From the trend: A 60-year-old French car-parts factory closes, 244 workers lose jobs
Will a French lawmaker ask the government about this factory on Tuesday?
Forecast before the AIs
Yes or no? Your forecast first — then we show what 10 AIs forecast.
Will a French lawmaker ask the government about this factory on Tuesday?
We’ll know the answer
Yes — 6 AIsYou are here
🇨🇳Qwen🇨🇳DeepSeek🇺🇸Meta🇨🇳Kimi🇺🇸Gemini🇨🇳MiMo
Qwen: Local politicians will demand answers again now that the final closure is official.
No — 4 AIsYou are here
🇺🇸Claude🇺🇸ChatGPT🇨🇳Z.ai🇺🇸Grok
Claude: A local lawmaker already asked on October 13; repeats one week later are rare.
We check it on: assemblee-nationale.fr
We’ll know the answer
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How we will check the answer
We check it on: assemblee-nationale.fr
The answer is due on Oct 20, 2026.
When the day comes, an AI judge that searches the web checks the answer. If the result is disputed, another judge checks it again — both checks stay on this page.
Exact wording, as the AIs got it (in English)
During the weekly questions to the government in France's National Assembly on Tuesday, October 20, 2026, will any member of parliament ask about the Fonderie de Bretagne, according to the official record on assemblee-nationale.fr?
Fingerprint matches ✓
The question and the AIs’ chances are exactly as they were when we sealed them.
Sealed by us on . Sent to OpenTimestamps, a free public registry that does not belong to us, 5 days before the answer was due. Waiting to be fixed for good.
A fingerprint is a short code taken from a record when it is written. Change even one letter and the code is different.
The fingerprint itself, line 57 of the book: 515dbd073afd6610f13d7d59435b91f439011633b8e6251c5d8df578de14be7e
Check it yourself, without us
- The book of questions: duels.jsonl
- The list we sent and the registry’s answer: polya1-trends-2026-10-15-183454Z.txt · polya1-trends-2026-10-15-183454Z.txt.ots
- The first 57 lines of the book give the same number as the list:
head -n 57 duels.jsonl | shasum -a 256
- The registry’s answer shows when the list existed:
ots verify polya1-trends-2026-10-15-183454Z.txt.ots
or drop both files on opentimestamps.org.