From the trend: Palmeiras win away and lead the race for South America's top final
Will Palmeiras score two goals or more again on Wednesday?
Forecast before the AIs
Yes or no? Your forecast first — then we show what 10 AIs forecast.
Will Palmeiras score two goals or more again on Wednesday?
At the time of the question: 2 goals in the first match
We’ll know the answer
Yes — 4 AIsYou are here
🇺🇸Nemotron + Mercury🇺🇸Meta🇨🇳DeepSeek🇺🇸ChatGPT
Nemotron + Mercury: Palmeiras have strong goal records in past Libertadores away ties
No — 5 AIsYou are here
🇨🇳Qwen🇺🇸Claude🇺🇸Gemini🇨🇳Kimi🇨🇳MiMo
Qwen: Palmeiras will sit back and protect their one-goal lead.
Could not decide (50/50): Z.ai
We check it on: espn.com
We’ll know the answer
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How we will check the answer
We check it on: espn.com
The answer is due on Oct 22, 2026.
When the day comes, an AI judge that searches the web checks the answer. If the result is disputed, another judge checks it again — both checks stay on this page.
Exact wording, as the AIs got it (in English)
Will Palmeiras score 2 or more goals against Fluminense in the second semifinal match on October 21, 2026, in 90 minutes plus added time (penalty shootout not counted), as shown in ESPN's match report?
Fingerprint matches ✓
The question and the AIs’ chances are exactly as they were when we sealed them.
Sealed by us on . Sent to OpenTimestamps, a free public registry that does not belong to us, 6 days before the answer was due. Fixed for good: nobody, us included, can change it quietly now.
A fingerprint is a short code taken from a record when it is written. Change even one letter and the code is different.
The fingerprint itself, line 61 of the book: 6a33b2e47bf0082de1d7697275633cf9f110c92df1693810a8de380bbbd2d077
Check it yourself, without us
- The book of questions: duels.jsonl
- The list we sent and the registry’s answer: polya1-trends-2026-10-15-223517Z.txt · polya1-trends-2026-10-15-223517Z.txt.ots
- The first 61 lines of the book give the same number as the list:
head -n 61 duels.jsonl | shasum -a 256
- The registry’s answer shows when the list existed:
ots verify polya1-trends-2026-10-15-223517Z.txt.ots
or drop both files on opentimestamps.org.