Trend of the day · TechnologyTechnology · Oct 13, 2026
He-Man's long-delayed retro video game finally gets a date: February 2027

Games from old cartoons are cheap advertising for toy makers, so their release dates are soft promises.
Guess before the AIs
Yes or no? You first — then we show what 8 AIs answered.
Will PlayStation maker Sony's share price be higher on Wednesday than Tuesday?
Now: $24.33
We’ll know the answer
Yes — 4 AIsYou are here
🇨🇳Qwen🇨🇳Kimi🇺🇸Claude🇺🇸Meta AI
Qwen: Sony stock often goes up slightly after a steady trading day.
No — 2 AIsYou are here
🇨🇳MiMo🇺🇸ChatGPT
MiMo: Shares of Sony move up or down almost like a coin flip day to day.
Could not decide (50/50): Nemotron + Mercury, Z.ai
We check it on: finance.yahoo.com
We’ll know the answer
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How often you guess right, whether you beat the AIs, and how you improve by month, quarter and year.
- They agree
- 8 of 8: put it on your wish list and pay only after reviews.
- They split
- Kimi and Qwen read the delays as polish; Z.ai and ChatGPT expect more slips.
- Not obvious
- Box orders close November 22, ten weeks before any review can exist.
- What to do
- Order the boxed copy before November 22 only if you collect.
- What to watch
- If no new delay is announced by January, the February 4 date holds.
Read in full
All eight AIs agree on what to do: don't pay early. Put the game on your wish list (Steam or your console store) and decide when reviews come out around February 4, 2027. The $29.99 digital copy won't sell out and costs the same on launch day. Most of them (6 of 8) also see the business the same way: for Mattel, the toy maker that owns He-Man, a small retro game is cheap brand upkeep, not a big bet.
They split on what the delays mean. Kimi, Qwen and Nemotron + Mercury read them as time spent polishing the hand-drawn animation. Z.ai and ChatGPT warn that another slip is possible. Claude brings the hardest evidence.
In April the publisher said the game was near the end of development, yet it needed ten more months. And the studio's previous game, Terminator 2D: No Fate, slipped three times because making the physical copies took longer than planned. Qwen's claim that legal talks over the rights caused the delays has no support.
What follows: the February date looks real, with a fixed day and pre-orders open, but boxed copies will likely arrive months after the digital launch. Limited Run Games makes only what fans order, and its boxes can take 4 to 10 months to ship.
Claude and Kimi add Mattel's own numbers: He-Man toy sales more than tripled this year, and its games business is growing, so more 1980s cartoons turned into retro games are likely. Claude also notes that Sony plans to stop making discs for new PlayStation games in 2028, so boxed editions like this one may get rarer.
What to do: if you only want to play, wait for the reviews. If you want the box on your shelf, you have to decide before November 22, without reviews. The $99.99 collector's edition came with a free He-Man figure only for the first 2,250 buyers.
They split: Kimi and Qwen read the delays as polish; Z.ai and ChatGPT expect more slips.
What settles the dispute: A launch on February 4, 2027, with good reviews, would mean the delays were polish.
No real split: AIs from both countries say wait for reviews before paying.
What is confirmed and what is not
- Confirmed by a source The digital game launches February 4, 2027, at $29.99.
- Confirmed by a source The studio's last game slipped three times because of its physical copies.
- The AIs' conclusion For the toy maker, such games are cheap advertising, not a big bet.
The AIs read 43 sources
Ask any AI yourself
I loved He-Man as a kid. Should I pre-order the $99.99 collector's box of the new game or wait for reviews?
Copy it and paste it into a chat with any AI
Who wins, who loses: Mattel gets cheap advertising; fans who pay early carry the delay risk.
On October 12, 2026, the video game news site Gematsu reported a new date for the He-Man video game «Dragon Pearl of Destruction»: February 4, 2027. It is a fighting game drawn in the style of 1990s arcade games, made by the small British studio Bitmap Bureau.
It was first due in April 2026 and was delayed twice (source).
What does this long road say about new games built on famous old cartoons and toys? What is likely to happen next with this game and with games like it? And what should the people waiting to play it do now?
What the world's 8 leading AIs think
1ChatGPTUSA8.1Nostalgia attracts players, but cannot guarantee a game's success
Famous cartoons can get a new game noticed, but they cannot make development predictable. The creators said they needed more time to refine He-Man, which does not necessarily mean the game will disappoint (gematsu.com).
There is proven demand for this style: Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Shredder's Revenge sold over one million copies in its first week, although that success does not guarantee another hit (gematsu.com).
For businesses, familiar characters offer a way to attract older fans without building an entirely new fictional world. Publishers can also earn more from collectors: He-Man has a $29.99 standard edition and a $99.99 collector's edition (limitedrungames.com).
I expect the digital game to launch in February, although another delay remains possible; physical copies may arrive later because manufacturing starts after preorders close, and similar retro games will probably keep appearing if sales justify them (gematsu.com; support.limitedrungames.com).
For players, patience is the safest choice: add the game to your Steam wishlist, watch new gameplay footage, and consider waiting for independent reviews before buying (store.steampowered.com).
Collectors should note that physical preorders close November 22, 2026, but check shipping estimates and costs carefully: Limited Run says its preorder products can take four to ten months to ship (limitedrungames.com; support.limitedrungames.com).
Model: GPT-6 · mode: Extra high · search on · new chat exact
Sources- gematsu.com
- gematsu.com
- gematsu.com
- limitedrungames.com
- limitedrungames.com
- support.limitedrungames.com
- store.steampowered.com
- reuters.com
- barrons.com
- finance.yahoo.com
own forecast: Between October 14 and November 12, 2026, Limited Run Games will publish at least one new video showing gameplay from He-Man and the Masters of the Universe: Dragon Pearl of Destruction on its official YouTube channel. — 43% by Nov 12, 2026
2ClaudeUSA7.9He-Man's two delays show old-cartoon game dates are weak promises
With small games built on old cartoons, the release date is the weakest promise, so plan around reviews, not trailers.
In April the publisher said the game was near the end of development, yet it needed almost ten more months (gematsu.com), and the same studio's Terminator game slipped three times over boxed-copy problems (timeextension.com).
One plus: it also runs on older PlayStation 4, Xbox One and original Switch machines (gematsu.com), which matters now that memory shortages have pushed console prices up and US PlayStation sales to a 13-year low (notebookcheck.net).
For toy companies, games like this are cheap brand upkeep, not a bet on one film: the movie made about $114 million worldwide on a $170 million budget (the-numbers.com), yet Mattel says He-Man toy billings more than tripled this year and it launched its own He-Man phone game (marketbeat.com).
Expect more such deals but fewer boxes: Sony stops making discs for new PlayStation games in January 2028 (tech-insider.org), and Limited Run, which makes only what fans pre-order, says that came sooner than it expected (gamesbeat.com).
Who sells He-Man rights may change too, since Mattel has a new boss (finance.yahoo.com), a reported $6 billion approach from Authentic Brands and a 5.4% owner urging a sale (retaildive.com).
If you just want to play, put it on your wish list and decide when reviews land around February 4; the boxed copy costs the same $29.99 (limitedrungames.com).
Pre-order a box only if you want it on a shelf: orders close November 22, the box is still in pre-production, and the game takes two players at most, on one console (limitedrungames.com).
Collectors should hurry, because only the first 2,250 collector's editions ($99.99) come with a free He-Man figure (limitedrungames.com; nintendolife.com).
Model: Claude Opus 5.5 · mode: Max · search on · new chat exact
Sources- gematsu.com
- gematsu.com
- gematsu.com
- timeextension.com
- gematsu.com
- notebookcheck.net
- the-numbers.com
- marketbeat.com
- tech-insider.org
- gamesbeat.com
- finance.yahoo.com
- retaildive.com
own forecast: He-Man and the Masters of the Universe: Dragon Pearl of Destruction launches on schedule: it can be bought and played digitally on Steam and at least one console store (PlayStation, Xbox or Nintendo) by February 5, 2027, with no third delay. — 72% by Feb 5, 2027
3KimiChina7.1Handmade nostalgia takes time: expect more retro-game delays, not fewer
For the ordinary fan, the message is simple: small studios making pixel-art games by hand are slow, and delays usually mean polish, not trouble.
Bitmap Bureau is a tiny team, and the game has now had three windows — April 2026, summer 2026, early 2027 — before landing on a firm day with pre-orders live (heman.org, gematsu.com). A precise date plus open pre-orders suggests this one is real.
For business, this is how toy giants now treat old brands: license them to small studios as cheap, fan-pleasing marketing. Mattel's games arm is growing — action figures, building sets and games billings jumped 35% last quarter, helped by its 163 digital titles, and it paid $159 million to take full control of its mobile games venture (finance.yahoo.com).
Expect more 1980s cartoons and toys turned into retro-style games, and expect more delays, because hand-drawn animation cannot be rushed.
What should waiting players do now? Don't rush to pre-order — a $29.99 digital game will not sell out, and it costs the same on launch day. Wishlist it on Steam, keep the money, and wait for the first reviews in February 2027. If you care about the bigger picture, Mattel reports results on October 29, which will show how its push into video games is really doing (marketbeat.com).
Model: Kimi K3 · mode: High · search on · new chat exact
Sources- gematsu.com
- heman.org
- bitmapbureau.com
- vice.com
- finance.yahoo.com
- marketbeat.com
- finance.yahoo.com
- finance.yahoo.com
- finance.yahoo.com
own forecast: Two weeks after launch, He-Man: Dragon Pearl of Destruction holds a Steam user review score of at least 80 percent (Very Positive) — 60% by Feb 18, 2027
4Z.aiChina6.0Nostalgia games are a business of small bets and missed dates.
For a fan waiting since childhood, the honest news is that two delays are normal, not a death sign. Small studios like Bitmap Bureau build these retro-licensed games with tiny teams and tight budgets, so every fix takes longer than it would at a big publisher. Games like this almost always ship eventually, and the $29.99 price keeps the risk small for buyers.
For the business, an old cartoon licence is a cheap, low-stakes bet: the brand is famous, the studio is small, and a modest hit still pays off. But the calendar is the real enemy — February 2027 is filling up with bigger games, and one more slip would push this game against the spring blockbusters.
For Mattel, the toy maker that owns He-Man, a $30 game is free advertising, nothing more; the numbers that matter for the game are reviews and collectors buying the physical editions Limited Run Games is known for.
If you want it, wishlist it now and wait for reviews at launch — never pre-order a twice-delayed game unseen. Buy the physical edition only if you are a collector, because Limited Run's print runs can genuinely sell out and later cost more second-hand. And keep one more delay in your plans: if it slips past February 4 again, that is the normal pattern for small licensed games, not a surprise.
Model: GLM-5.3 · mode: Deep Think Max · search on · new chat likely
Sources- gematsu.com
- limitedrungames.com
- bitmapbureau.com
- en.wikipedia.org
- investor.shareholder.com
- finance.yahoo.com
- finance.yahoo.com
- finance.yahoo.com
own forecast: Limited Run Games opens pre-orders for the physical editions of 'He-Man and the Masters of the Universe: Dragon Pearl of Destruction' on its official store (limitedrungames.com) on or before 2026-11-12. — 50% by Nov 12, 2026
5Meta AIUSA5.9Nostalgia games need time, small teams still deliver them
For regular players, this shows nostalgia is not cheap to rebuild. Old cartoons live in memory as perfect, so new games must match that feeling. A tiny team like this one needs extra time when the license is big and the bar is high.
For business, the model is simple: a toy owner licenses to a small retro specialist and a niche physical publisher. That keeps costs low and fans happy, with a $29.99 digital price and a $99 collector box on the side. Delays are part of the deal, not a sign the game is dead.
If you want it, do not rush. Watch the official Limited Run store, not resellers, and note pre-orders close November 22. Save your money until reviews land, and enjoy other beat-em-ups while you wait.
Model: Muse Spark 1.3 · mode: Thinking · search on · new chat likely
Sourcesown forecast: Limited Run Games opens digital pre-orders for He-Man: Dragon Pearl of Destruction on PlayStation Store and Steam — 70% by Dec 31, 2026
6MiMoChina5.6Old cartoons sell games now; delays are normal; wait for reviews.
For an ordinary person, the lesson is simple: a game tied to a famous old toy is still just a small game. A tiny studio makes it, the date moves, and the safest move is to wait for reviews before paying (gematsu.com).
For business, this shows what nostalgic licences are worth: cheap name, small crowd. Companies like Mattel can sell rights to many tiny makers and let fans pay for memories, but none of it moves a big company's results on its own (finance.yahoo.com).
So do nothing yet. Do not pre-order, do not pay for a physical copy early; mark February 4, 2027 in a calendar, and buy only if the reviews are good and the price is still $29.99 (gematsu.com).
Model: MiMo-V2.6-Pro · search on · new chat likely
Sourcesown forecast: A second small retro-style game based on a 1980s toy or cartoon brand gets a public delay of at least one month before June 2027. — 65% by Jun 30, 2027
7Nemotron + MercuryUSA5.4Retro game delays reflect licensing and development hurdles
For players, the delays suggest the developers are taking time to polish the 1990s arcade feel, so the final game may be more authentic and bug‑free. Wait for gameplay videos and reviews before spending money.
For businesses, licensed retro titles involve extra approval steps and niche audience expectations, which often stretch schedules and budgets. Publishers like Limited Run Games may still release physical collector editions to boost revenue.
People waiting should watch for new trailers and hands‑on previews in early 2027, and decide then whether to pre‑order the standard or collector version. No need to commit early.
Model: Nemotron 3 Ultra · mode: High · web search by Mercury · new chat exact
Sourcesown forecast: Limited Run Games announces a physical collector's edition for Dragon Pearl of Destruction — 65% by Jan 15, 2027
8QwenChina5.0Nostalgia game delays prove licensing requires patience, not rushed releases.
For players, this delay means more time to save money and manage expectations. Retro-style games often face hidden hurdles when updating classic cartoon licenses for modern systems. You can expect a more polished final product rather than a rushed, broken release.
For companies, securing rights to famous old toys involves complex legal negotiations that easily cause schedule slips. Small studios like Bitmap Bureau rely on publishers like Limited Run Games to navigate these hurdles safely3. This pattern will continue as brands prioritize quality control over hitting arbitrary initial launch dates.
Waiting players should avoid pre-ordering too early to protect their funds from indefinite delays. Instead, follow the developer’s official channels for transparent progress updates before committing any money. Use this extra time to explore similar completed retro brawlers already on the market.
Model: Qwen3.8-Max · mode: Thinking · search on · new chat exact
Sourcesown forecast: Limited Run Games will announce a physical collector edition price increase for the game due to extended development costs. — 65% by Nov 10, 2026
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Which AI guesses right more often
Accuracy 0–100: how close the chance was to what happened. 100 — exact, 50 — a coin toss, 0 — the opposite. few data: 0 of 30 results
The first results come a day after the first questions.
How it works
The world's 8 leading AIs (4 from the USA and 4 from China) answer one question on the topic of the day; AI judges score the answers without knowing who wrote them.
More
8 AIs, one question. 4 AIs from the USA and 4 from China answered it; 7 judges scored them without knowing who wrote them. 16 were asked, 11 answered — each side shows its 4 strongest.
Above the answers is the question every AI got, word for word.
We seal every question before the answer is known, and we send its fingerprint at once to OpenTimestamps, a free public registry that does not belong to us. No one can quietly change a question afterwards.
Came true or not: forecasts of the leading AI models →
DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Meta AI, Nemotron + Mercury, Z.ai, Kimi and Claude Opus read the answers without knowing who wrote them.
- Each side shows its strongest AIs that answered, by the public leaderboard of their labs — the same number on both sides.
- Labeled A–H in random order, the authors' names removed.
- Each answer gets 1–10 on accuracy, non-obviousness, usefulness and clarity; the score is the mean of the judges.
- Each judge scores every answer without knowing whose it is — its own answer too: it never sees the names.
- A difference under 0.3 between the sides is a tie.
- The forecasts are sealed today and checked on their dates.
- Every answer, score and note is kept in the archive.
Judge by judge: DeepSeek (China) — USA ahead by 1.2; ChatGPT (USA) — USA ahead by 1.6; Meta AI (USA) — USA ahead by 0.8; Nemotron + Mercury (USA) — USA ahead by 0.5; Z.ai (China) — USA ahead by 0.4; Kimi (China) — USA ahead by 0.6; Claude Opus (USA) — USA ahead by 0.8.
Who scored highest
| # | AI | Side | DeepSeek | ChatGPT | Meta AI | Nemotron + Mercury | Z.ai | Kimi | Claude Opus | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ChatGPT | USA | 7.5 | 8.5 | 8.0 | 8.3 | 8.3 | 8.3 | 7.8 | 8.1 |
| 2 | Claude | USA | 8.8 | 7.8 | 7.8 | 7.5 | 7.3 | 7.8 | 8.3 | 7.9 |
| 3 | Kimi | China | 8.0 | 6.5 | 7.8 | 7.8 | 5.3 | 7.8 | 7.0 | 7.1 |
| 4 | Z.ai | China | 5.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 | 6.8 | 6.0 | 6.0 | 6.5 | 6.0 |
| 5 | Meta AI | USA | 5.3 | 7.0 | 5.5 | 6.3 | 5.3 | 5.8 | 6.0 | 5.9 |
| 6 | MiMo | China | 4.3 | 5.3 | 4.3 | 6.3 | 7.3 | 6.0 | 6.0 | 5.6 |
| 7 | Nemotron + Mercury | USA | 4.8 | 5.5 | 4.5 | 6.3 | 7.5 | 4.8 | 4.3 | 5.4 |
| 8 | Qwen | China | 4.3 | 4.8 | 4.5 | 5.5 | 8.0 | 4.5 | 3.5 | 5.0 |
Each judge’s total for every answer; the score is their mean. Equal scores share a place.
Which models answer
The main league: each AI answers in its own app, in its best single mode on a regular plan (about $20–30 a month) or free, with web search on, in a new chat, once.
Heavy modes, where several copies of a model think at once (GPT Pro, Grok Heavy, Deep Think, Agent Swarm and the like), are a separate league: they never count in the score of the sides.
| AI | Model | Mode | Plan | How sure |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude | Claude Opus 5.5 | Max | Max | exact |
| ChatGPT | GPT-6 | Extra high | Pro | exact |
| Meta AI | Muse Spark 1.3 | Thinking | free | likely |
| Nemotron + Mercury | Nemotron 3 Ultra | High | free, no sign-in | exact |
| Mercury web search for Nemotron + Mercury | Mercury 2.5 | High | free | not disclosed |
| MiMo | MiMo-V2.6-Pro | free | likely | |
| Qwen | Qwen3.8-Max | Thinking | free | exact |
| Z.ai | GLM-5.3 | Deep Think Max | free | likely |
| Kimi | Kimi K3 | High | membership | exact |
| DeepSeek judge | DeepSeek V4.1 Flash | DeepThink | free | likely |
| Claude Opus judge | Claude Opus 5.5 | Max | Max | exact |
Exact: the app showed the model for this answer. Likely: the app shows only the mode, so we name the model the provider’s own help lists for that mode. Not disclosed: the app does not say which model answered. Every judge works in the same mode as in the table.
Will it happen? Each AI gave a probability
Will Mattel's share (Nasdaq: MAT), the toy company that owns He-Man, close at $17.00 or higher on November 12, 2026?
The result comes on Nov 12, 2026, 30 days after this issue. It is checked by the official closing price for November 12, 2026 on Yahoo Finance (https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MAT/history). Only that day's official close counts. Prices during the day and after-hours trading do not count. The close was $16.80 on October 13, 2026. Each AI is scored by how close its probability was to what happened (the Brier score).
- the line: Poly World-10 · 48%
Poly Index
Three numbers from the same answers: the five American AIs, the five Chinese AIs and all ten together.
- Poly USA-546%Claude, ChatGPT, Meta AI, Nemotron + Mercury4 of 5 answered
- Poly China-548%MiMo, Qwen, Z.ai, Kimi4 of 5 answered
- Poly World-1048%Claude, ChatGPT, Meta AI, Nemotron + Mercury, MiMo, Qwen, Z.ai, Kimi8 of 10 answered
How we count: we drop the highest and the lowest answer and take the average of the rest. The AIs answered before they saw any market.
Each AI's own forecast (8)
| AI | Forecast | By | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Claude | He-Man and the Masters of the Universe: Dragon Pearl of Destruction launches on schedule: it can be bought and played digitally on Steam and at least one console store (PlayStation, Xbox or Nintendo) by February 5, 2027, with no third delay. | Feb 5, 2027 | 72% |
| ChatGPT | Between October 14 and November 12, 2026, Limited Run Games will publish at least one new video showing gameplay from He-Man and the Masters of the Universe: Dragon Pearl of Destruction on its official YouTube channel. | Nov 12, 2026 | 43% |
| Meta AI | Limited Run Games opens digital pre-orders for He-Man: Dragon Pearl of Destruction on PlayStation Store and Steam | Dec 31, 2026 | 70% |
| Nemotron + Mercury | Limited Run Games announces a physical collector's edition for Dragon Pearl of Destruction | Jan 15, 2027 | 65% |
| MiMo | A second small retro-style game based on a 1980s toy or cartoon brand gets a public delay of at least one month before June 2027. | Jun 30, 2027 | 65% |
| Qwen | Limited Run Games will announce a physical collector edition price increase for the game due to extended development costs. | Nov 10, 2026 | 65% |
| Z.ai | Limited Run Games opens pre-orders for the physical editions of 'He-Man and the Masters of the Universe: Dragon Pearl of Destruction' on its official store (limitedrungames.com) on or before 2026-11-12. | Nov 12, 2026 | 50% |
| Kimi | Two weeks after launch, He-Man: Dragon Pearl of Destruction holds a Steam user review score of at least 80 percent (Very Positive) | Feb 18, 2027 | 60% |
Each own forecast is checked on its own date.
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