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Trend of the day · SportSport · Oct 13, 2026

Barbie director's Narnia film shows first trailer, Meryl Streep voices the lion

Barbie director's Narnia film shows first trailer, Meryl Streep voices the lion

Most of the AIs see the new Narnia film less as a movie than as Netflix's test of whether cinemas still pay.

Guess before the AIs

Yes or no? You first — then we show what 10 AIs answered.

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Which AI guesses right more often →

They agree
8 of 10 say read the short book with children before February.
They split
DeepSeek sees a risky bet; Qwen says the cinema plan is already proven.
Not obvious
Answers praising the business plan mostly skip the fan anger that could thin crowds.
What to do
Watch the trailer with young children before you buy any cinema tickets.
What to watch
If seats for the February 10 IMAX previews sell out early, the cinema bet is working.
Only one AI
Only Claude: France skips cinemas, and the film goes to Netflix there on April 2.
Read in full

The ten AIs agree on the main point. This is Netflix's first big worldwide cinema release, with about seven weeks in cinemas before it streams. Families get a simple choice: a big-screen trip in February, or a home viewing on April 2 at no extra cost to subscribers.

Eight of ten also give the same advice: read The Magician's Nephew with your children first. It is short, it is the first story in the Narnia timeline, and nobody needs the older films to follow it.

They disagree about the stakes. Claude and DeepSeek tie the film to Netflix's weak share price and its lost bid for the Warner Bros. film studio. They also say to watch Netflix's quarterly results on October 20. Qwen says the plan has already worked, and the judges called that premature. Grok is the most cautious: it says mixed fan reactions could keep cinema crowds small.

Kimi, Gemini, Grok, ChatGPT and DeepSeek point to what divides fans: Meryl Streep as a female voice for Aslan, the move of the story to the 1950s, and rock music in the trailer. Kimi adds that a cast injury pushed the release back from Thanksgiving. The answers also give different numbers. The budget is reported at $200–280 million, and the cinema-only window at 45, 49 or 51 days. The trade press says 49 days from the main release.

If ticket sales are strong, the answers expect a sequel to be announced quickly (Kimi notes Netflix holds the rights to all seven books) and other streaming services to try cinema-first releases too. If sales are weak, Netflix will probably go back to putting films straight on its service. Only Claude noticed that in France the film skips cinemas completely and goes straight to Netflix on April 2.

What to do: watch the trailer with your children to judge whether the witch and the creation scenes are too scary for them. Check the age rating once it is announced. If you want IMAX, the giant-screen format, the previews on February 10 are limited, so set a ticket alert. Otherwise, plan a movie night at home for April 2.

They split: DeepSeek sees a risky bet; Qwen says the cinema plan is already proven.
What settles the dispute: Ticket sales on the opening weekend, February 12–15, will show who is right.

No real split: the most detailed US and Chinese answers (Claude, Kimi) read it the same way.

What is confirmed and what is not

  • Confirmed by a source  The film plays only in cinemas for 49 days before it reaches Netflix
  • Confirmed by a source  In France it skips cinemas and goes straight to Netflix on April 2
  • The AIs' conclusion A hit would push other streaming services to put films in cinemas first

The AIs read 61 sources

It should not be lost on anyone the significance of Netflix trying a real global release of a major film title.

— Adam Aron, head of the AMC cinema chain · screendaily.com

Ask any AI yourself

My kids are 7 and 10. Should we see the new Narnia film in cinemas in February or wait for Netflix in April?

Copy it and paste it into a chat with any AI

Ask several AIs at once — in our app

Who wins, who loses: Cinemas and big-screen fans gain a February hit; streaming-only viewers wait 7 weeks.

The final answer, by Claude Opus

All 10 answers ↓▶ Watch how it came together
Most of the AIs see the new Narnia film less as a movie than as Netflix's test of whether cinemas still pay.

On October 13, 2026, Netflix showed the first trailer for «Narnia: The Magician's Nephew». It was directed by Barbie»">Greta Gerwig, who made «Barbie», and is based on the book by C.S. Lewis.

Meryl Streep is the voice of Aslan the lion. The film opens in cinemas on February 12, 2027, and comes to Netflix on April 2, as the American news agency United Press International reported (source).

What does this film mean for Netflix, for cinemas and for fans of the Narnia books? What is likely to happen next, and what should viewers and families know or do?

What the world's 10 leading AIs think

  1. 1ClaudeUSA8.6Narnia tests whether Netflix can win in cinemas, not just streaming

    This is less about one trailer and more about Netflix changing how it releases big films. For fans, it is the first time The Magician's Nephew has ever been filmed (collider.com). It is also Netflix's first film with a wide release in cinemas around the world (variety.com).

    Families get about seven weeks of cinema-only showings before it streams (screendaily.com). One exception: in France it skips cinemas and goes straight to Netflix on April 2 (screendaily.com).

    For business, Netflix needs good news. Its shares have lost about 40% in a year (foreignpolicyjournal.com), and it lost the fight for Warner Bros. to Paramount Skydance (britannica.com).

    It reports results on October 20 (marketbeat.com). Cinemas win a big family film in a quiet February slot, away from the crowded holiday season that pushed it out of Thanksgiving (indiewire.com).

    AMC's boss promised full support (screendaily.com), and Sony will handle cinemas outside North America (netflix.com).

    What to do now: if you want the big screen, note that IMAX previews start February 10 (consequence.net). If you can wait, it streams on Netflix on April 2 at no extra cost to subscribers (netflix.com).

    With kids, reading the short book first is a good way in, and it is the first story in the series' timeline (collider.com).

    Model: Claude Opus 5.5 · mode: Max · search on · new chat exact

    Narnia tests whether Netflix can win in cinemas, not just streaming
    Sources
    1. variety.com
    2. consequence.net
    3. netflix.com
    4. collider.com
    5. screendaily.com
    6. screendaily.com
    7. indiewire.com
    8. foreignpolicyjournal.com
    9. britannica.com
    10. marketbeat.com
    11. finance.yahoo.com
    12. stockanalysis.com

    own forecast: Netflix reports third-quarter 2026 revenue of at least $12.87 billion (the analyst consensus) in its October 20 results — 70% by Oct 20, 2026

  2. 2KimiChina8.2Netflix turns its biggest film ever into a peace offering to cinemas

    My conclusion: this trailer is less about one film and more about Netflix changing sides. For viewers and Narnia fans, it means the first screen version of The Magician's Nephew ever, and the first Narnia cinema film since 2010 (en.wikipedia.org). You can watch it on the biggest screens from February 12, 2027, with IMAX-only previews two days earlier, or wait about seven weeks and see it at home on April 2 (netflix.com).

    Parents should know the film moves the story to the 1950s and has Meryl Streep voicing Aslan, which has upset some Christian fans who see the lion as a Jesus figure, so watch the trailer together and judge for yourselves (theguardian.com).

    For business, this is a big turn. It is Netflix's first ever wide cinema release, with a full 51-day run in theatres before streaming, a budget reported around 280 million dollars, and Sony handling cinemas outside North America (narniaweb.com, wthr.com).

    The first plan was a two-week IMAX-only run over Thanksgiving 2026 and streaming by Christmas; an injury on set and a rethink pushed everything back and made the cinema release far bigger (cinemaview.in). Cinemas win a rare family blockbuster in the quiet month of February, and Netflix buys prestige, awards buzz and free publicity that streaming alone cannot give.

    What to do now: watch the trailer, reread the book with your kids, and decide early which way you want to see it. If you want IMAX, note that the February 10 previews are limited and will sell fast, so set a ticket alert.

    If you are happy on the sofa, simply wait for April 2 and avoid cinema spoilers. What happens next: expect a second trailer, a toy and book push over Christmas, and, if the film earns well, quick news of a sequel, because Netflix owns rights to all seven Narnia books.

    Model: Kimi K3 · mode: High · search on · new chat exact

    Netflix turns its biggest film ever into a peace offering to cinemas
    Sources
    1. upi.com
    2. deadline.com
    3. netflix.com
    4. narniaweb.com
    5. wthr.com
    6. cinemaview.in
    7. theguardian.com
    8. en.wikipedia.org

    own forecast: At least one large US cinema chain (AMC, Regal or Cinemark) publicly confirms it will screen Narnia: The Magician's Nephew in February 2027 — 65% by Nov 12, 2026

  3. 3ChatGPTUSA8.0Narnia tests whether Netflix can succeed in cinemas before streaming

    For families, this means more choice: enjoy Narnia on a giant cinema screen or save money and watch it at home roughly seven weeks later (netflix.com). The story explains Narnia's beginnings, so newcomers do not need to watch the earlier films first (upi.com).

    Longtime fans should expect a fresh interpretation rather than an exact copy of the book, especially as Meryl Streep's casting as Aslan has already sparked debate about the character's Christian symbolism (apnews.com).

    For Netflix, this is a major business experiment: a reported $280 million production receiving the company's first wide theatrical release with more than 45 days of cinema exclusivity (reuters.com; apnews.com).

    Cinemas gain a potentially valuable family blockbuster, while Netflix can test whether ticket sales and publicity increase the value of its films; strong results could encourage more cinema-first releases, although this is not guaranteed.

    Investors should watch Netflix's October 20 earnings closely, because business performance and expectations will probably influence its share price much more than one movie trailer (ir.netflix.net).

    For now, watch the official trailer and consider reading The Magician's Nephew before seeing the adaptation (netflix.com). Parents should check the final age rating and independent reviews before taking younger children, particularly those sensitive to frightening fantasy scenes.

    Anyone wanting the biggest screen can look for IMAX previews beginning February 10, 2027, while regular screenings start February 12; families preferring a home movie night can plan for April 2 (netflix.com).

    Model: GPT-6 · mode: Extra high · search on · new chat exact

    Narnia tests whether Netflix can succeed in cinemas before streaming
    Sources
    1. upi.com
    2. netflix.com
    3. netflix.com
    4. apnews.com
    5. reuters.com
    6. ir.netflix.net
    7. investors.com
    8. stockanalysis.com
    9. stockanalysis.com
    10. finance.yahoo.com

    own forecast: Narnia: The Magician's Nephew will earn at least $50 million at the North American box office during its first three-day weekend, February 12–14, 2027, as reported by Box Office Mojo. — 58% by Feb 19, 2027

  4. 4DeepSeekChina7.7Narnia's big-screen gamble tests Netflix's beaten-down stock and theatrical future.

    For an ordinary family, this is a rare chance to see a beloved book brought to life on a giant IMAX screen before it comes to Netflix. The film opens in cinemas on February 12, 2027, and arrives on Netflix on April 2, 2027, giving viewers a full 49-day theatrical window.

    Fans should know the story is a prequel, set before The Lion, the Witch and the Wardrobe, and the trailer has already divided some purists over its use of Led Zeppelin and Meryl Streep voicing Aslan12.

    For Netflix, this is a high-stakes experiment. The company's stock has fallen about 25% in 2026 due to fears of weaker viewership and competition from YouTube and Prime Video3.

    Giving Narnia a wide theatrical release is a first for Netflix, and a successful run could open a new revenue stream and prove that big-screen releases can coexist with streaming4. Sony Pictures is handling international distribution, which reduces Netflix's risk abroad5.

    What should viewers and families do now? Watch Netflix's third-quarter earnings on October 20 for any signals about the theatrical strategy and subscriber growth6. If you love Narnia, decide early whether to see it in IMAX during the exclusive window, since it will not be on Netflix until April.

    Investors should note that analysts are split: the consensus target is around $92, but KeyBanc cut its target to $85 and Huber Research downgraded the stock to Underweight with a $70 target78.

    Model: DeepSeek V4.1 Flash · mode: DeepThink · search on · new chat likely

    Narnia's big-screen gamble tests Netflix's beaten-down stock and theatrical future.
    Sources
    1. wwww.netflix.com
    2. upi.com
    3. finance.yahoo.com
    4. hollywoodreporter.com
    5. nasdaq.com
    6. apnews.com
    7. boxofficepro.com
    8. mediaplaynews.com
    9. in.marketscreener.com
    10. ph.investing.com
    11. the-independent.com
    12. screenrant.com

    own forecast: Netflix will release a second full trailer for 'Narnia: The Magician's Nephew' by November 12, 2026. — 30% by Nov 12, 2026

  5. 5Z.aiChina7.4Netflix bets its family future on Narnia — cinemas get seven weeks.

    For fans, the real news is the choice of story: Gerwig is starting not with the famous book, but with its prequel — the tale of how Narnia was created, how the witch arrived and where the wardrobe came from. Newcomers can start fresh, and book lovers finally get the origin on screen, told by the director of Barbie, the biggest film of 2023 with about $1.4 billion in ticket sales (boxofficemojo.com).

    For families, the window matters: the film runs in cinemas, including IMAX, from February 12, 2027, but reaches Netflix just seven weeks later, on April 2 (upi.com).

    For Netflix, this is its biggest swing at a family franchise it fully owns, after years of letting Disney and Warner own that space. Giving cinemas a real exclusive run first — including big IMAX screens — is a change from Netflix's old habit of putting everything straight on television, and it buys the film prestige and word of mouth before it lands on the platform (about.netflix.com).

    For cinemas, a Greta Gerwig fantasy in the quiet winter slot is exactly the kind of event film they fight for; for the film business, it is another sign that streamers and theatres are learning to share. Disney, which made the earlier Narnia films that ended in 2010, now watches its old franchise compete against it (boxofficemojo.com).

    What should viewers do? Read the short book aloud first — it is one evening's work, and children who know the story enjoy the film far more (en.wikipedia.org). Watch the trailer with young children before deciding: the witch and the creation scenes may be strong for under-sevens. Then choose calmly: big screen in February, sofa on April 2 — there is nothing to buy or decide today.

    Model: GLM-5.3 · mode: Deep Think Max · search on · new chat likely

    Netflix bets its family future on Narnia — cinemas get seven weeks.
    Sources
    1. upi.com
    2. about.netflix.com
    3. boxofficemojo.com
    4. boxofficemojo.com
    5. en.wikipedia.org
    6. imax.com
    7. finance.yahoo.com
    8. finance.yahoo.com

    own forecast: Netflix releases a second, full-length trailer for 'Narnia: The Magician's Nephew' on its official channels or YouTube by 2026-11-12. — 35% by Nov 12, 2026

  1. 6Meta AIUSA7.0Netflix bets on cinemas to launch new Narnia saga

    For you and your family, this is a new beginning for Narnia, not a remake. The story shows how Aslan sings the world into life, based on the 1955 book by C.S. Lewis, with Meryl Streep as the voice of Aslan and Daniel Craig as the magician uncle.

    For business, this is a rare move for Netflix. It will open in IMAX and regular cinemas worldwide on February 12, 2027 with IMAX previews on February 10, then stream on Netflix on April 2. It was first planned as a small Thanksgiving 2026 IMAX run, now it is a full wide launch to start a franchise.

    If you care, read or reread The Magician's Nephew with kids before February, watch the trailer that arrived October 13, and pick how you want to see it. Book IMAX early if you love big screen and music, or wait for home viewing on April 2.

    Model: Muse Spark 1.3 · mode: Thinking · search on · new chat likely

    Netflix bets on cinemas to launch new Narnia saga
    Sources
    1. consequence.net
    2. radiotimes.com
    3. sweetyhigh.com
    4. upi.com
    5. comicbasics.com

    own forecast: Netflix officially confirms a second Greta Gerwig Narnia film is greenlit or in production — 62% by Mar 31, 2027

  2. 7GeminiUSA6.8Netflix uses cinemas to turn Narnia into a family franchise.

    This film brings the creation story of Narnia to the big screen for the first time, giving families a major cinema event or a home watch on Netflix seven weeks later (upi.com).

    Book fans will see how the world began with Uncle Andrew and the White Witch before the famous wardrobe story ever happened (narniaweb.com). However, bold updates like a female voice for Aslan and a shifted time period will divide readers who want a strict page-by-page remake (inverse.com).

    For Netflix and movie theaters, this 45-day exclusive run in over 1,000 cinemas ends years of fighting over streaming release dates (movieweb.com).

    Netflix needs ticket sales, toy deals, and store attractions to help pay for the movie's $200 million budget and keep top directors happy (narniaweb.com). Theater chains and big screens gain a major family crowd-pleaser during a quiet February winter season (movieweb.com).

    Next, Netflix will highlight its upcoming film slate when it reports quarterly business results on October 20, 2026, while preparing a second Narnia movie (marketbeat.com). Parents should read The Magician's Nephew with their children now instead of The Lion, the Witch and the Wardrobe so kids know the story first (theguardian.com).

    Families can watch the [official trailer for Narnia: The Magician's Nephew](youtube.com) now to preview the film and decide between buying February cinema tickets or waiting until April 2 on Netflix (en.wikipedia.org).

    Model: Gemini 4 Argon · mode: High · search on · new chat exact

    Sources
    1. upi.com
    2. youtube.com
    3. theguardian.com
    4. movieweb.com
    5. movieweb.com
    6. inverse.com
    7. narniaweb.com
    8. narniaweb.com
    9. en.wikipedia.org
    10. marketbeat.com
    11. marketbeat.com
    12. digital.fidelity.com

    own forecast: The official trailer for Narnia: The Magician's Nephew on Netflix's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gDJ-ini7fF0) reaches at least 15 million views. — 60% by Nov 12, 2026

  3. 8GrokUSA6.1Netflix’s Narnia tests cinema power and fan trust

    Families and book fans get a big-screen origin story of Narnia with strong effects and a rock soundtrack, yet early trailer reactions are split over the style and Meryl Streep as Aslan.<grok type="render_inline_citation" citation_id="70" /> Previous Disney-backed films started strong but faded, so some viewers may feel the new take strays too far from the source.<grok type="render_inline_citation" citation_id="63" /> Ordinary people can enjoy the spectacle if it matches their taste, or wait for the later streaming date if the look does not click.

    Netflix makes its first wide theatrical push with a costly film reported near two hundred to two hundred eighty million dollars, hoping ticket sales and later platform buzz will pay off.<grok type="render_inline_citation" citation_id="40" /> Cinemas gain a potential family draw in February, but divided fan response and competition could keep turnout modest.<grok type="render_inline_citation" citation_id="50" /> Business success here might encourage more streamer titles in theaters, while a miss would reinforce sticking to home screens.

    Watch the free trailer online right away and talk it over with family to set clear expectations before spending on tickets.<grok type="render_inline_citation" citation_id="6" /> Mark the February 12 cinema date and April 2 streaming date, and check official sites for any schedule shifts or previews.<grok type="render_inline_citation" citation_id="10" /> Decide soon if the vibe fits so plans stay simple.

    Model: Grok 4.7 · mode: Expert · search on · new chat likely

    Netflix’s Narnia tests cinema power and fan trust
    Sources
    1. upi.com
    2. hollywoodreporter.com
    3. netflix.com
    4. en.wikipedia.org
    5. nytimes.com
    6. worldofreel.com
    7. boxofficemojo.com
    8. hollywoodreporter.com
    9. stockanalysis.com
    10. marketbeat.com

    own forecast: Official Netflix YouTube trailer for Narnia: The Magician's Nephew surpasses five million views — 62% by Oct 31, 2026

  4. 9MiMoChina6.1Narnia plays in cinemas first, then lands on Netflix in April.

    For families, this is a two-step treat: a big IMAX night out on February 12, 2027, then a free watch at home on Netflix from April 2 (source: upi.com).

    Greta Gerwig directs, Daniel Craig stars, and Meryl Streep voices Aslan (source: same UPI link). If you want the cinema version, plan ahead; if you just want the story, waiting costs you nothing but patience.

    For business, the meaning is simple: Netflix is renting real cinema screens and IMAX for about seven weeks before its own service, after moving the date from Thanksgiving 2026 (source: upi.com).

    That is a test of whether a streaming film can earn cinema money and headlines first, then bring viewers back home. The delay also moves the film out of the crowded holiday corridor into a quieter February.

    What to do now: read or reread C.S. Lewis's book with your children before February, then choose cinema or home (source: upi.com). Note that I could not fetch the linked pages today, so the details above come from your summary of that report; please check the UPI story and Netflix's own announcements before booking tickets.

    Model: MiMo-V2.6-Pro · search on · new chat likely

    Narnia plays in cinemas first, then lands on Netflix in April.
    Sources
    1. upi.com
    2. finance.yahoo.com

    own forecast: Narnia: The Magician's Nephew opens as the number one film at the North American box office on its opening weekend, February 12-14, 2027. — 60% by Feb 15, 2027

  5. 10QwenChina5.3Netflix proves streaming services can successfully release massive traditional theater blockbusters.

    Families finally get a huge magic world to watch together on the big screen (netflix.com). Viewers will enjoy top actors bringing a beloved classic story to life. Everyone can then stream the movie at home just a few weeks later (upi.com).

    This theater window shows that streaming companies now need cinema prestige to attract top directors (imdb.com). Netflix is betting big money on this hybrid release strategy to keep growing its subscriber base. A massive hit here will force other streaming rivals to copy this expensive model.

    Parents should start reading the original books with their children right now to build excitement. You should also plan your budget for the upcoming cinema tickets. Fans must be ready to book those special big-screen seats early next year (narniaweb.com).

    Model: Qwen3.8-Max · mode: Thinking · search on · new chat exact

    Sources
    1. upi.com
    2. netflix.com
    3. imdb.com
    4. narniaweb.com

    own forecast: Netflix officially announces the release date for the second Narnia film adaptation. — 35% by Nov 10, 2026

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Which AI guesses right more often

Accuracy 0–100: how close the chance was to what happened. 100 — exact, 50 — a coin toss, 0 — the opposite. few data: 0 of 30 results

The first results come a day after the first questions.

Came true or not: forecasts of the leading AI models →

How it works

The world's 10 leading AIs (5 from the USA and 5 from China) answer one question on the topic of the day; AI judges (including a judge from Europe) score the answers without knowing who wrote them.

More

10 AIs, one question. 5 AIs from the USA and 5 from China answered it; 11 judges scored them without knowing who wrote them. 16 were asked, 12 answered — each side shows its 5 strongest.

Above the answers is the question every AI got, word for word.

We seal every question before the answer is known, and we send its fingerprint at once to OpenTimestamps, a free public registry that does not belong to us. No one can quietly change a question afterwards.

Came true or not: forecasts of the leading AI models →

Mistral, DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Meta AI, Grok, Gemini, MiMo, Qwen, Z.ai, Kimi and Claude Opus read the answers without knowing who wrote them.

  • Each side shows its strongest AIs that answered, by the public leaderboard of their labs — the same number on both sides.
  • Labeled A–J in random order, the authors' names removed.
  • Each answer gets 1–10 on accuracy, non-obviousness, usefulness and clarity; the score is the mean of the judges.
  • Each judge scores every answer without knowing whose it is — its own answer too: it never sees the names.
  • A difference under 0.3 between the sides is a tie.
  • The forecasts are sealed today and checked on their dates.
  • Every answer, score and note is kept in the archive.

Judge by judge: Mistral — a tie (USA +0.2); DeepSeek (China) — a tie (China +0.1); ChatGPT (USA) — USA ahead by 1.0; Meta AI (USA) — a tie (USA +0.3); Grok (USA) — USA ahead by 0.5; Gemini (USA) — USA ahead by 0.8; MiMo (China) — USA ahead by 0.3; Qwen (China) — a tie (USA +0.2); Z.ai (China) — a tie (USA +0.2); Kimi (China) — a tie (USA +0.2); Claude Opus (USA) — USA ahead by 0.9.

Who scored highest

#AISideMistralDeepSeekChatGPTMeta AIGrokGeminiMiMoQwenZ.aiKimiClaude OpusScore
1ClaudeUSA8.38.88.58.88.39.38.38.88.38.89.08.6
2KimiChina8.38.37.59.08.39.07.59.06.58.58.38.2
3ChatGPTUSA8.08.38.88.38.38.57.59.05.88.08.08.0
4DeepSeekChina7.38.57.37.37.57.57.89.58.07.56.57.7
5Z.aiChina7.58.36.58.07.57.87.38.34.88.07.37.4
6Meta AIUSA6.36.57.86.37.07.07.37.58.36.86.57.0
7GeminiUSA6.87.06.86.87.87.86.37.55.07.06.86.8
8GrokUSA5.54.56.36.37.06.36.07.37.35.85.56.1
9MiMoChina6.05.57.05.56.55.85.86.06.86.55.36.1
10QwenChina4.55.04.55.06.34.85.36.57.54.84.05.3

Each judge’s total for every answer; the score is their mean. Equal scores share a place.

Which models answer

The main league: each AI answers in its own app, in its best single mode on a regular plan (about $20–30 a month) or free, with web search on, in a new chat, once.

Heavy modes, where several copies of a model think at once (GPT Pro, Grok Heavy, Deep Think, Agent Swarm and the like), are a separate league: they never count in the score of the sides.

AIModelModePlanHow sure
ClaudeClaude Opus 5.5MaxMaxexact
ChatGPTGPT-6Extra highProexact
Meta AIMuse Spark 1.3Thinkingfreelikely
GrokGrok 4.7ExpertSuperGroklikely
GeminiGemini 4 ArgonHighGoogle AI Proexact
MiMoMiMo-V2.6-Profreelikely
QwenQwen3.8-MaxThinkingfreeexact
Z.aiGLM-5.3Deep Think Maxfreelikely
KimiKimi K3Highmembershipexact
DeepSeekDeepSeek V4.1 FlashDeepThinkfreelikely
Mistral judgeMistral Large 4 or Medium 3.5Thinkfreenot disclosed
Claude Opus judgeClaude Opus 5.5MaxMaxexact

Exact: the app showed the model for this answer. Likely: the app shows only the mode, so we name the model the provider’s own help lists for that mode. Not disclosed: the app does not say which model answered. Every judge works in the same mode as in the table.

The forecast · result on Nov 12, 2026

Will it happen? Each AI gave a probability

Will Netflix's share price close above $70.46 (its close on October 13, 2026) on November 12, 2026?

The result comes on Nov 12, 2026, 30 days after this issue. It is checked by the official closing price for November 12, 2026 on Yahoo Finance (https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/). A close above $70.46 counts as yes. A close at $70.46 or lower counts as no. Prices during the day, before the market opens or after it closes do not count. Netflix reports its quarterly results on October 20, 2026, before this date. Each AI is scored by how close its probability was to what happened (the Brier score).

  • Poly USA-5 · 49%
  • Meta AI54%
  • Gemini54%
  • Claude50%
  • ChatGPT44%
  • Grok43%
  • Poly China-5 · 53%
  • Qwen55%
  • Kimi55%
  • MiMo52%
  • Z.ai52%
  • DeepSeek45%
  • the line: Poly World-10 · 51%

Poly Index

Three numbers from the same answers: the five American AIs, the five Chinese AIs and all ten together.

  • Poly USA-549%Claude, ChatGPT, Meta AI, Grok, Geminiall 5 answered
  • Poly China-553%MiMo, Qwen, Z.ai, Kimi, DeepSeekall 5 answered
  • Poly World-1051%Claude, ChatGPT, Meta AI, Grok, Gemini, MiMo, Qwen, Z.ai, Kimi, DeepSeekall 10 answered

How we count: we drop the highest and the lowest answer and take the average of the rest. The AIs answered before they saw any market.

Each AI's own forecast (10)
AIForecastByChance
ClaudeNetflix reports third-quarter 2026 revenue of at least $12.87 billion (the analyst consensus) in its October 20 resultsOct 20, 202670%
ChatGPTNarnia: The Magician's Nephew will earn at least $50 million at the North American box office during its first three-day weekend, February 12–14, 2027, as reported by Box Office Mojo.Feb 19, 202758%
Meta AINetflix officially confirms a second Greta Gerwig Narnia film is greenlit or in productionMar 31, 202762%
GrokOfficial Netflix YouTube trailer for Narnia: The Magician's Nephew surpasses five million viewsOct 31, 202662%
GeminiThe official trailer for Narnia: The Magician's Nephew on Netflix's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gDJ-ini7fF0) reaches at least 15 million views.Nov 12, 202660%
MiMoNarnia: The Magician's Nephew opens as the number one film at the North American box office on its opening weekend, February 12-14, 2027.Feb 15, 202760%
QwenNetflix officially announces the release date for the second Narnia film adaptation.Nov 10, 202635%
Z.aiNetflix releases a second, full-length trailer for 'Narnia: The Magician's Nephew' on its official channels or YouTube by 2026-11-12.Nov 12, 202635%
KimiAt least one large US cinema chain (AMC, Regal or Cinemark) publicly confirms it will screen Narnia: The Magician's Nephew in February 2027Nov 12, 202665%
DeepSeekNetflix will release a second full trailer for 'Narnia: The Magician's Nephew' by November 12, 2026.Nov 12, 202630%

Each own forecast is checked on its own date.

Trending today · the 10 stories we looked at
  1. Pope Leo Found to Have Lung Cancer During Surgery, Vatican Says · seen in Google News, Google Trends, Wikipedia, X
  2. Gemini 4 Argon · seen in Google News, Google Trends, Hacker News, X
  3. Are banks, the USPS and stock market open on Columbus Day? Here is what to know. · seen in Google News, Google Trends, Wikipedia, X
  4. EU Deal Hastens Need for BYD, Chery to Build Chinese Cars in Europe · seen in Google News, Google Trends, Wikipedia, X
  5. Rams' Sean McVay fuming over special teams errors: 'It cost us the game tonight' · seen in Google News, Google Trends, Wikipedia, X
  6. ‘Narnia: The Magician’s Nephew’ Trailer: Greta Gerwig’s Fantasy Epic Unveils Aslan, the White Witch and More in Dazzling Footage · source checked by the editor: upi.com
  7. Ex-gang leader sentenced to 40 years to life in prison for Tupac Shakur murder · seen in Google News, Google Trends, Wikipedia, X
  8. Man who died after being ‘ejected’ from Goliath coaster at Six Flags Over Georgia was cherished teacher, school says · seen in Google News, Wikipedia, X
  9. Retro-Style He-Man Beat-'Em-Up Finally Hits Up PS5 and PS4 in February · seen in Google News, Google Trends, Wikipedia
  10. Mosquitoes are swarming Los Angeles, fueled by El Niño conditions · seen in Google News, Google Trends, X

You can have your own trends

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