From the trend: Uniqlo's North American and European shops together sell more than in China
Will Uniqlo's owner be worth more by Friday than today?
Forecast before the AIs
Yes or no? Your forecast first — then we show what 10 AIs forecast.
Will Uniqlo's owner be worth more by Friday than today?
At the time of the question: ¥73,850
We’ll know the answer
Yes — 6 AIsYou are here
🇨🇳Kimi🇺🇸Grok🇺🇸Gemini🇺🇸Meta🇨🇳DeepSeek🇨🇳Z.ai
Kimi: It is already back above 74,000 on Tuesday after Monday's drop.
No — 3 AIsYou are here
🇨🇳StepFun🇺🇸Claude🇺🇸ChatGPT
StepFun: The stock sits just under the mark after falling two days running.
Could not decide (50/50): MiMo
We check it on: google.com
We’ll know the answer
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How we will check the answer
We check it on: google.com
The answer is due on Oct 23, 2026.
When the day comes, an AI judge that searches the web checks the answer. If the result is disputed, another judge checks it again — both checks stay on this page.
Exact wording, as the AIs got it (in English)
Will Fast Retailing's share close at or above 74,000 yen on the Tokyo Stock Exchange on Friday, October 23, 2026, by Google Finance?
Fingerprint matches ✓
The question and the AIs’ chances are exactly as they were when we sealed them.
Sealed by us on . Sent to OpenTimestamps, a free public registry that does not belong to us, 3 days before the answer was due. Fixed for good: nobody, us included, can change it quietly now.
A fingerprint is a short code taken from a record when it is written. Change even one letter and the code is different.
The fingerprint itself, line 112 of the book: 8206a8d7b961e5d0885b95f579322f1aff14dc3c41993bc42e9e97a4a6737728
Check it yourself, without us
- The book of questions: duels.jsonl
- The list we sent and the registry’s answer: polya1-trends-2026-10-20-033437Z.txt · polya1-trends-2026-10-20-033437Z.txt.ots
- The first 112 lines of the book give the same number as the list:
head -n 112 duels.jsonl | shasum -a 256
- The registry’s answer shows when the list existed:
ots verify polya1-trends-2026-10-20-033437Z.txt.ots
or drop both files on opentimestamps.org.