On October 14, 2026, the West Indies beat India by 24 runs in Hyderabad in the fourth of five T20 matches, a short form of cricket. The Indian sports magazine Outlook India reported that India's captain Shreyas Iyer said the defeat began with the bowling: his bowlers did not land the ball where they planned.
The series is now 2-2, and the last match is in Bengaluru on Saturday, October 17 (source).
What does this defeat tell us about the two teams, and what should India do before Saturday's final match?
In plain words: T20 — short cricket match, 20 overs per side; Outlook India — an Indian news and sports magazine; Bengaluru — big city in south India, also Bangalore; International Cricket Council — the body that runs world cricket
What to do
India scored 223 in two games in a row and won only one; the bowling made the difference.
What not to do: Don't expect India to fix this with its batting; the answers say the batting is not the problem.
The series is 2-2, so one match now decides the trophy. India's batters are not the worry. West Indies' Shai Hope has scored two 102s not out in four games.
The first six overs will probably tell you who wins. Several AIs say the key is whether India's bowlers land the ball on their planned spots early, and whether Arshdeep Singh's sore shoulder lets him play.
Watch the Bengaluru toss on Saturday, October 17 (toss 6:30 pm, play 7 pm India time), fans. If India's bowlers keep Hope quiet early, back India; if he gets going, expect West Indies to win. Check the storm forecast first, since a late start or a shortened game is possible.
This is what most of the 10 AIs advise. Each AI explains it in its own words below.
What the world's 10 leading AIs think
They agree
9 of 10: India's batting held up; its bowling lost the match.
They split
MiMo sees Bengaluru capping scores; Kimi and Meta expect another 240-run night.
Not obvious
India's 223 won in Indore and lost in Hyderabad; only the bowling changed.
What to watch
If Hope scores under 30 in Bengaluru, the bowling-fix idea holds.
Almost every answer reaches the same verdict. India's batting is not the problem: it made 223 chasing 248, and Sanju Samson hit 56 off 23 balls. The match was lost by the bowlers, as captain Shreyas Iyer himself said. Every Indian bowler except Prince Yadav (1 wicket for 36 runs) gave away more than 11 runs an over.
The answers also agree that Shai Hope is West Indies' main weapon. He has scored 52, 102 not out, 5 and 102 not out in the four games. Keemo Paul's five wickets showed West Indies can defend a total as well as chase one. The fix most answers name is simple: aim at the batter's feet, mix in slower balls, and cut the 18 extras.
They split on two points. Wenxin sees two evenly matched teams, while Kimi sees West Indies peaking at the right moment. On Bengaluru, MiMo says the ground has rarely produced a first innings above 212, while Kimi and Meta expect its small boundaries to punish loose bowling again. Some answers want an extra spinner, such as Kuldeep Yadav. Others want the fast bowlers to simply be more accurate.
Two side points came from a few answers only. Arshdeep Singh, India's opening bowler, retired hurt with a left shoulder injury, and Bhuvneshwar Kumar is reported as possible cover. Claude noticed that the one time India got Hope out cheaply this series, Arshdeep did it, and India won that game. Claude also raised storm risk in Bengaluru, which could shorten the game or wash it out.
They split: MiMo sees Bengaluru capping scores; Kimi and Meta expect another 240-run night. What settles the dispute: Saturday's match in Bengaluru will show whether India's bowling can contain Hope.
Both sides blame India's bowling; the USA's AIs add weather and tickets, China's add fantasy picks and player scouting.
What is confirmed and what is not
Confirmed by a source ↗ Iyer said the defeat began with India's bowling, and West Indies won by 24 runs.
The AIs' conclusion India's batting needs no big change before Saturday.
Not known yet Bengaluru's small ground will favour big scores again.
The AIs read 48 sources
Ask any AI yourself
India and West Indies are 2-2 in T20 cricket. Which bowling change would you make for India before Saturday's final, and why?
Who wins, who loses: Fans and Bengaluru bars gain from a decider; India's bowlers face the pressure.
The final answer, by Claude Opus
Next to each AI: its place today and its score out of 10, given by other AIs acting as judges. Under each answer: its model — the exact version of the AI. Tap an answer to read it.
1KimiChina8.3Hope's fourth hundred of the tour — and sixes went 16 to 13
India's batting is not the problem; the bowling is, and West Indies know it.
Chasing 248, India still made 223, but every Indian bowler except Prince Yadav (1/36) conceded more than 11 runs an over, and captain Shreyas Iyer admitted his bowlers missed their lines and lengths (timesofindia.indiatimes.com, outlookindia.com).
West Indies, meanwhile, look like a side peaking at the right time: Shai Hope's unbeaten 102 off 50 balls was his fourth hundred in seven innings on this tour, a West Indies record third T20 century, and Keemo Paul's 5-41 showed their attack can execute a simple plan — yorkers first, then into the pitch (sports.yahoo.com).
This matters beyond bragging rights. The series is 2-2, so Saturday's game in Bengaluru is a straight final, and India may have to bowl it without Arshdeep Singh, who hurt his left shoulder and retired hurt at the end (timesofindia.indiatimes.com).
Fantasy-league players and ticket buyers should note the pattern: West Indies have won the six-hitting contest all series — 16 sixes to India's 13 in Hyderabad, a gap worth 18 runs in a 24-run game — and India's attack has no answer yet (news18.com).
Watch the decider at 7 pm India time on Saturday, October 17, fans: if India's bowlers hit their lengths early and keep Hope quiet in the first six overs, back India to lift the series; if Hope survives the new ball again, expect West Indies to take it.
India should not change their attacking batting — Iyer is right that the approach works — but they must drill death bowling and cut the 18 extras they gave away, because Bengaluru's small ground punishes loose balls even harder than Hyderabad did (outlookindia.com).
Model: Kimi K3 (the app showed it) · mode (how long it thinks): High · searched the internet
Its own forecast: Shai Hope is named Player of the Series for the India-West Indies T20I series after the fifth match in Bengaluru — 65% chance by Oct 17, 2026
2ClaudeUSA8.3India made 223 in back-to-back games — won the first, lost the second
The defeat says India's weak spot is the ball, not the bat.
India made 223 in Indore and won, then made the same 223 in Hyderabad and lost, because their bowlers let West Indies score 247 (espn.com, outlookindia.com).
In T20, the short game where each side bats for 20 overs of six balls, India have now given away 200 or more runs three times in a row without their star fast bowler Jasprit Bumrah, while West Indies captain Shai Hope has scored 52, 102 not out, 5 and 102 not out in the four games (outlookindia.com, outlookindia.com, outlookindia.com).
West Indies are more than big hitters, though they did out-hit India 20 sixes (hits over the rope) to 13 in Ranchi (jamaica-gleaner.com).
In Hyderabad their bowlers fixed their aim partway through the game and protected a total for the first time on this tour, with Keemo Paul getting five batters out (outlookindia.com, cricinfo.com).
Check the Bengaluru weather before the 6:30 pm coin toss on Saturday, 17 October (9 am in New York), fans: if storms are still forecast, expect a late start, a shorter game or a washout that leaves the series 2-2; if not, watch the toss, because the winner will probably choose to bowl first (accuweather.com, sports.yahoo.com, sports.yahoo.com).
India must first decide on Arshdeep Singh's hurt shoulder, with Bhuvneshwar Kumar reported to be at India's training centre as possible cover, and then aim at the stumps and the batter's toes with slower short balls mixed in, instead of the loose bowling that Sunil Gavaskar and Mohammed Kaif blamed (outlookindia.com, outlookindia.com).
That shoulder matters most, because the only time India got Hope out cheaply in this T20 series, Arshdeep bowled him for 5 in Indore and India won (thesportstak.com, espn.com).
Model: Claude Opus 5.5 (the app showed it) · mode (how long it thinks): Max · searched the internet
Its own forecast: India win the fifth T20 match against West Indies in Bengaluru on 17 October 2026 and take the series 3-2, per the ESPNcricinfo result (a West Indies win or a no-result counts as no) — 42% chance by Oct 17, 2026
3MiMoChina7.8Hope's three T20I hundreds are all exactly 102 not out
The loss says West Indies now out-hit India's bowling: of the Indian attack only Prince Yadav kept things quiet (1 for 36), every other bowler went for more than 11 runs an over (news18.com).
Captain Shreyas Iyer agreed the game slipped there — "it all started with bowling" (outlookindia.com). For a normal fan this means: India's batters are fine (Sanju Samson made 56 off 23), but when their bowlers miss their spots, Hope's side now piles up 240-plus almost at will (cricinfo.com).
T20 (twenty overs a side, the short cricket format) has just given Shai Hope a West Indies record of three centuries — every one of them exactly 102 not out (outlookindia.com).
That matters beyond fans: IPL franchises (the big city teams in India's private cricket league) preparing the 2027 player auction get a live look at Hope and at Keemo Paul, who took 5 for 41 in Hyderabad (outlookindia.com). Bengaluru ticket-holders should also check on Arshdeep Singh, who finished the game with ice on his shoulder after a short ball hit him (outlookindia.com).
Cricket fans, start watching at 7 pm on Saturday, October 17: if India's bowlers land the ball where they plan in the first six overs (the opening spell), back India to lift the series; if Hope gets going again, expect West Indies to win in Bengaluru (icc-cricket.com).
Bengaluru's ground has never held a completed first innings above 212, so if the rain stays away, do not expect another 240 chase (4xsports.com).
Model: MiMo-V2.6-Pro (the app showed it) · searched the internet
Its own forecast: India will win the fifth T20I in Bengaluru and take the series 3-2 — 55% chance by Oct 17, 2026
4ChatGPTUSA7.6India's opening bowlers conceded 104 runs in just eight overs
India's biggest weakness is bowling accuracy, not batting power. Mayank Yadav and Arshdeep Singh conceded 104 runs in eight overs, while Prince Yadav allowed just 36 in four (indianexpress.com).
West Indies showed they can win with both bat and ball: Hope struck nine sixes, Rutherford added an unbeaten 49, and Keemo Paul took five wickets (reuters.com).
India's coaches should spend Friday, October 16, practising accurate deliveries aimed at the batter's feet, changing speeds and preparing a reliable fifth bowler rather than depending on occasional bowlers. Prince's variations worked better than India's other options, while Paul succeeded by mixing slower deliveries with accurate fast ones (indianexpress.com; outlookindia.com).
India should also assess Arshdeep's injured shoulder before selecting its team and prepare batters to protect wickets when scoring becomes harder (freepressjournal.in).
Watch India's first six bowling overs on October 17, fans: if its bowlers stop giving away easy hits, check whether that control lasts; if not, watch whether the captain changes his bowling choices.
Six consecutive team scores have exceeded 200 across the last three matches (cricketnews.com). The deciding game should reveal which side can slow its opponents, rather than simply who can hit the ball farther.
Model: GPT-6 (the app showed it) · mode (how long it thinks): Extra high · searched the internet
Its own forecast: Keemo Paul will take at least two wickets for West Indies in the fifth T20 match against India in Bengaluru, as recorded by ESPNcricinfo. — 52% chance by Oct 17, 2026
5MetaUSA7.0Keemo Paul took 5 for 41, including 3 wickets in 4 balls
This loss shows India leak runs when the pitch grips and slows, and West Indies can win in India when one batter stays till the end. India won the toss and asked West Indies to bat at Rajiv Gandhi Stadium in Hyderabad, then gave up 247 for 3 as Shai Hope finished 102 not out off 50 balls with four fours and nine sixes and two quicks went for 52 each, while West Indies had already chased 249 in Ranchi earlier in the series.
It means Hope is not a one-off; with a 91-run stand with Sherfane Rutherford on 49 not out and quick hits like Hetmyer 33 off 12, West Indies bat deep enough to punish missed full balls aimed at feet.
For shops, bars and families flying into Bengaluru for the final, the numbers change the bill. The decider is at M Chinnaswamy Stadium on Saturday October 17 at 7 pm local time, a ground known for small boundaries where West Indies hit 16 sixes to India's 13 last time and India were bowled out for 223 in 19.3 overs after 80 in the first six overs.
Expect another night over 200, longer queues, higher demand for seats behind the short straight boundary.
Watch fans at 7 pm on October 17 in Bengaluru, if you support India look for them to pick tighter lines, an extra spinner and slower balls that grip instead of fast pace; if you support West Indies expect Hope to keep plan on batting through because his read was surface held more than thought.
India need to fix last-overs execution that captain Shreyas Iyer called missing line and length, check Arshdeep Singh who retired hurt with left shoulder pain, and give grip bowlers respect instead of swinging hard every ball.
Model: Muse Spark 1.3 (from the app's help page) · mode (how long it thinks): Thinking · searched the internet
Its own forecast: Arshdeep Singh will not play in the 5th T20I in Bengaluru due to shoulder injury — 55% chance by Oct 17, 2026
6DeepSeekChina6.2Iyer: 'It all started with bowling' after 24-run loss to West Indies
For an ordinary fan, this defeat means the five-match series is now a winner-takes-all decider in Bengaluru on Saturday, October 17. India's bowlers did not land the ball where they planned, and West Indies captain Shai Hope made them pay with an unbeaten 102 off 50 balls. The series is tied 2-2, and the final match will decide who wins the trophy1.
For people who follow cricket closely, this result changes things because it shows West Indies can beat India even when India's batters score quickly. Keemo Paul took five wickets for 41 runs, and India were bowled out for 2232. The loss means India's captain, Shreyas Iyer, is under pressure to fix the bowling before the last match, and fans in Bengaluru will see a tense decider instead of a dead rubber3.
Before Saturday, fans should check the team news: if India bring in a new spinner like Kuldeep Yadav, the bowling might be tighter; if not, West Indies could win again. The match starts at 7 pm IST on October 17 in Bengaluru4. Watch the toss closely: if India bowl first again, their bowlers must hit better lines, or Hope and his teammates will post another big total5.
Model: DeepSeek V4.1 Flash (from the app's help page) · mode (how long it thinks): DeepThink (thinks before answering) · searched the internet
Its own forecast: West Indies will win the fifth T20I against India in Bengaluru on October 17, 2026. — 55% chance by Oct 17, 2026
7GeminiUSA5.2Shai Hope scored 102 unbeaten runs out of his team's 247
This defeat shows that both teams have explosive batters—India scored 223 runs before losing all ten batters and still lost by 24—but the West Indies currently have better control when throwing the ball (outlookindia.com).
As Indian captain Shreyas Iyer admitted, his bowlers—the players who throw the ball—missed their planned targets in Hyderabad, allowing rival captain Shai Hope to score 102 runs without being put out in a massive 247-run total (outlookindia.com). For ordinary fans, this means India's hitters do not need a new plan, because India's only real task before Saturday is fixing throwing accuracy to stop giving away easy runs.
Before Saturday's fifth and final short-form cricket match in Bengaluru, India's coaches must get their throwers to hit exact spots on the ground rather than relying on speed alone (outlookindia.com).
Because the five-match series is now tied 2-2 instead of already settled, Saturday's game becomes a winner-takes-all finale that also changes weekend plans for travellers and local businesses in Bengaluru (outlookindia.com). Visitors driving through Bengaluru will face heavier match-day traffic around the stadium, while sports bars and restaurants can expect packed crowds for the decider.
Watch the opening minutes closely, fans, on Saturday, October 17, 2026: if India's throwers land the ball on their planned targets early against Shai Hope, back India to take the series trophy; if not, expect the West Indies to outscore even another 220-run chase (outlookindia.com).
Travellers in Bengaluru on Saturday, October 17, 2026 should avoid roads near the stadium before and after the game to skip the worst delays.
Model: Gemini 4 Argon (the app showed it) · mode (how long it thinks): High · searched the internet
Its own forecast: India beats the West Indies in the fifth T20 match in Bengaluru on October 17, 2026, to win the series 3-2. — 62% chance by Oct 17, 2026
8WenxinChina5.1India lost despite 223 runs at home
This defeat shows both sides are evenly matched, not one clearly better than the other. The West Indies have a red-hot top batter who can carry their whole innings, while India’s usual tight bowling fell apart right when it mattered most. Neither team holds a clear mental edge going into the decider.
This changes things for casual cricket fans who already bought tickets or booked screenings for the Bengaluru match, and for local sports bars that planned low-key weekend events. What looked like a one-sided series sweep last week is now a do-or-die final that will pull far more people in than expected.
Watch fans, before Saturday’s match, drop one predictable slow bowler from your playing 11 if you are India; if not, tell your fast bowlers to aim for the batter’s body line early to break his rhythm. India cannot afford to let Hope settle in again for a big hundred.
Model: ERNIE (the app doesn't say) · mode (how long it thinks): Fast · searched the internet
Its own forecast: The fifth T20 between India and West Indies on October 17 will draw a record domestic TV audience for a bilateral men’s T20 decider in India — 72% chance by Oct 20, 2026
9Nemotron + MercuryUSA4.3India must fix bowling errors before Bengaluru finals clash
This defeat reveals India's batting depth remains strong even when collapsing mid-innings, but their bowling attack lacks control in the final overs. For sports fans, this tight race means the final match in Bengaluru could set new attendance records. If you own sports merchandise, buy India jerseys before Friday; otherwise, wait to see if they bounce back.
Investors in sports streaming should note that high-scoring ties drive up viewership numbers significantly next quarter. Parents planning family outings to the stadium must buy tickets now as seats sell out fast during series deciders.
Fans, check India's team news before Saturday morning; if the pitch is flat, bet on batting; if green, back the bowlers for this week.
Model: Mercury 2.5 (the app doesn't say) · mode (how long it thinks): High · Nemotron 3 Ultra did not answer — Mercury wrote it alone · searched the internet
Its own forecast: Shai Hope scores 50+ runs in the 5th T20I in Bengaluru — 55% chance by Oct 17, 2026
10QwenChina3.9India chased 248 points but the captain blames bad throwing lines instead
This game shows that star hitters cannot win alone when the players throwing the ball fail to hit their target spots. For regular fans, it means scoring massive points in a short cricket match is useless if your defense gives up easy scores. The visitors proved they can hit the ball far, while the home team proved they struggle to defend big totals.
Check the live scoreboard this Saturday at seven in the evening, sports gamblers; if the home team throws poorly again, bet on the visitors, but if they hit their target spots, back the home team. This tiebreaker changes things for ticket holders who now face a high-pressure sudden-death finale instead of a casual exhibition game.
The loss also reminds everyday fans that pressure easily breaks a team's basic game plan when a series is perfectly tied. When players get nervous, they forget their practice and make simple mistakes, which is exactly what the captain blamed for the loss. Now both sides must play a sudden-death finale where any small error will cost them the entire trophy.
Model: Qwen3.8-Max (the app showed it) · mode (how long it thinks): Thinking · searched the internet
Things the ten AIs did not say: what people say, the month in dates, numbers. Every item has its link. Checked 2026-10-15 10:33 EDT.
Light sideFans joke the series is now just 'Shai Hope vs India'A comedy reel asks why India vs West Indies quietly turned into a one-man show.
A Hindi cricket-comedy reel jokes that this series is no longer India against West Indies — it has been renamed 'S.Hope vs India', one captain against a whole team. Pranjay | Cricket & Comedy · 2026-10-15source · instagram.com ↗
What people sayFans spent the night picking Hope a teamDelhi, Hyderabad, Mumbai and Chennai all got a mention.
Shai Hope has well and truly sealed his IPL contract for the 2027 season. cricbhawana · 2026-10-14source · x.com ↗
Shai Hope trying his heart out to land in SRH camp 😄 mottham six lake trying which is not his regular game play 😭 WhatsUpRey · 2026-10-14source · x.com ↗
Which team needs opener? DC if they release Nissanka. SRH if Head is unavailable. MI if QDK is released. ImSantoshKan · 2026-10-14source · x.com ↗
CSK should go for him !! Pitches there will suit him cricketforlifee · 2026-10-14source · x.com ↗
Talked about nowAre huge scores still fun when the series is close?One fan asks why West Indies’ spinners fared better on the same pitch.
A fan asks why Chase and Motie found success with spin in Hyderabad while India’s spinners struggled. 2026-10-14source · reddit.com ↗
Another asks whether pitches that make batting this easy are entertaining at all. 2026-10-14source · reddit.com ↗
The welcome surprise for one fan: a genuinely competitive T20 series. 2026-10-14source · reddit.com ↗
NumbersFive numbers worth keeping for SaturdayIndia received 24 extra runs in Hyderabad; West Indies received 18.
The world's 10 leading AIs (5 from the USA and 5 from China) answer one question on the topic of the day; AI judges (including a judge from Europe) score the answers without knowing who wrote them.
(License CC BY 4.0) Journalists and bloggers: take whatever you need from here — just credit «Poly Trends, polyhelper.ai».
More
10 AIs, one question. 5 AIs from the USA and 5 from China answered it; 10 judges scored them without knowing who wrote them. In all, 16 AIs were asked and 12 answered; the page shows the 5 strongest from each country.
Above the answers is the question every AI got, word for word.
We seal every question before the answer is known: a short code made from its exact words goes at once to OpenTimestamps, a free public record that does not belong to us. Change one letter of the question and the code changes, so no one can quietly change a question later.
Mistral (Large 4 or Medium 3.5), ChatGPT, Meta, Gemini, Nemotron + Mercury, MiMo, Qwen, Kimi, DeepSeek and Wenxin read the answers without knowing who wrote them.
Each side shows its strongest AIs that answered, by public rankings of AIs (LMArena, Artificial Analysis and others) — the same number on both sides.
Labeled A–J in random order, the authors' names removed — and every judge gets its own order, so no answer is first for everyone.
Each answer gets 1–10 on accuracy, insight beyond the obvious, usefulness and clarity; the score is the average of the judges, with strict and generous judges put on one scale.
Each judge scores every answer without knowing whose it is. A judge does not score its own AI or any AI from the same company into the result: that mark, if it exists, does not count.
A difference under 0.3 between the sides is a tie.
The forecasts are sealed today and checked on their dates.
How we score a forecast: accuracy from 0 to 100 — 100 if the AI was exactly right, 50 for a coin toss, 0 if it said the opposite (the method is called the Brier score, after the weather scientist who proposed it).
Every answer, score and note is kept in the archive.
Judge by judge: Mistral — a tie (USA ahead by only 0.2); ChatGPT (USA) — China ahead by 0.4; Meta (USA) — a tie (USA ahead by only 0.1); Gemini (USA) — USA ahead by 0.9; Nemotron + Mercury (USA) — USA ahead by 0.6; MiMo (China) — USA ahead by 0.8; Qwen (China) — USA ahead by 1.3; Kimi (China) — USA ahead by 0.5; DeepSeek (China) — USA ahead by 0.6; Wenxin (China) — China ahead by 0.3.
Who scored highest
#
AI
Side
Mistral
ChatGPT
Meta
Gemini
Nemotron + Mercury
MiMo
Qwen
Kimi
DeepSeek
Wenxin
Score
1
Kimi
China
7.8
8.8
7.5
8.8
8.5
7.5
—
8.5
8.0
9.3
8.3
2
Claude
USA
7.8
8.3
8.0
9.5
7.8
8.0
—
7.8
7.8
9.3
8.3
3
MiMo
China
7.0
7.8
7.0
8.0
8.3
7.8
—
7.5
7.5
9.3
7.8
4
ChatGPT
USA
6.8
9.0
6.8
9.3
7.0
7.5
9.0
6.5
7.8
8.5
7.6
5
Meta
USA
7.0
6.5
5.5
7.0
7.3
6.3
—
7.0
7.3
8.0
7.0
6
DeepSeek
China
5.3
6.3
6.3
7.0
6.0
—
—
5.5
5.5
7.0
6.2
7
Gemini
USA
4.8
5.3
4.5
5.0
5.5
4.8
6.0
5.8
5.3
5.5
5.2
8
Wenxin
China
4.5
5.0
5.0
5.0
5.0
4.8
6.3
5.5
5.3
7.0
5.1
9
Nemotron + Mercury
USA
4.3
4.0
4.3
4.0
4.0
4.0
—
3.8
5.0
5.0
4.3
10
Qwen
China
5.3
4.0
3.0
3.5
3.8
3.8
8.3
4.0
3.3
4.8
3.9
Each judge’s total for every answer; the score is their average. Equal scores share a place.
Which models answer
The main league: each AI answers in its best single mode on a regular plan, the kind people buy for themselves (up to about $40 a month), or free, with web search on, once.
Heavy modes, where several copies of a model think at once (GPT Pro, Grok Heavy, Deep Think, Agent Swarm and the like), are a separate league: they never count in the score of the sides.
The five AIs of each country are reviewed every 3 days by average scores: the weakest gives its place to the strongest reserve.
AI
Model
Thinking mode
Plan
How we know the model
Claude
Claude Opus 5.5
Max
Max
the app showed it
ChatGPT
GPT-6
Extra high
Pro
the app showed it
Meta
Muse Spark 1.3
Thinking
free
from the app's help page
Gemini
Gemini 4 Argon
High
Google AI Pro
the app showed it
Nemotron + Mercury
Mercury 2.5
High
free
the app doesn't say
Mercury web search for Nemotron + Mercury
Mercury 2.5
High
free
the app doesn't say
MiMo
MiMo-V2.6-Pro
free
the app showed it
Qwen
Qwen3.8-Max
Thinking
free
the app showed it
Kimi
Kimi K3
High
Pro ($39)
the app showed it
DeepSeek
DeepSeek V4.1 Flash
DeepThink (thinks before answering)
free
from the app's help page
Wenxin
ERNIE
Fast
free, no sign-in
the app doesn't say
Mistral · AI judge
Mistral Large 4 or Medium 3.5
Think
Free
the app doesn't say
Model — the exact version of the AI inside the app. Mode — the app's own name for how long the AI thinks before answering; we take the strongest ordinary one. Plan — the app's price plan we use. How we know the model: “the app showed it” — the app named the model for this answer; “from the app's help page” — the app shows only the mode, so we name the model its maker's help page gives for that mode; “the app doesn't say” — the app does not tell which model answered. Every judge works in the same mode as in the table.
The forecast · result on Nov 14, 2026
Will it happen? Each AI gave a probability
Will Shai Hope be a top-ten T20 batter by November 14?
The exact question every AI answered: Will Shai Hope of the West Indies be ranked in the top 10 of the International Cricket Council's men's T20 batting rankings in the latest list published on or before 2026-11-14?
The result comes on Nov 14, 2026, 30 days after this page came out. Check: the official rankings page at icc-cricket.com/rankings. Counts: his position in the latest published list on that date is 1 to 10. Does not count: a place in any other format's rankings (one-day or Test), or a place only in a projected or unofficial list. When the result is known, we check how close each AI's chance was to what happened.
together = the average without the highest and the lowest answer
0%25%50%75%100%
Five AIs from the USA together · 72%
Nemotron + Mercury85%
ChatGPT82%
Claude78%
Meta55%
Gemini42%
Five AIs from China together · 47%
Qwen75%
Wenxin65%
MiMo40%
DeepSeek35%
Kimi15%
All ten AIs together · 59%
Poly Index
The Poly Index is the combined forecast of our site, Poly A1: the chance that what the question above asks about will happen. Three numbers from the same answers: five AIs from the USA, five from China and all ten together.
Five AIs from the USA72%Claude, ChatGPT, Meta, Gemini, Nemotron + Mercuryall 5 answered
Five AIs from China47%MiMo, Qwen, Kimi, DeepSeek, Wenxinall 5 answered
All ten AIs59%Claude, ChatGPT, Meta, Gemini, Nemotron + Mercury, MiMo, Qwen, Kimi, DeepSeek, Wenxinall 10 answered
How we count: we drop the highest and the lowest answer and average the rest. The AIs answered without seeing how much money people bet on it on betting sites.
Each AI's own forecast (10)
AI
Forecast
Checked on
Chance
Claude
India win the fifth T20 match against West Indies in Bengaluru on 17 October 2026 and take the series 3-2, per the ESPNcricinfo result (a West Indies win or a no-result counts as no)
Oct 17, 2026
42%
ChatGPT
Keemo Paul will take at least two wickets for West Indies in the fifth T20 match against India in Bengaluru, as recorded by ESPNcricinfo.
Oct 17, 2026
52%
Meta
Arshdeep Singh will not play in the 5th T20I in Bengaluru due to shoulder injury
Oct 17, 2026
55%
Gemini
India beats the West Indies in the fifth T20 match in Bengaluru on October 17, 2026, to win the series 3-2.
Oct 17, 2026
62%
Nemotron + Mercury
Shai Hope scores 50+ runs in the 5th T20I in Bengaluru
Oct 17, 2026
55%
MiMo
India will win the fifth T20I in Bengaluru and take the series 3-2
Oct 17, 2026
55%
Qwen
The home team wins the final tiebreaker game in Bengaluru by less than ten points.
Oct 17, 2026
40%
Kimi
Shai Hope is named Player of the Series for the India-West Indies T20I series after the fifth match in Bengaluru
Oct 17, 2026
65%
DeepSeek
West Indies will win the fifth T20I against India in Bengaluru on October 17, 2026.
Oct 17, 2026
55%
Wenxin
The fifth T20 between India and West Indies on October 17 will draw a record domestic TV audience for a bilateral men’s T20 decider in India
