From the trend: Netflix is growing slower, cutting 1,000 jobs and changing its bosses
Will Netflix's share price fall to a new low this week?
Forecast before the AIs
Yes or no? Your forecast first — then we show what the AIs forecast.
Will Netflix's share price fall to a new low this week?
At the time of the question: $65.04
We’ll know the answer
Yes — 5 AIsYou are here
🇺🇸Claude🇺🇸Nemotron + Mercury🇨🇳MiMo🇨🇳DeepSeek🇨🇳Kimi
Claude: Monday's close was already under that low, so it only needs to stay there.
No — 4 AIsYou are here
🇨🇳Z.ai🇺🇸ChatGPT🇺🇸Meta🇺🇸Grok
Z.ai: It already had its big fall; new lows need fresh bad news this week.
Could not decide (50/50): StepFun
We check it on: finance.yahoo.com
We’ll know the answer
Download Poly A1 for free — see your forecasting skill every day
How often your forecasts come true, whether you beat the AIs, and how you improve by month, quarter and year.
How we will check the answer
We check it on: finance.yahoo.com
The answer is due on Oct 30, 2026.
When the day comes, an AI judge that searches the web checks the answer. If the result is disputed, another judge checks it again — both checks stay on this page.
Exact wording, as the AIs got it (in English)
Will Netflix's share price (Nasdaq: NFLX) close below $64.10, its lowest point of the past year, on any trading day from October 27 through Friday, October 30, 2026, by Yahoo Finance's daily history?
Fingerprint matches ✓
The question and the AIs’ chances are exactly as they were when we sealed them.
Sealed by us on . Sent to OpenTimestamps, a free public registry that does not belong to us, 3 days before the answer was due. Fixed for good: nobody, us included, can change it quietly now.
A fingerprint is a short code taken from a record when it is written. Change even one letter and the code is different.
The fingerprint itself, line 194 of the book: c5115fddde231276f90680b47728d65147bd5ddd7410672646b748c6043dbd43
Check it yourself, without us
- The book of questions: duels.jsonl
- The list we sent and the registry’s answer: polya1-trends-2026-10-27-073414Z.txt · polya1-trends-2026-10-27-073414Z.txt.ots
- The first 194 lines of the book give the same number as the list:
head -n 194 duels.jsonl | shasum -a 256
- The registry’s answer shows when the list existed:
ots verify polya1-trends-2026-10-27-073414Z.txt.ots
or drop both files on opentimestamps.org.