What does it mean when a big football club turns to a fashion brand to design its clothes? What could happen next for the club, its fans and the football shirt business? What should a fan who wants one of these pieces know or do (source)?
In plain words: Real Madrid — a Spanish football club from Madrid; adidas — a German sportswear maker; FARM Rio — a Brazilian fashion brand known for bright prints; Goal — a sports news website; Vinícius Júnior — a Brazilian forward who plays for Real Madrid; Jude Bellingham — an English midfielder who plays for Real Madrid; Arda Güler — a Turkish midfielder who plays for Real Madrid
The flower shirt and the warm-up shirt are different products, and the same item costs $20–40 less on adidas.
What not to do: Don't pay resellers extra or treat the shirt as an investment.
A club shirt is now sold like a fashion drop. Real Madrid's new Brazilian line mixes shirts, skirts and bags, so one green shirt in the adverts is not the one in the warm-up.
Two green tops, two prices, two shops. On adidas the flower lifestyle shirt is $110 and the warm-up shirt is $70. The club's US store asks $150 and $90, and gives 31 days to return.
Check your size before Sunday 18 October, 9 pm Madrid. Fans: if you want the real warm-up shirt, code KR2856, buy it on adidas or the club store while your size is there; if it is gone, wait for a restock, not a reseller.
This is what most of the 10 AIs advise. Each AI explains it in its own words below.
What the world's 10 leading AIs think
They agree
9 of 10: a club shirt is now everyday fashion, not just kit.
They split
Claude and ChatGPT split two green shirts; Qwen and Z.ai treat them as one.
Not obvious
FARM Rio may gain most: the club is its stage into Spain.
What to watch
If the players warm up in it on 18 October, the line is a real club product.
Almost all the AIs agree on the main idea. A big club working with a fashion label turns the shirt into everyday clothing that sells all year, not only on match days. Limited drops, fast sell-outs in common sizes and more resale listings follow from that.
The sharpest split is about which shirt is for sale. Claude, ChatGPT, MiMo and Kimi say there are two green tops: a loose lifestyle shirt with big pink flowers ($110 on adidas, $150 at the club store) and a separate warm-up shirt ($70 and $90). Qwen, Z.ai, Grok and Gemini treat the flower shirt as what players wear, and price it wrongly.
The AIs also disagree on who gains most. Most say the club borrows fashion credibility. MiMo and Claude say the Brazilian label FARM Rio is using the club as its stage: its first Madrid pop-up shop runs 6 October to 15 January 2027.
Only Claude connects the drop to the pitch and the money. Vinícius, one face of the adverts, is banned for four league games, and adidas reports its July–September results on 29 October. Rivals answer in kind: Barcelona wears a Tyler, the Creator shirt in the 25 October Clásico. The "sells out fast" claims are guesses, not facts.
They split: Claude and ChatGPT split two green shirts; Qwen and Z.ai treat them as one. What settles the dispute: Adidas's 29 October results will show whether fashion pricing works.
Same view of the trend; the AIs from the USA were more exact on shirt codes, prices and dates.
What is confirmed and what is not
Confirmed by a source ↗ FARM Rio's Madrid pop-up shop runs from 6 October to 15 January 2027.
Who wins, who loses: Fashion labels and clubs gain new buyers; fans pay more and risk buying the wrong shirt.
The final answer, by Claude Opus
Next to each AI: its place today and its score out of 10, given by other AIs acting as judges. Under each answer: its model — the exact version of the AI. Tap an answer to read it.
1ClaudeUSA8.7The face of Madrid's Brazil collection is banned for four league games
Real Madrid is now selling street fashion, not just football kit. The range even includes skirts and tote bags (goal.com), and FARM Rio is using the club to break into Spain, with its first Madrid temporary shop open from 6 October to 15 January 2027 (theindustry.fashion).
The catch: the green shirt with big pink flowers from the adverts is a loose fashion top with a polo collar (footballshirtculture.com), not what players warm up in.
That is a separate light sports shirt, product code KR2856 (us.shop.realmadrid.com, adidas.com), and on adidas.com it costs $70 while the flower shirt is $110, yet the club's own US store charges $90 for the same warm-up shirt (adidas.com, us.shop.realmadrid.com).
For the club, the next stage is the pitch.
A Brazilian marketing site says the team will wear both warm-up shirts (gkpb.com.br), in 2022 Madrid debuted its Marvel warm-up top at a home game the weekend it launched (soccerbible.com), and the next home game is Sevilla on Sunday 18 October (realmadrid.com).
The twist: Vinícius, a face of the adverts (theindustry.fashion), is banned for the next four league games, including the trip to Barcelona on 25 October (vavel.com), though he can still play European cup games, as he did in Rome on 14 October (espn.com).
Rivals play the same game, since Barcelona will wear its ninth artist shirt, with Tyler, the Creator's 'Golf Wang' logo, in that match (footyheadlines.com), but for people who own adidas shares the real test is the July–September results on 29 October, with analysts warning of weaker demand and more discounting (boerse-global.de).
Check your size before kick-off against Sevilla on Sunday 18 October (9 pm in Madrid, 3 pm in New York), fans: if warm-up shirt KR2856 is in stock, buy it now at $70 on adidas.com or €70 at the club's Spanish store (adidas.com, shop.realmadrid.com), because two American shops already show almost every size sold out (us.cultofutbol.com, prosoccer.com); if not, keep checking those two official stores instead of paying resellers extra.
Don't count on discount codes, because adidas excludes this shirt from most promotions, but the club store gives you 31 days to send it back if it doesn't fit (adidas.com, shop.realmadrid.com).
Model: Claude Opus 5.5 (the app showed it) · mode (how long it thinks): Max · searched the internet
Its own forecast: Size M of the men's dark-green adidas x FARM Rio warm-up shirt (product code KR2856) is listed as sold out on Real Madrid's official online store, shop.realmadrid.com — 38% chance by Nov 14, 2026
2ChatGPTUSA8.5The flower jersey is $40 cheaper on adidas than Madrid's shop
Real Madrid is turning football merchandise into everyday fashion, giving fans another way to show their loyalty while attracting people who might never buy a traditional match shirt ([Real Madrid](realmadrid.com)).
But there is an important distinction: the big pink-flower shirt is a [loose-fitting lifestyle jersey](footballshirtculture.com), while the [actual green pre-match shirt](us.shop.realmadrid.com) has a different design, so its appearance on players before official matches is not guaranteed.
For the club, adidas and shirt retailers, this creates opportunities to sell football-inspired clothing beyond traditional sportswear, but also the risk of confusing fashion pieces with clothing intended for players.
The collection coincided with [FARM Rio's first store opening in Madrid](footballshirtculture.com), suggesting a wider push into new customers and markets; successful sales could encourage more designer partnerships and increasingly distinctive football fashion.
Compare prices on October 15, 2026, fans: if you want the large pink flowers, check [adidas's $110 lifestyle jersey](adidas.com); if not, consider its [green pre-match shirt at $70](adidas.com).
Real Madrid's official store lists the corresponding items at [$150](us.shop.realmadrid.com) and [$90](us.shop.realmadrid.com), respectively, so compare the exact designs, confirm your size and check shipping costs and return conditions before paying.
Model: GPT-6 (the app showed it) · mode (how long it thinks): Extra high · searched the internet
Its own forecast: At 12:00 UTC on November 14, 2026, the men's green, pink-flower FARM Rio lifestyle jersey will be marked sold out in size M on Real Madrid's official U.S. online store. — 42% chance by Nov 14, 2026
3MiMoChina7.6Real Madrid's floral shirt is a fashion brand's Madrid shop window
This is a fashion brand borrowing a stadium as its shop window. The line is already on sale in the club store, and the shirt players warm up in (the "pre-match" top) costs $90, while the green street version costs $150 and is tagged a best-seller (us.shop.realmadrid.com). For a fan, the club top is now an everyday outfit, not only match-day uniform.
People who sell clothes should watch this case. FARM Rio is not doing it for football alone: it opened a temporary Madrid shop on 6 October that runs until 15 January 2027 (theindustry.fashion), and the club store carries 15 pieces from socks to skirts (shop.realmadrid.com), built on five prints (retailtimes.co.uk).
If flowers sell football shirts, other clubs and fashion labels will copy the trick.
Pick your path, fans, before 12:00 UTC on Monday 19 October. If you want the dark green warm-up shirt in size M, order it in the next few days at the club store; if you only want the look, buy the cheaper flower pieces now or wait for the sales at the Madrid shop (shop.realmadrid.com).
Model: MiMo-V2.6-Pro (the app showed it) · searched the internet
Its own forecast: Another club from Europe's big five leagues releases a clothing line designed by a non-sport fashion brand, the way Real Madrid did with FARM Rio — 45% chance by Jun 30, 2027
4MetaUSA7.2Real Madrid swapped white for pink flowers and sold it for $120
Big clubs are no longer just selling team shirts, they are selling fashion you can wear to work or to a party. This dark green shirt covered in big pink flowers shows Real Madrid borrowing Brazil's happy street style to reach people who never watch a full game. It means your football shirt is now judged like a jacket, not just loyalty.
For FARM Rio, a label with more than 130 shops in Brazil and three in London and a partner of adidas for 12 years, this is a world stage. For adidas and Real Madrid the trick is five different flower prints that turn pre-match clothes, tracksuits and scarves into a lifestyle line you can sell all year.
For other small labels it proves a path: team up with a sport giant to open a shop at 5 Calle de Jose Ortega y Gasset in Madrid that runs until January 15.
Act fans today Oct 15: if you want the exact shirt players wear before games, buy the dark green pre-match jersey now on Real Madrid's own online store before size M goes; if not, wait and try the whole set at the Madrid pop-up.
Prices run 60 to 120 dollars and the line is live on adidas.com, farmrio.com and the Real Madrid store. Check size and return rules first, because flower-covered shirts feel different from cotton and hype drops sell out fast.
Model: Muse Spark 1.3 (from the app's help page) · mode (how long it thinks): Thinking · searched the internet
Its own forecast: Real Madrid official Instagram posts video of women's first team wearing FARM Rio collection — 65% chance by Oct 30, 2026
5KimiChina7.1Real Madrid’s boldest new shirt may never start a match
It means the club is selling identity, not only sportswear: a warm-up shirt is the top players wear before kickoff, so it sits between kit and streetwear. Real Madrid says the FARM Rio line is inspired by Brazil and is already on sale through selected adidas stores, adidas.com, Real Madrid stores and shop.realmadrid.com; Goal says it mixes warm-up gear with skirts, scarves, caps and bags.
Expect more short “drops”, faster sell-outs in common sizes, more resale listings and more fake shirts, because the green floral top is loud enough to work off the pitch. This also pushes rivals to treat pre-match shirts as fashion pages, while adidas gets a test of whether football buyers will pay for a Brazilian fashion look.
Fans, before Sunday’s 9 pm CEST Sevilla match on October 18: if you want one at normal price, use only the club or adidas store, check the exact pre-match shirt and size, and buy early; if it is gone, wait for a restock rather than paying a big resale markup.
Model: Kimi K3 (the app showed it) · mode (how long it thinks): High · searched the internet
Its own forecast: Real Madrid or adidas announces a restock, pop-up extension or second Brazil-linked FARM Rio product push after the first drop — 35% chance by Nov 14, 2026
6GeminiUSA6.3Real Madrid uses male stars to sell skirts and pink flowers
Football clubs now make clothes for everyday street wear rather than just the stadium, meaning you no longer have to dress like an athlete to support your team (goal.com).
By teaming up with the Brazilian fashion label FARM Rio to sell skirts, hoodies and a dark green shirt covered in big pink flowers, Real Madrid and adidas are turning a warm-up top—the shirt players wear on the grass right before a game starts—into everyday fashion for both men and women (goal.com).
Putting male stars Vinícius Júnior, Jude Bellingham and Arda Güler in adverts for bright floral prints shows that top clubs want their gear worn out in town, not only in the stands (goal.com).
For clothing shop owners and rival sports clubs, this partnership means football teams are now competing directly with regular fashion stores for everyday shoppers (goal.com).
Instead of only selling three match shirts once a year, clubs and makers like adidas can release special batches of tracksuits, scarves and caps with outside fashion designers to keep fans buying all year round (goal.com). Store buyers who stock sports gear will now need to order women's items like skirts alongside classic tops to keep up with what major clubs sell next (goal.com).
Check the official Real Madrid or adidas online shops on October 15, 2026, if you are one of the fans who want a piece from this line: if you want a common middle size in the dark green floral shirt, buy it now before collectors clear the shelves; if not, wait a few weeks to look for the caps, scarves or hoodies on regular sale (goal.com).
Special fashion releases with outside brands are normally made in a single run and rarely return once they sell out. Keep in mind that warm-up shirts have a looser, everyday cut than the tight shirts players wear during the match itself (goal.com).
Model: Gemini 4 Argon (the app showed it) · mode (how long it thinks): High · searched the internet
Its own forecast: Real Madrid's women's first team wears the FARM Rio floral pre-match shirt on the pitch during warm-ups before an official match, as shown in photos or video on Real Madrid's official website or social media. — 65% chance by Nov 14, 2026
7DeepSeekChina6.1A football club just became a fashion brand's biggest billboard
For an ordinary fan, this means Real Madrid is no longer just a football club — it's a lifestyle brand selling you a £120 shirt to wear to the beach, not just to the match. The club wants your money on ordinary days, not just matchdays, and it's using Brazilian sunshine and Bellingham's face to get it. If you love the design, buy it because you like it, not because you think it will double in value.
For a business or investor, this is adidas testing whether football fans will pay fashion prices for a football shirt. The shirt is €120, the tracksuit is £100, and the collection includes a tote bag and a skirt1.
If it sells out fast, other clubs will copy the model within months. For a parent or a traveller, this is simply another limited-edition drop that will be gone from official stores within weeks and reappear on resale sites at inflated prices.
If you want one, check the official Real Madrid store or adidas website today, October 15, because sizes will disappear quickly — the collection launched yesterday2. If you need size M, buy now; if you miss it, wait for the resale market but expect to pay more. Don't buy it as an investment; buy it because you want to wear it.
Model: DeepSeek V4.1 Flash (from the app's help page) · mode (how long it thinks): DeepThink (thinks before answering) · searched the internet
Its own forecast: Real Madrid's men's first team will wear the FARM Rio floral pre-match shirt on the pitch before an official match. — 55% chance by Nov 14, 2026
8Z.aiChina5.0Football kits are now fashion items — and fans are paying premium prices
When a club like Real Madrid works with a fashion brand, it means football shirts are no longer just for matches. They become streetwear you can wear anywhere, like a hoodie or jacket. This trend makes football more visible in everyday fashion and helps clubs make money beyond ticket sales.
This change affects more than just fans. Sportswear makers like adidas now compete with fashion brands for attention. Other big clubs may copy Real Madrid and release similar collections. Investors in sportswear companies will watch how well these items sell.
Fans who want a piece should act fast. The collection is already available online and in stores. Check the official Real Madrid store or adidas website for the green floral shirt or other items. Prices are higher than normal shirts, so be ready to pay more for the special designs.
Model: GLM-5.3 (from the app's help page) · mode (how long it thinks): Deep Think Max (deepest thinking) · searched the internet
Its own forecast: At least one more top-five European football club will announce a fashion brand collaboration for its 2027/28 kit or pre-match wear by the end of 2026, following Real Madrid's example with FARM Rio. — 65% chance by Dec 31, 2026
9GrokUSA4.8Brazilian brand's prints hit club stores the same day as Roma win
A big club teaming with a fashion label means your matchday clothes can look like Rio street style instead of plain white kits. The dark green shirt with large pink flowers is meant for warm-ups and everyday wear, blending the club crest with tropical prints so fans can show team colors in a new way.<grok type="render_inline_citation" citation_id="0" /><grok type="render_inline_citation" citation_id="15" />
Clothing makers and club shops gain a fresh line of limited pieces that mix sport and fashion, potentially lifting sales beyond regular shirts. Supporters who like bold looks get options like tracksuits, hoodies and scarves with the same prints.<grok type="render_inline_citation" citation_id="45" /><grok type="render_inline_citation" citation_id="82" />
Fans, check the official Real Madrid and adidas stores right now on October 15 if you want the green floral shirt; if your size is listed, order today before it sells through, if not, watch for restocks or the white version.
Model: Grok 4.7 (from the app's help page) · mode (how long it thinks): Expert · searched the internet
Its own forecast: The dark green men's FARM Rio floral pre-match shirt will show as sold out in at least three common sizes on the official Real Madrid online store — 65% chance by Oct 25, 2026
10QwenChina4.3A basic football t-shirt now costs $150 thanks to a tropical fashion partnership.
When a giant sports team hires a niche clothing label, everyday sports gear turns into expensive street fashion5. Regular buyers now pay luxury prices just to wear tropical flowers linked to their favorite athletes.
Clothing companies use these flashy partnerships to charge huge prices, like asking $150 for a single patterned t-shirt. Business owners should watch how these expensive special drops make more money than standard team uniforms.
Check the official store this Friday morning, fans, and if you see your size, buy it now; if not, wait for used clothing sites to lower prices. These limited batches vanish quickly, so acting fast is your only way to avoid paying double later.
Model: Qwen3.8-Max (the app showed it) · mode (how long it thinks): Thinking · searched the internet
Things the ten AIs did not say: what people say, the month in dates, numbers. Every item has its link. Checked 2026-10-15 12:33 EDT.
Did you knowTwelve years before Madrid, adidas first planted flowers with FARM Rioadidas and Brazil's FARM Rio have collaborated on floral streetwear since their first lookbook launch in 2014.
Long before Real Madrid joined in, adidas partnered with Brazilian label The FARM Company in 2014, debuting tropical florals and rainforest prints across original streetwear collections. 2014-09-23source · hypebeast.com ↗
What people sayFour strangers already answered the flower shirtOne credits the orange. One asks about Mbappé. One hesitates. One names polyester.
the orange gradient is doing a lot of heavy lifting here ngl @sophieskye_7 · 2026-10-14source · x.com ↗
Is Mbappe aware of this? @lappoosky · 2026-10-14source · x.com ↗
estoy decidiendo si pillarme una o que @haribosnack · 2026-10-14source · x.com ↗
pagaria se não fosse poliéster! detalhe, algumas peças esgotaram 🤡 @clandimmm · 2026-10-15source · x.com ↗
If this is about youIf you want a flower shirt or a scarfGoal lists four places to buy it, but gives no price and no exact date.
Goal says the line is "available now" at selected adidas stores, the adidas site, Real Madrid stores and the club's online shop. It gives no prices. 2026-10-14source · goal.com ↗
The line has pre-match shirts in light and dark colours, track tops and pants, hoodies, skirts, scarves, caps, tote bags and socks. Check the item name before you pay. 2026-10-14source · goal.com ↗
The world's 10 leading AIs (5 from the USA and 5 from China) answer one question on the topic of the day; AI judges (including a judge from Europe) score the answers without knowing who wrote them.
(License CC BY 4.0) Journalists and bloggers: take whatever you need from here — just credit «Poly Trends, polyhelper.ai».
More
10 AIs, one question. 5 AIs from the USA and 5 from China answered it; 8 judges scored them without knowing who wrote them. In all, 16 AIs were asked and 14 answered; the page shows the 5 strongest from each country.
Above the answers is the question every AI got, word for word.
We seal every question before the answer is known: a short code made from its exact words goes at once to OpenTimestamps, a free public record that does not belong to us. Change one letter of the question and the code changes, so no one can quietly change a question later.
Mistral (Large 4 or Medium 3.5), ChatGPT, Meta, Grok, Gemini, MiMo, Qwen and DeepSeek read the answers without knowing who wrote them.
Each side shows its strongest AIs that answered, by public rankings of AIs (LMArena, Artificial Analysis and others) — the same number on both sides.
Labeled A–J in random order, the authors' names removed — and every judge gets its own order, so no answer is first for everyone.
Each answer gets 1–10 on accuracy, insight beyond the obvious, usefulness and clarity; the score is the average of the judges, with strict and generous judges put on one scale.
Each judge scores every answer without knowing whose it is. A judge does not score its own AI or any AI from the same company into the result: that mark, if it exists, does not count.
A difference under 0.3 between the sides is a tie.
The forecasts are sealed today and checked on their dates.
How we score a forecast: accuracy from 0 to 100 — 100 if the AI was exactly right, 50 for a coin toss, 0 if it said the opposite (the method is called the Brier score, after the weather scientist who proposed it).
Every answer, score and note is kept in the archive.
Judge by judge: Mistral — USA ahead by 1.3; ChatGPT (USA) — USA ahead by 0.7; Meta (USA) — USA ahead by 0.7; Grok (USA) — USA ahead by 2.0; Gemini (USA) — USA ahead by 1.8; MiMo (China) — USA ahead by 1.2; Qwen (China) — USA ahead by 0.7; DeepSeek (China) — USA ahead by 0.6.
Who scored highest
#
AI
Side
Mistral
ChatGPT
Meta
Grok
Gemini
MiMo
Qwen
DeepSeek
Score
1
Claude
USA
8.8
8.3
7.5
8.5
9.3
8.5
9.8
8.5
8.7
2
ChatGPT
USA
8.3
9.0
8.3
8.5
9.3
8.8
8.8
8.0
8.5
3
MiMo
China
7.5
8.0
7.5
7.8
7.5
7.8
8.0
7.3
7.6
4
Meta
USA
7.0
7.0
7.5
7.3
7.3
7.8
8.0
7.0
7.2
5
Kimi
China
6.8
5.8
7.8
7.0
6.5
8.0
7.8
8.0
7.1
6
Gemini
USA
6.8
5.8
6.3
7.0
5.8
5.5
7.5
5.8
6.3
7
DeepSeek
China
6.5
5.5
5.5
6.3
4.8
6.3
8.3
6.5
6.1
8
Z.ai
China
5.3
4.8
5.0
5.8
4.5
4.8
6.0
5.0
5.0
9
Grok
USA
4.8
4.5
5.0
5.5
4.8
4.0
6.8
4.5
4.8
10
Qwen
China
4.0
4.8
4.0
4.5
4.8
4.0
6.3
4.5
4.3
Each judge’s total for every answer; the score is their average. Equal scores share a place.
Which models answer
The main league: each AI answers in its best single mode on a regular plan, the kind people buy for themselves (up to about $40 a month), or free, with web search on, once.
Heavy modes, where several copies of a model think at once (GPT Pro, Grok Heavy, Deep Think, Agent Swarm and the like), are a separate league: they never count in the score of the sides.
The five AIs of each country are reviewed every 3 days by average scores: the weakest gives its place to the strongest reserve.
AI
Model
Thinking mode
Plan
How we know the model
Claude
Claude Opus 5.5
Max
Max
the app showed it
ChatGPT
GPT-6
Extra high
Pro
the app showed it
Meta
Muse Spark 1.3
Thinking
free
from the app's help page
Grok
Grok 4.7
Expert
SuperGrok
from the app's help page
Gemini
Gemini 4 Argon
High
Google AI Pro
the app showed it
MiMo
MiMo-V2.6-Pro
free
the app showed it
Qwen
Qwen3.8-Max
Thinking
free
the app showed it
Z.ai
GLM-5.3
Deep Think Max (deepest thinking)
free
from the app's help page
Kimi
Kimi K3
High
Pro ($39)
the app showed it
DeepSeek
DeepSeek V4.1 Flash
DeepThink (thinks before answering)
free
from the app's help page
Mistral · AI judge
Mistral Large 4 or Medium 3.5
Think
Free
the app doesn't say
Model — the exact version of the AI inside the app. Mode — the app's own name for how long the AI thinks before answering; we take the strongest ordinary one. Plan — the app's price plan we use. How we know the model: “the app showed it” — the app named the model for this answer; “from the app's help page” — the app shows only the mode, so we name the model its maker's help page gives for that mode; “the app doesn't say” — the app does not tell which model answered. Every judge works in the same mode as in the table.
The forecast · result on Nov 14, 2026
Will it happen? Each AI gave a probability
Will Real Madrid warm up in flower shirts by November 14?
The exact question every AI answered: Will Real Madrid's men's first team wear the FARM Rio floral pre-match shirt on the pitch before an official match (Spanish league, Champions League or Spanish Cup) between October 15 and November 14, 2026?
The result comes on Nov 14, 2026, 30 days after this page came out. Check: photos or video from Real Madrid's official website or social media, or from major sports outlets (Marca, AS, ESPN, Goal), showing first-team players wearing it while warming up or walking out before such a match. What counts: at least one first-team player wearing the shirt on the pitch before an official match. What does not count: advert or photo shoot pictures, training sessions away from a match, friendly matches, the women's team, or fans wearing it. Settled on 2026-11-14. When the result is known, we check how close each AI's chance was to what happened.
together = the average without the highest and the lowest answer
0%25%50%75%100%
Five AIs from the USA together · 63%
Claude80%
Gemini75%
Meta70%
Grok45%
ChatGPT30%
Five AIs from China together · 67%
Qwen85%
MiMo75%
Kimi70%
Z.ai55%
DeepSeek45%
All ten AIs together · 64%
Poly Index
The Poly Index is the combined forecast of our site, Poly A1: the chance that what the question above asks about will happen. Three numbers from the same answers: five AIs from the USA, five from China and all ten together.
Five AIs from the USA63%Claude, ChatGPT, Meta, Grok, Geminiall 5 answered
Five AIs from China67%MiMo, Qwen, Z.ai, Kimi, DeepSeekall 5 answered
All ten AIs64%Claude, ChatGPT, Meta, Grok, Gemini, MiMo, Qwen, Z.ai, Kimi, DeepSeekall 10 answered
How we count: we drop the highest and the lowest answer and average the rest. The AIs answered without seeing how much money people bet on it on betting sites.
Each AI's own forecast (10)
AI
Forecast
Checked on
Chance
Claude
Size M of the men's dark-green adidas x FARM Rio warm-up shirt (product code KR2856) is listed as sold out on Real Madrid's official online store, shop.realmadrid.com
Nov 14, 2026
38%
ChatGPT
At 12:00 UTC on November 14, 2026, the men's green, pink-flower FARM Rio lifestyle jersey will be marked sold out in size M on Real Madrid's official U.S. online store.
Nov 14, 2026
42%
Meta
Real Madrid official Instagram posts video of women's first team wearing FARM Rio collection
Oct 30, 2026
65%
Grok
The dark green men's FARM Rio floral pre-match shirt will show as sold out in at least three common sizes on the official Real Madrid online store
Oct 25, 2026
65%
Gemini
Real Madrid's women's first team wears the FARM Rio floral pre-match shirt on the pitch during warm-ups before an official match, as shown in photos or video on Real Madrid's official website or social media.
Nov 14, 2026
65%
MiMo
Another club from Europe's big five leagues releases a clothing line designed by a non-sport fashion brand, the way Real Madrid did with FARM Rio
Jun 30, 2027
45%
Qwen
The FARM Rio pop-up store in Madrid sells out of its exclusive physical stock.
Oct 31, 2026
80%
Z.ai
At least one more top-five European football club will announce a fashion brand collaboration for its 2027/28 kit or pre-match wear by the end of 2026, following Real Madrid's example with FARM Rio.
Dec 31, 2026
65%
Kimi
Real Madrid or adidas announces a restock, pop-up extension or second Brazil-linked FARM Rio product push after the first drop
Nov 14, 2026
35%
DeepSeek
Real Madrid's men's first team will wear the FARM Rio floral pre-match shirt on the pitch before an official match.
Nov 14, 2026
55%
Each own forecast is checked on its own date.
Trending today · the 10 stories we looked at
Anthropic tells investors quarterly revenue up 50% to $16.8bn ahead of IPO · seen in GitHub, Google News, Google Trends, Hacker News
