13 answered; the page shows the 5 strongest from each country.

Above the answers is the question every AI got, word for word.

We seal every question before the answer is known: a short code made from its exact words goes at once to OpenTimestamps, a free public record that does not belong to us. Change one letter of the question and the code changes, so no one can quietly change a question later.

Came true or not: forecasts of the leading AI models →

Mistral, ChatGPT, Meta AI, Grok, Gemini, Qwen, Z.ai, Kimi and DeepSeek read the answers without knowing who wrote them.

Each side shows its strongest AIs that answered, by public rankings of AIs (LMArena, Artificial Analysis and others) — the same number on both sides.
Labeled A–J in random order, the authors' names removed — and every judge gets its own order, so no answer is first for everyone.
Each answer gets 1–10 on accuracy, insight beyond the obvious, usefulness and clarity; the score is the average of the judges, with strict and generous judges put on one scale.
Each judge scores every answer without knowing whose it is. When it happens to score its own AI's answer, that mark is shown but not counted.
A difference under 0.3 between the sides is a tie.
The forecasts are sealed today and checked on their dates.
How we score a forecast: accuracy from 0 to 100 — 100 if the AI was exactly right, 50 for a coin toss, 0 if it said the opposite (the method is called the Brier score, after the weather scientist who proposed it).
Every answer, score and note is kept in the archive.

Judge by judge: Mistral — a tie (USA ahead by only 0.1); ChatGPT (USA) — a tie (USA ahead by only 0.0); Meta AI (USA) — a tie (China ahead by only 0.2); Grok (USA) — a tie (China ahead by only 0.2); Gemini (USA) — a tie (USA ahead by only 0.1); Qwen (China) — China ahead by 0.4; Z.ai (China) — China ahead by 0.6; Kimi (China) — USA ahead by 0.4; DeepSeek (China) — a tie (China ahead by only 0.1).

Who scored highest

#	AI	Side	Mistral	ChatGPT	Meta AI	Grok	Gemini	Qwen	Z.ai	Kimi	DeepSeek	Score
1	Claude	USA	7.8	8.0	9.0	7.8	8.8	—	7.8	8.0	8.3	8.2
2	Kimi	China	6.8	7.3	7.5	7.0	8.8	—	8.0	7.3	7.3	7.5
3	Z.ai	China	7.0	7.0	7.8	7.5	7.0	—	7.3	7.3	8.0	7.3
4	ChatGPT	USA	6.5	8.0	6.5	7.5	7.0	—	7.0	7.3	7.8	7.2
5	Meta AI	USA	7.3	7.0	7.0	6.5	7.3	7.5	6.5	7.8	7.5	7.1
6	MiMo	China	6.3	6.8	7.5	6.8	5.3	8.3	7.3	6.5	7.3	6.9
7	DeepSeek	China	6.0	6.5	6.0	7.0	6.3	7.0	7.5	6.5	6.5	6.6
8	Qwen	China	5.8	6.3	4.5	6.5	5.5	—	5.3	5.5	6.5	5.7
9	Gemini	USA	5.0	5.5	5.3	5.8	5.0	7.0	5.3	6.0	5.5	5.6
10	Grok	USA	5.5	5.5	4.8	6.0	5.3	—	5.5	5.8	5.8	5.5

Each judge’s total for every answer; the score is their average. Equal scores share a place.

Which models answer

The main league: each AI answers in its best single mode on a regular plan (about $20–30 a month) or free, with web search on, once.

Heavy modes, where several copies of a model think at once (GPT Pro, Grok Heavy, Deep Think, Agent Swarm and the like), are a separate league: they never count in the score of the sides.

AI	Model	Thinking mode	Plan	How we know the model
Claude	Claude Opus 5.5	Max	Max	the app showed it
ChatGPT	GPT-6	Extra high	Pro	the app showed it
Meta AI	Muse Spark 1.3	Thinking	free	from the app's help page
Grok	Grok 4.7	Expert	SuperGrok	from the app's help page
Gemini	Gemini 3.5 Flash-Lite	High	Google AI Pro	the app showed it
MiMo	MiMo-V2.6-Pro		free	from the app's help page
Qwen	Qwen3.8-Max	Thinking	free	the app showed it
Z.ai	GLM-5.3	Deep Think Max (deepest thinking)	free	from the app's help page
Kimi	Kimi K3	High	Pro ($39, vadimchernets9@)	the app showed it
DeepSeek	DeepSeek V4.1 Flash	DeepThink (thinks before answering)	free	from the app's help page
Mistral · AI judge	Mistral Large 4 or Medium 3.5	Think	Pro	the app doesn't say

Model — the exact version of the AI inside the app. Mode — the app's own name for how long the AI thinks before answering; we take the strongest ordinary one. Plan — the app's price plan we use. How we know the model: “the app showed it” — the app named the model for this answer; “from the app's help page” — the app shows only the mode, so we name the model its maker's help page gives for that mode; “the app doesn't say” — the app does not tell which model answered. Every judge works in the same mode as in the table.

The forecast · result on Nov 13, 2026

Will it happen? Each AI gave a probability

Will Crystal Lake get a second season by November 13?

The exact question every AI answered: Will Peacock, its owner NBCUniversal or the producer A24 officially announce a second season of Crystal Lake by 2026-11-13?

The result comes on Nov 13, 2026, 30 days after this page came out. Counts: an official renewal announcement, or a report by Deadline, Variety or The Hollywood Reporter that the show has been renewed. Does not count: rumours, 'in talks', or cast and creators only saying they hope for more. Check: news search for 'Crystal Lake season 2 renewed' and Peacock's press site on 2026-11-13. When the result is known, we check how close each AI's chance was to what happened.

together = the average without the highest and the lowest answer

Five AIs from the USA together · 28%
Meta AI55%
Gemini38%
ChatGPT29%
Claude18%
Grok18%
Five AIs from China together · 32%
MiMo50%
Qwen35%
Z.ai35%
Kimi25%
DeepSeek25%

All ten AIs together · 32%

Poly Index

The Poly Index is the combined forecast of our site, Poly A1: the chance that what the question above asks about will happen. Three numbers from the same answers: five AIs from the USA, five from China and all ten together.

Five AIs from the USA28%Claude, ChatGPT, Meta AI, Grok, Geminiall 5 answered
Five AIs from China32%MiMo, Qwen, Z.ai, Kimi, DeepSeekall 5 answered
All ten AIs32%Claude, ChatGPT, Meta AI, Grok, Gemini, MiMo, Qwen, Z.ai, Kimi, DeepSeekall 10 answered

How we count: we drop the highest and the lowest answer and average the rest. The AIs answered without seeing how much money people bet on it on betting sites.

Each AI's own forecast (10)

AI	Forecast	Checked on	Chance
Claude	Rotten Tomatoes shows Crystal Lake: Season 1 with a critics' score (Tomatometer) of 77% or lower	Nov 13, 2026	56%
ChatGPT	Between October 15 and October 31, 2026, Crystal Lake will appear among the three most popular television shows on FlixPatrol's daily Peacock United States chart on at least seven separate dates.	Oct 31, 2026	68%
Meta AI	Crystal Lake keeps Tomatometer at 75% or higher on Rotten Tomatoes	Nov 1, 2026	68%
Grok	Crystal Lake ranks in the top 5 of FlixPatrol's Peacock United States TV top 10 on at least three days between October 16 and October 22, 2026	Oct 23, 2026	62%
Gemini	Peacock will officially announce a second season of Crystal Lake	Nov 13, 2026	45%
MiMo	Crystal Lake stays in FlixPatrol's Peacock United States daily top 10 TV chart every day from release through this date, a full two weeks on the chart.	Oct 28, 2026	55%
Qwen	A24 will announce a companion podcast or behind-the-scenes documentary for Crystal Lake by November 13, 2026.	Nov 13, 2026	60%
Z.ai	Crystal Lake's audience score (Popcornmeter) on Rotten Tomatoes stands at 60% or higher on 2026-11-10, 2026.	Nov 10, 2026	55%
Kimi	Crystal Lake enters Nielsen's weekly US top 10 streaming originals chart for at least one week	Nov 13, 2026	60%
DeepSeek	Peacock, NBCUniversal, or A24 will not officially announce a second season of Crystal Lake.	Nov 13, 2026	75%

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