From the trend: Real Madrid's new clothes are covered in bright Brazilian flowers
Will Real Madrid's players warm up in the flower shirts on Sunday?
Forecast before the AIs
Yes or no? Your forecast first — then we show what 10 AIs forecast.
Will Real Madrid's players warm up in the flower shirts on Sunday?
We’ll know the answer
Yes — 6 AIsYou are here
🇨🇳MiMo🇨🇳Qwen🇺🇸Meta🇺🇸Gemini🇺🇸Claude🇨🇳Kimi
MiMo: The club sells this as the warm-up shirt and plays again on Sunday.
No — 4 AIsYou are here
🇺🇸ChatGPT🇺🇸Grok🇨🇳DeepSeek🇨🇳Z.ai
ChatGPT: The standout pink-flower jersey is lifestyle clothing, not the designated warm-up shirt.
We check it on: realmadrid.com
We’ll know the answer
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How we will check the answer
We check it on: realmadrid.com
The answer is due on Oct 18, 2026.
When the day comes, an AI judge that searches the web checks the answer. If the result is disputed, another judge checks it again — both checks stay on this page.
Exact wording, as the AIs got it (in English)
Will at least one Real Madrid first-team player wear the FARM Rio floral pre-match shirt on the pitch before the Spanish league match against Sevilla on Sunday, October 18, 2026? Source: photos or video from Real Madrid's official website or social media, or from Marca, AS, ESPN or Goal. Adverts and photo shoots do not count.
Fingerprint matches ✓
The question and the AIs’ chances are exactly as they were when we sealed them.
Sealed by us on . Sent to OpenTimestamps, a free public registry that does not belong to us, 3 days before the answer was due. Fixed for good: nobody, us included, can change it quietly now.
A fingerprint is a short code taken from a record when it is written. Change even one letter and the code is different.
The fingerprint itself, line 55 of the book: 3aa9b98d44c606359e0a7e165c12bb81d1ef655332235a3fb92ee2d0a614eb22
Check it yourself, without us
- The book of questions: duels.jsonl
- The list we sent and the registry’s answer: polya1-trends-2026-10-15-163401Z.txt · polya1-trends-2026-10-15-163401Z.txt.ots
- The first 55 lines of the book give the same number as the list:
head -n 55 duels.jsonl | shasum -a 256
- The registry’s answer shows when the list existed:
ots verify polya1-trends-2026-10-15-163401Z.txt.ots
or drop both files on opentimestamps.org.