From the trend: Porsche shows a new dream car that will cost more than a 911
Will a Porsche share drop below 40.50 euros early next week?
Forecast before the AIs
Yes or no? Your forecast first — then we show what 10 AIs forecast.
Will a Porsche share drop below 40.50 euros early next week?
At the time of the question: €41.09
We’ll know the answer
Yes — 2 AIsYou are here
🇺🇸ChatGPT🇺🇸Meta
ChatGPT: Thursday's €41.37 closing price sits close to €40.50, with recent prices already moving sharply.
No — 8 AIsYou are here
🇨🇳Kimi🇨🇳Z.ai🇺🇸Nemotron + Mercury🇨🇳DeepSeek🇨🇳Wenxin🇺🇸Gemini🇺🇸Grok🇨🇳StepFun
Kimi: The share sits near 41 euros; falling below 40.50 within four days needs fresh bad news.
We check it on: boerse-frankfurt.de
We’ll know the answer
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How we will check the answer
We check it on: boerse-frankfurt.de
The answer is due on Oct 22, 2026.
When the day comes, an AI judge that searches the web checks the answer. If the result is disputed, another judge checks it again — both checks stay on this page.
Exact wording, as the AIs got it (in English)
Will Porsche's share (Xetra) have a closing price below €40.50 on any trading day from Monday, October 19 to Thursday, October 22, 2026? Source: Xetra closing prices on boerse-frankfurt.de.
Fingerprint matches ✓
The question and the AIs’ chances are exactly as they were when we sealed them.
Sealed by us on . Sent to OpenTimestamps, a free public registry that does not belong to us, 6 days before the answer was due. Waiting to be fixed for good.
A fingerprint is a short code taken from a record when it is written. Change even one letter and the code is different.
The fingerprint itself, line 65 of the book: ae8f1ef0cbacbe93b9de67be14dea53902c8caff4a3500368ad10c12e6607fcd
Check it yourself, without us
- The book of questions: duels.jsonl
- The list we sent and the registry’s answer: polya1-trends-2026-10-16-044544Z.txt · polya1-trends-2026-10-16-044544Z.txt.ots
- The first 65 lines of the book give the same number as the list:
head -n 65 duels.jsonl | shasum -a 256
- The registry’s answer shows when the list existed:
ots verify polya1-trends-2026-10-16-044544Z.txt.ots
or drop both files on opentimestamps.org.