From the trend: The Street Fighter video game is a big movie again, opening today
Will Street Fighter earn 28 million dollars in America this weekend?
Forecast before the AIs
Yes or no? Your forecast first — then we show what 10 AIs forecast.
Will Street Fighter earn 28 million dollars in America this weekend?
At the time of the question: Forecast $25–35 million
We’ll know the answer
Yes — 9 AIsYou are here
🇨🇳Z.ai🇺🇸Grok🇺🇸Meta🇨🇳DeepSeek🇨🇳StepFun🇺🇸Gemini🇨🇳MiMo🇨🇳Kimi🇺🇸ChatGPT
Z.ai: Tracking points to a $30M+ domestic debut, well above $28M.
No — 1 AIYou are here
🇺🇸Claude
Claude: Thursday shows made four million; weekends often end six to seven times that.
We check it on: boxofficemojo.com
We’ll know the answer
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How we will check the answer
We check it on: boxofficemojo.com
The answer is due on Oct 18, 2026.
When the day comes, an AI judge that searches the web checks the answer. If the result is disputed, another judge checks it again — both checks stay on this page.
Exact wording, as the AIs got it (in English)
Will Street Fighter earn $28 million or more in North America over its opening weekend (Friday, October 16 to Sunday, October 18, 2026), by the Sunday studio estimate on Box Office Mojo?
Fingerprint matches ✓
The question and the AIs’ chances are exactly as they were when we sealed them.
Sealed by us on . Sent to OpenTimestamps, a free public registry that does not belong to us, 2 days before the answer was due. Waiting to be fixed for good.
A fingerprint is a short code taken from a record when it is written. Change even one letter and the code is different.
The fingerprint itself, line 68 of the book: f3b56bb6b1c13bee3089fbbfaeacda9438c8a180a1385a2d3bcf0c887a3d3a1d
Check it yourself, without us
- The book of questions: duels.jsonl
- The list we sent and the registry’s answer: polya1-trends-2026-10-16-093425Z.txt · polya1-trends-2026-10-16-093425Z.txt.ots
- The first 68 lines of the book give the same number as the list:
head -n 68 duels.jsonl | shasum -a 256
- The registry’s answer shows when the list existed:
ots verify polya1-trends-2026-10-16-093425Z.txt.ots
or drop both files on opentimestamps.org.