From the trend: India lose to West Indies; the whole series comes down to Saturday
Will West Indies captain Shai Hope score 35 runs or more on Saturday?
Forecast before the AIs
Yes or no? Your forecast first — then we show what 10 AIs forecast.
Will West Indies captain Shai Hope score 35 runs or more on Saturday?
At the time of the question: 102 runs (last match)
Why this question: the West Indies captain whose unbeaten 102 won the fourth match
We’ll know the answer
Yes — 7 AIsYou are here
🇺🇸Meta🇨🇳DeepSeek🇨🇳Qwen🇨🇳MiMo🇨🇳Kimi🇺🇸ChatGPT🇺🇸Nemotron + Mercury
Meta: Hope just made two hundreds and bats whole innings
No — 3 AIsYou are here
🇨🇳Wenxin🇺🇸Claude🇺🇸Gemini
Wenxin: India will target Hope early to limit him
We check it on: espncricinfo.com
We’ll know the answer
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How we will check the answer
We check it on: espncricinfo.com
The answer is due on Oct 17, 2026.
When the day comes, an AI judge that searches the web checks the answer. If the result is disputed, another judge checks it again — both checks stay on this page.
Exact wording, as the AIs got it (in English)
Will the West Indies captain Shai Hope score 35 runs or more in the fifth T20 match against India in Bengaluru on October 17, 2026? Settled by the ESPNcricinfo scorecard; if he does not bat, the answer is No.
Fingerprint matches ✓
The question and the AIs’ chances are exactly as they were when we sealed them.
Sealed by us on . Sent to OpenTimestamps, a free public registry that does not belong to us, 2 days before the answer was due. Waiting to be fixed for good.
A fingerprint is a short code taken from a record when it is written. Change even one letter and the code is different.
The fingerprint itself, line 53 of the book: a3e2620d2a77e4586bb5e2e11ff20b469b60d5ebec4b49cea4e00614105abe1b
Check it yourself, without us
- The book of questions: duels.jsonl
- The list we sent and the registry’s answer: polya1-trends-2026-10-15-143430Z.txt · polya1-trends-2026-10-15-143430Z.txt.ots
- The first 53 lines of the book give the same number as the list:
head -n 53 duels.jsonl | shasum -a 256
- The registry’s answer shows when the list existed:
ots verify polya1-trends-2026-10-15-143430Z.txt.ots
or drop both files on opentimestamps.org.