From the trend: Small Norwegian club stuns Dortmund in the Champions League
Will Dortmund score two or more goals on Saturday?
Forecast before the AIs
Yes or no? Your forecast first — then we show what 10 AIs forecast.
Will Dortmund score two or more goals on Saturday?
At the time of the question: 0 goals in the last game
Why this question: Dortmund's next match, right after losing to the small club
We’ll know the answer
Yes — 6 AIsYou are here
🇺🇸ChatGPT🇨🇳Kimi🇺🇸Claude🇺🇸Meta🇨🇳DeepSeek🇺🇸Grok
ChatGPT: Union have conceded 17 goals in five matches; Dortmund have scored 11.
No — 4 AIsYou are here
🇨🇳Wenxin🇨🇳Qwen🇨🇳Z.ai🇺🇸Gemini
Wenxin: Their attack has looked sluggish late in recent games
We check it on: bundesliga.com
We’ll know the answer
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How we will check the answer
We check it on: bundesliga.com
The answer is due on Oct 17, 2026.
When the day comes, an AI judge that searches the web checks the answer. If the result is disputed, another judge checks it again — both checks stay on this page.
Exact wording, as the AIs got it (in English)
Will Borussia Dortmund score 2 goals or more against 1. FC Union Berlin on Saturday, October 17, 2026 (Bundesliga, final score after 90 minutes plus added time)? Checked on the official Bundesliga match page.
Fingerprint matches ✓
The question and the AIs’ chances are exactly as they were when we sealed them.
Sealed by us on . Sent to OpenTimestamps, a free public registry that does not belong to us, 45 hours before the answer was due. Waiting to be fixed for good.
A fingerprint is a short code taken from a record when it is written. Change even one letter and the code is different.
The fingerprint itself, line 56 of the book: c7228439928405349965b905c53df2f43b89653cb3d3e400ded801d221381f39
Check it yourself, without us
- The book of questions: duels.jsonl
- The list we sent and the registry’s answer: polya1-trends-2026-10-15-173401Z.txt · polya1-trends-2026-10-15-173401Z.txt.ots
- The first 56 lines of the book give the same number as the list:
head -n 56 duels.jsonl | shasum -a 256
- The registry’s answer shows when the list existed:
ots verify polya1-trends-2026-10-15-173401Z.txt.ots
or drop both files on opentimestamps.org.