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Oct 15, 2026New trend every hour

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Fan favorite sent home on TV dance show's first football night

Fan favorite sent home on TV dance show's first football night

Fans can keep a weak dancer around for weeks, but a last-place judges' score eventually wins.

USA7.2:China6.3

average of its top 5 AIs · today's answers, scored out of 10 by other AIs acting as judges — not who will guess the future← Yesterday: Engineer accused of hiding a microphone in his company's meeting room

Forecast before the AIs ↓

All 10 answers ↓▶ Watch how it came together

On this show, the judges' scores and the viewers' votes together decide who goes home (source).

What does this result say about how that mix works, and what is likely to happen next in the competition?

In plain words: Dancing With the Stars — American TV contest: celebrities dance with professionals; Super Bowl — final game of the American football season; TODAY — an American morning TV news show; ABC — a big American TV channel; Disney — American entertainment company that owns ABC; Dedication Night — episode where dancers honor someone they love

What to do

A favorite with a low score can still be saved, but only by votes cast live on Tuesday.

Who should do what

Fans of low-scoring couples: Vote live on October 20; Connor Wood, Tatyana Ali and Tyler Cameron are the most exposed.

What not to do: Do not wait until after the show or the next morning to vote; those votes do not count.

Votes only count during the live show. Votes sent after the broadcast do not count, and each method allows up to ten votes per couple. A weak score no longer gets years of free passes.

A low score is a risk, not a verdict. A couple can be among the last two without having the lowest total, and a high scorer can still slip if their fans stay home. Exact vote totals are never published.

Vote during the live show on Tuesday, October 20, from 8 p.m. Eastern. If your favorite scored 30 out of 40 or less, put your votes on them as the show runs; if they scored near 36, vote anyway but do not panic.

This is what most of the 10 AIs advise. Each AI explains it in its own words below.

What the world's 10 leading AIs think

They agree: 9 of 10: fan votes delay a low score but cannot erase it.
They split: ChatGPT says judges and votes count as equal rankings; MiMo and Gemini say points simply add.
Not obvious: The last two couples called on stage are not necessarily the bottom two.
What to watch: If a 25-to-30 scorer goes home on October 20, the judges' score is winning.
Only one AI: Only ChatGPT: vote totals are private, so lost fan support can't be known.

Read in full

Nine of the ten answers read the exit the same way. Guillermo Rodriguez had a big fan following, and votes carried him for weeks. But his last-place 22 out of 40, even though it was his best score of the season, finally outweighed them. Fan love buys time, not safety.

They split on how the mix works. ChatGPT, Grok and Claude say judges' ranking and viewers' ranking count about equally, so a 14-point gap is not a fixed wall. MiMo, Gemini and Z.ai describe it as scores and votes simply added together. ChatGPT also warns that vote totals are secret. Fans' YouTube views, which Claude and Kimi cite (719,000 against 231,000), do not prove how many votes he lost.

A second lesson is that the final two on stage are not always the two lowest. Tyler Cameron scored 30 and was still in the last two, while Connor Wood scored 25 and was not. So a low score is a risk, not a verdict.

Looking ahead, the answers name Connor Wood (25), Tatyana Ali (29) and Tyler Cameron (30) as the most exposed. Jenna Dewan and Ezra Frech, tied at 36, look strongest. Kimi expects Guillermo's fan votes to drift to mid-pack couples. ChatGPT expects Dedication Night on October 20 to shuffle votes through emotion. Most expect the stronger dancers to reach the November 24 finale, with surprises still possible.

They split: ChatGPT says judges and votes count as equal rankings; MiMo and Gemini say points simply add.
What settles the dispute: The October 20 result will show whether judges or fans decide at the bottom.

No clear split: AIs from the USA and China read the result the same way.

What is confirmed and what is not

The AIs' conclusion Guillermo's 22 out of 40 was his best score and the night's lowest.
The AIs' conclusion Judges' rank and viewers' rank count about equally in the result.
Not known yet Exact fan vote totals are never published.

The AIs read 38 sources

Ask any AI yourself

My favorite on Dancing with the Stars scored 29 out of 40. How many votes should I cast, and when, to keep them in?

Copy it and paste it into a chat with any AI

Ask several AIs at once — in our app

Who wins, who loses: Strong dancers gain; popular but weak ones lose their safety net.

The final answer, by Claude Opus

Next to each AI: its place today and its score out of 10, given by other AIs acting as judges. Under each answer: its model — the exact version of the AI. Tap an answer to read it.

1KimiChina8.2His clips had triple the next couple's views — votes still ran out
The judges-plus-viewers mix is a safety net with a weight limit.
Audience votes carried Guillermo Rodriguez through four straight weeks at the bottom of the judges' table, but they can only delay the verdict, not cancel it: once eleven couples remained, a last-place 22 out of 40 finally outweighed one of the biggest fan bases in the ballroom, even though it was his best score all season (dancemogul.com).
For everyone still dancing, the ground just shifted. Guillermo's exit frees up a huge block of loyal votes — Jimmy Kimmel showed his routines had over 700,000 YouTube views, more than triple any rival's — and that vote block now drifts toward other middle-of-the-pack couples, which matters most for the two lowest scorers left, podcaster Connor Wood (25) and actress Tatyana Ali (29) (eonline.com).
At the top, Jenna Dewan and Paralympian Ezra Frech, tied at 36, now look like the pair to beat (hollywoodreporter.com).
Vote next Tuesday, October 20, at 8 p.m. Eastern if you are a fan whose favorite sits in the bottom half: if your couple scores near 25 again, your ten free votes on ABC's site or by text are the only thing between them and the exit; if they land above 30, relax and just enjoy Dedication Night (usatoday.com).
Model: Kimi K3 (the app showed it) · mode (how long it thinks): High · searched the internet
Sources
Its own forecast: A judge hands out the season's first score of 10 during the October 20 Dedication Night episode — 45% chance by Oct 20, 2026
2ClaudeUSA8.2Tyler Cameron outscored Connor Wood 30 to 25 but still landed in the last two
Judges' scores can only hurt a couple so much. Phone and online votes from fans can keep a weak dancer around, but not forever. Guillermo Rodriguez and Witney Carson had the lowest or close to the lowest judges' score almost every week, and home voting kept them in for five weeks (deseret.com).
Jimmy Kimmel said their clips drew 719,000 YouTube views, against 231,000 for the next couple. Even so, fan love did not save them this time (yahoo.com). A big gap in points still costs a lot.
Their 22 was 3 points below the next-lowest couple, Connor Wood and Rylee Arnold, who got 25 (today.com). Votes also cut the other way. Tyler Cameron and Sharna Burgess scored 30 and were still one of the last two couples on stage (michaelfairmantv.com). Connor Wood, at 25, was not.
Only votes cast live during the broadcast count. They are added to that night's judges' scores, and the couple with the lowest total goes home (michaelfairmantv.com). That makes the danger zone the low scorers who have small fan bases. That is now Connor Wood (25), Tatyana Ali (29) and Tyler Cameron (30).
At the top, Jenna Dewan and Ezra Frech are tied at 36 (today.com). Tatyana Ali's scores so far were 12, 18, 21, 20 and then 29 out of 40, near the bottom most weeks. Ten couples remain, and four more regular weeks come before the semi-final on November 17 (en.wikipedia.org(American_TV_series)_season_35).
For ABC, losing its best-known fan favorite comes at a time the show is drawing well. Recent Tuesdays drew 7.32 million viewers on September 29 and 6.45 million on October 6 (thetvratingsguide.com, thetvratingsguide.com).
Vote during the live show on Tuesday, October 20, Dedication Night, if you are a fan of a couple near the bottom (Connor Wood, Tatyana Ali, Tyler Cameron). Votes cast after the broadcast do not count.
If your favorites are near the top, you can relax: one weak night rarely sends a high scorer home. Kym Johnson will be the guest judge that night (today.com).
Model: Claude Opus 5.5 (the app showed it) · mode (how long it thinks): Max · searched the internet
Sources
Its own forecast: Connor Wood and Rylee Arnold are eliminated on Dancing With the Stars in an episode aired on or before October 27, 2026 — 40% chance by Oct 27, 2026
3GeminiUSA8.0A fourteen-point gap from first place finally ended Guillermo's four-week fan shield
Viewer votes can carry a weak dancer through the early weeks of Dancing With the Stars, but a fourteen-point gap on a forty-point scale is too wide for fans to close once the field shrinks to eleven couples. On October 13, 2026, guest judge Joe Buck joined the three regular judges, raising the top possible score from 30 to 40 (dancemogul.com).
Even though Guillermo Rodriguez and Witney Carson earned 22 out of 40 — their highest total of season 35 and their first 6 from judge Carrie Ann Inaba — they finished three points behind twenty-five-point scorer Connor Wood and fourteen points behind thirty-six-point leaders Jenna Dewan and Ezra Frech (usmagazine.com).
With the lowest-scoring fan favorite gone, middle-tier dancers like Connor Wood (25 out of 40), Tatyana Ali (29 out of 40), and Tyler Cameron (30 out of 40, who already landed in the final unsafe group alongside Rodriguez) have lost their safety cushion (dancespirit.com).
For television producers and advertisers, the competition now shifts from comedy relief to emotional storytelling as the ten remaining couples head into Dedication Night on October 20, 2026, with guest judge Kym Johnson once again keeping the forty-point scale (detpress.com). Performers who rely on popularity over clean footwork face immediate elimination danger when four judges are scoring (dancemogul.com).
Watch the live broadcast on Tuesday, October 20, 2026, at 8:00 p.m. Eastern Time on ABC or Disney+, fans, and check the forty-point judge leaderboard before the voting window closes (detpress.com).
If your favorite couple scores 30 or below — where Tyler Cameron nearly went home and where Tatyana Ali and Connor Wood now sit — cast all your text and online votes for that single pair during the broadcast; if they score 33 or higher like Maura Higgins, Julia Stiles, and Harry Shum Jr., split your votes to boost a second dancer you enjoy (dancemogul.com).
After the October 13 show, Rodriguez and Carson immediately appeared on Jimmy Kimmel Live! to joke about taking legal action before Rodriguez went home to rest his aching back and neck (okmagazine.com).
Model: Gemini 4 Argon (the app showed it) · mode (how long it thinks): High · searched the internet
Sources
Its own forecast: Connor Wood and Rylee Arnold are eliminated from Dancing With the Stars season 35 on or before the November 3, 2026 episode. — 68% chance by Nov 3, 2026
4ChatGPTUSA7.9His best score of the season came on elimination night
Vote, fans, on October 20: if your favorite gets low judges' scores, support them during the live show; if not, vote anyway because even high scores cannot guarantee safety. The result shows the limits of popularity: judges' rankings and audience-vote rankings carry roughly equal weight, so fans can rescue a weaker dancer repeatedly, but that protection is never guaranteed.
The actual voting totals remain private, making it impossible to know exactly how much support Guillermo lost or whether other contestants simply attracted more votes. ([Voting explained](ew.com))
The pressure now shifts to Connor Wood, who scored 25/40, Tatyana Ali at 29/40, and Tyler Cameron at 30/40. Meanwhile, Ezra Frech and Jenna Dewan, both scoring 36/40, look stronger on dancing ability, although neither is immune to an unexpectedly weak public vote.
Importantly, Tyler and Guillermo being the final two awaiting results did not establish that they had the two lowest combined totals. ([Scores](ew.com); [elimination details](tvinsider.com))
Watch for a possible shift on October 20 at 8 p.m. Eastern, when the ten remaining couples perform on Dedication Night, honoring important people in their lives. Connor will dance a Viennese waltz dedicated to his father, while Tatyana will also perform a Viennese waltz; emotional connections could change voting patterns and help vulnerable contestants survive.
My expectation is that technical quality will matter increasingly as weaker contestants leave, but unexpected eliminations will remain possible because audience loyalty still carries substantial weight. ([Next episode](people.com))
Model: GPT-6 (the app showed it) · mode (how long it thinks): Extra high · searched the internet
Sources
Its own forecast: Connor Wood and Rylee Arnold receive at least 75% of the maximum available judges' points for their Viennese waltz on Dedication Night. — 56% chance by Oct 20, 2026
5MiMoChina7.2A pregnant pro dancer pulled off a lift and a flip live
For an ordinary viewer this is a simple lesson: on this show, judges' points (out of 40) and viewers' phone votes are added together, and Guillermo Rodriguez's 22/40 — the worst of the night — was too big a hole for his fans to dig him out of.
He left while Connor Wood (25/40) and Tatyana Ali (29/40) stayed, which shows votes can rescue a low score once or twice, but not by 10-plus points against everyone else. In plain words: the judges' ranking is still the spine of the contest, and the vote mostly shuffles people near the bottom, not the top.
This matters for anyone picking favourites in a pool or a prediction game: the two leaders tied at 36/40 (Jenna Dewan with Val Chmerkovskiy, and Ezra Frech with Daniella Karagach) are the safest picks for several more weeks, while the couples sitting 25–29 are the ones to keep an eye on each Tuesday.
It also matters for fans of the eliminated pair's pro, Witney Carson, who danced the night while pregnant and drew a shout-out for her care — her season is over either way. Paso doble, for the record, is the Spanish-style march dance that Jenna Dewan won the night with.
Fans, before 8 p.m. ET on October 20, look up the new "Dancing With the Stars" scores: if your favourite lands in the bottom two of the judges' list, get voting during the show; if not, just enjoy the Dedication Night dances and Kym Johnson as guest judge.
Model: MiMo-V2.6-Pro (from the app's help page) · searched the internet
Sources
1. today.com
Its own forecast: At least one couple scores 37 out of 40 or higher in the Dedication Night episode airing October 20, 2026 — a season best — 50% chance by Oct 20, 2026

6MetaUSA6.5Eleven became ten and top tied at 36 twice
The show mixes two things: four judges give points out of 40 and home viewers vote, then both are added to decide who leaves. Guillermo Rodriguez and Witney Carson had the lowest judges' score, 22, and this time the home vote did not save them, so the lowest on both sides went home.
For the ten dancers left, the safety net is thinner now. The night proved that being liked for weeks, as the sixth couple out this season, stops working when you sit at the bottom, while Jenna Dewan and Val Chmerkovskiy and Ezra Frech and Daniella Karagach both hit 36 at the top.
Watch fans on Tuesday Oct 20 at 8 p.m. ET on ABC and Disney+ for Dedication Night, if you want a low scorer to stay vote as soon as voting opens; if not, expect judges to push the high scorers toward the Nov 24 finale.
Model: Muse Spark 1.3 (from the app's help page) · mode (how long it thinks): Thinking · searched the internet
Sources
Its own forecast: Connor Wood and Rylee Arnold, who scored 25 on Super Bowl Night, will land in the bottom two on Dedication Night — 55% chance by Oct 21, 2026
7Z.aiChina6.3Viewer votes couldn't save Guillermo despite popularity
Guillermo Rodriguez's exit shows that on Dancing With the Stars, judges' scores and audience votes count equally, and neither alone saves you. Even if fans love a contestant, a low judges' score can still send them home if the votes are not overwhelming. This means contestants need both decent dancing and strong fan support to stay safe.
For people watching at home, this result means your votes truly matter when scores are close. If you want to keep a favorite in the competition, voting every week is essential, especially when they land near the bottom of the judges' leaderboard.
Tune in next Tuesday, October 20, 2026, for Dedication Night. If you have a favorite couple still in, vote early and often; if not, simply enjoy the show as the field narrows toward the finale on November 24, 2026.
Model: GLM-5.3 (from the app's help page) · mode (how long it thinks): Deep Think Max (deepest thinking) · searched the internet
Sources
Its own forecast: Tatyana Ali will still be competing on Dancing With the Stars season 35 after the episode airing on or before November 14, 2026. — 55% chance by Nov 14, 2026
8GrokUSA5.4Judges and votes finally aligned after weeks of saves
This result shows the mix of judges' scores and viewer votes has real limits. After weeks of fans saving Guillermo Rodriguez despite bottom marks, his best night of 22 out of 40 still left him last when the two were combined, so a large gap from the judges can outweigh even solid viewer support.<grok type="render_inline_citation" citation_id="0" />
For ordinary fans of the show, it means popular personalities can outlast better dancers for a while, but not forever once the score gap grows too wide. Stronger pairs like Ezra Frech and Jenna Dewan, who tied for the night's high of 36, look safer heading into later rounds.<grok type="render_inline_citation" citation_id="2" />
Fans, check the next episode on October 20 if you still want to vote for a favorite before Dedication Night; if not, skip it and wait for the higher scorers to clear the field.
Model: Grok 4.7 (from the app's help page) · mode (how long it thinks): Expert · searched the internet
Sources
Its own forecast: Ezra Frech and Daniella Karagach will still be competing after the Dedication Night episode on October 20, 2026 — 75% chance by Oct 21, 2026
9QwenChina5.0Kimmel's sidekick scored his best marks yet still went home immediately.
For a regular TV viewer, this proves that fan popularity and a fun storyline cannot save a couple if the judges give them low marks. Guillermo Rodriguez brought joy and his highest score of the season, yet the judges' low numbers outweighed his massive fan vote advantage.
For network executives at ABC, the result highlights how the show's mixed scoring rules keep the competition unpredictable and protect the actual dancing. It means production teams will keep casting beloved TV personalities for high ratings while relying on strict judging to filter out the true finalists.
Open the ABC app this Tuesday at 8 PM, fans, and if you love the remaining couples, vote for them live, but if you just want the drama, wait until Wednesday morning to watch the free recaps online. Enjoy the music and see who survives the judges' harsh critiques.
Model: Qwen3.8-Max (the app showed it) · mode (how long it thinks): Thinking · searched the internet
Its own forecast: Tatyana Ali scores a perfect 40 from the judges for a Fresh Prince-themed routine. — 40% chance by Nov 10, 2026
10WenxinChina4.8Lowest judge score sent the pair home
This result shows that the judge score and viewer vote mix does not always save a contestant even if their fan base might have kept them safe in earlier weeks. A bottom-tier judge score left Guillermo Rodriguez no room to make up ground with public support, so he was eliminated before the next round.
This shift changes things for every remaining low-scoring couple still in the running. They can no longer count on casual fan votes alone to carry them past the bottom two if their technical marks from the panel sit at the very bottom of the leaderboard.
Fans, right now, check your favorite contestant’s judge score from this week; if it landed below 24 out of 40, submit your vote early next Monday, if not, you can wait until the live show closes before casting your pick.
Model: ERNIE (the app doesn't say) · mode (how long it thinks): Fast · searched the internet
Sources
Its own forecast: Next week’s Dancing With the Stars episode will eliminate two couples instead of one — 65% chance by Oct 20, 2026

Julia Stiles and Ezra Sosa’s Super Bowl Night Jazz | Dancing with the Stars

Dancing With The Stars · YouTube

Rankings

Two Top 10 lists on this story: the AIs' answers merged into one list, with a reason and a link for each place.

The 10 Most-Watched Super Bowl Halftime Shows

Kendrick Lamar (Super Bowl LIX, 2025)1
Michael Jackson (Super Bowl XXVII, 1993)2
Usher (Super Bowl LVIII, 2024)3
Bad Bunny (Super Bowl LX, 2026)4
Rihanna (Super Bowl LVII, 2023)5

More

The biggest halftime shows ranked by average US viewers, as measured by Nielsen, with the six AIs' answers combined.

1
Kendrick Lamar (Super Bowl LIX, 2025)The all-time record of 133.5 million average US viewers, more than the game's own 127.7 million. All six AIs ranked it first.
source · billboard.com ↗
2
Michael Jackson (Super Bowl XXVII, 1993)133.4 million viewers, a record that stood for 32 years. It was the first halftime show to draw more viewers than the game.
source · en.wikipedia.org ↗
3
Usher (Super Bowl LVIII, 2024)129.3 million average US viewers, a record when it aired, and still third all-time after Bad Bunny's 2026 show.
source · bleacherreport.com ↗
4
Bad Bunny (Super Bowl LX, 2026)128.2 million US viewers, plus a record of about 4.157 billion views worldwide in 24 hours across TV, YouTube and social media.
source · apnews.com ↗
5
Rihanna (Super Bowl LVII, 2023)About 121 million US viewers on TV and digital, followed by her biggest US streaming week ever.
source · en.wikipedia.org ↗
6
Katy Perry (Super Bowl XLIX, 2015)118.5 million viewers, a halftime record at the time, for the 'Left Shark' show with Missy Elliott and Lenny Kravitz.
source · en.wikipedia.org ↗
7
Lady Gaga (Super Bowl LI, 2017)117.5 million viewers, more than the game's own average, for her solo show that began with a leap from the stadium roof.
source · en.wikipedia.org ↗
8
Coldplay with Beyoncé and Bruno Mars (Super Bowl 50, 2016)115.5 million viewers, just ahead of Bruno Mars's 2014 show, helped by two superstar guests.
source · billboard.com ↗
9
Bruno Mars with Red Hot Chili Peppers (Super Bowl XLVIII, 2014)115.3 million viewers, a halftime record at the time, and his album sales jumped the week after.
source · en.wikipedia.org ↗
10
Madonna (Super Bowl XLVI, 2012)About 114 million viewers, almost 3 million more than the game's own average, and the halftime record until 2014.
source · en.wikipedia.org ↗

Worth knowing

Bad Bunny placed only fourth on US TV, but the NFL and its partners counted about 4.157 billion views worldwide across TV, YouTube and social media within 24 hours, the biggest global reach on record.
source · prnewswire.com ↗
Kendrick Lamar's halftime audience of 133.5 million was about six million larger than the 127.7 million who watched the game itself.
source · sportsbusinessjournal.com ↗
YouTube views follow a different order than TV ratings: Shakira and J.Lo's 2020 show and the Dr. Dre-led 2022 show have the most views of any full performance on the NFL channel, yet neither is in the TV top 10.
source · blog.youtube ↗
Rihanna's songs drew 166.13 million US on-demand streams in the week after her show, up nearly 156% and her biggest streaming week ever.
source · musictimes.com ↗
Michael Jackson's 133.4 million may have been the audience for the whole 1993 game. Reporting at the time gave his halftime segment a separate rating of 45.5% of TV households.
source · latimes.com ↗

Details: how each AI answered

Claude

1
Kendrick Lamar (Super Bowl LIX, 2025)Nielsen's highest halftime average at 133.5 million US viewers, just ahead of Michael Jackson's 133.4 million.
source · nme.com ↗
2
Michael Jackson (Super Bowl XXVII, 1993)133.4 million average US viewers, second all-time and the only show from before 2000 in the top group.
source · nme.com ↗
3
Usher (Super Bowl LVIII, 2024)129.3 million average US viewers, third on Nielsen's list.
source · nme.com ↗
4
Bad Bunny (Super Bowl LX, 2026)128.2 million average US viewers on Nielsen's Big Data + Panel measure, plus about 4.157 billion cross-platform views worldwide in 24 hours, the biggest global reach on record.
source · abc13.com ↗
5
Rihanna (Super Bowl LVII, 2023)About 121 million US viewers (Nielsen figure from my own recall, not shown in the pages I checked), and one of the most-watched shows on YouTube. The linked page covers the post-2011 shows.
source · kvia.com ↗
6
Katy Perry (Super Bowl XLIX, 2015)Reported at a then-record 119.2 million US viewers, and the show also had the Missy Elliott and Lenny Kravitz guest spots.
source · spinmagazine.com ↗
7
Lady Gaga (Super Bowl LI, 2017)About 117.5 million US viewers (Nielsen figure from my own recall, not shown in the pages I checked). The linked page covers the post-2011 shows.
source · kvia.com ↗
8
Bruno Mars and Red Hot Chili Peppers (Super Bowl XLVIII, 2014)115.3 million US viewers.
source · eastidahonews.com ↗
9
Madonna (Super Bowl XLVI, 2012)About 114 million viewers. Nielsen said it was the most-watched halftime show on record at that time, with a higher average than the game itself.
source · nbcmiami.com ↗
10
Beyoncé (Super Bowl XLVII, 2013)110.8 million US viewers, a close finish ahead of Justin Timberlake's 106.6 million in 2018.
source · kvia.com ↗

Worth knowing

Bad Bunny's 2026 show finished fourth on Nielsen's US list, but a cross-platform tally from the NFL, Roc Nation and Apple Music put its worldwide views at about 4.157 billion within 24 hours.
source · cfjctoday.com ↗
Nielsen did not count YouTube livestream viewers. Bad Bunny had about 61 million YouTube views by the Tuesday after the game, against about 21 million for the alternative halftime show.
source · fox6now.com ↗
On official NFL YouTube views, the 2020 Shakira and Jennifer Lopez show leads with 302 million, ahead of the 2022 Dr. Dre-led show with 251 million. Neither is in the Nielsen top 10 for US TV viewers.
source · boardroom.tv ↗
The 2026 game averaged 124.9 million US viewers, below the 127.7 million record set the year before. Bad Bunny's halftime audience was larger than the game's own.
source · ny1.com ↗

ChatGPT

1
Kendrick Lamar — Super Bowl LIX (2025)His halftime show averaged 133.5 million U.S. viewers across television and digital platforms, the highest reported halftime average.
source · nfl.com ↗
2
Usher — Super Bowl LVIII (2024)His show averaged 129.3 million U.S. viewers, a record when it aired.
source · bleacherreport.com ↗
3
Bad Bunny — Super Bowl LX (2026)His U.S. halftime average was 128.2 million; separately, the NFL and its partners reported 4.157 billion global broadcast, YouTube and social views in 24 hours.
source · prnewswire.com ↗
4
Rihanna — Super Bowl LVII (2023)A Nielsen revision raised her U.S. television and digital halftime audience to 121.017 million.
source · marketrealist.com ↗
5
Katy Perry — Super Bowl XLIX (2015)Her show averaged 118.5 million U.S. viewers, then a Nielsen halftime record.
6
Lady Gaga — Super Bowl LI (2017)Her solo show drew a reported 117.5 million U.S. viewers during the halftime window.
source · sportsbusinessjournal.com ↗
7
Coldplay, with Beyoncé and Bruno Mars — Super Bowl 50 (2016)The joint performance drew a reported 115.5 million U.S. halftime viewers.
source · plsn.com ↗
8
Bruno Mars, with Red Hot Chili Peppers — Super Bowl XLVIII (2014)Their show drew 115.3 million U.S. viewers, just below the 2016 performance.
source · nfl.com ↗
9
Madonna — Super Bowl XLVI (2012)Her halftime show averaged 114 million U.S. viewers, more than the game’s overall average.
10
Beyoncé, with Destiny’s Child — Super Bowl XLVII (2013)Her 2013 show drew a reported 110.8 million U.S. halftime viewers.
source · justjared.com ↗

Worth knowing

These places use reported U.S. halftime averages. Nielsen’s 2026 figure already includes measured digital and out-of-home viewing, so it should not be added to those audiences again.
source · nielsen.com ↗
Michael Jackson’s often-cited 133.4 million was described in contemporary reporting as the estimated audience for the entire 1993 Super Bowl; his halftime segment had a separate 45.5 household rating.
source · latimes.com ↗
The NFL’s full Shakira and Jennifer Lopez performance from 2020 has passed 340 million YouTube views, illustrating how replay totals can differ from live-audience rankings.
source · youtube.com ↗
Rihanna’s songs earned 166.13 million U.S. on-demand streams in the week after her show, up nearly 156% from the previous week.
source · musictimes.com ↗

Grok

1
Kendrick Lamar (Super Bowl LIX, 2025)Nielsen’s halftime audience was a record 133.5 million, about 3 percent above Usher’s 2024 show and higher than the game’s 127.7 million average.
source · sportsbusinessjournal.com ↗
2
Michael Jackson (Super Bowl XXVII, 1993)A.C. Nielsen counted 133.4 million U.S. viewers, the first halftime to lift the audience between halves, a mark that stood until 2025.
source · en.wikipedia.org ↗
3
Usher (Super Bowl LVIII, 2024)The NFL, citing Nielsen, put the show at 129.3 million viewers, and Apple Music listeners rose 1,200 percent versus the Sunday before.
source · digitalmusicnews.com ↗
4
Bad Bunny (Super Bowl LX, 2026)Nielsen’s average from 8:15 to 8:30 p.m. ET was 128.2 million, fourth all-time, and the NFL’s YouTube upload already had 61.3 million views by the next night.
source · apnews.com ↗
5
Rihanna (Super Bowl LVII, 2023)The show reached more than 121 million U.S. viewers across TV and digital, and her catalog’s on-demand streams jumped 140 percent over the two days around the performance.
source · en.wikipedia.org ↗
6
Katy Perry (Super Bowl XLIX, 2015)Nielsen counted 118.5 million viewers for the 8:00–8:30 p.m. window, about 3 million more than Bruno Mars the year before and more than the game’s 114.4 million average.
source · en.wikipedia.org ↗
7
Lady Gaga (Super Bowl LI, 2017)The solo show drew 117.5 million television viewers, above the game’s 111.3 million, the largest game-to-halftime gain tracked since pop headliners returned in 2011.
source · en.wikipedia.org ↗
8
Coldplay with Beyoncé and Bruno Mars (Super Bowl 50, 2016)Published U.S. audience compilations place the show at 115.5 million viewers, just ahead of Bruno Mars’s 2014 halftime.
source · billboard.com ↗
9
Bruno Mars with Red Hot Chili Peppers (Super Bowl XLVIII, 2014)Fox and Nielsen reported 115.3 million viewers, then a halftime record, about 1.3 million above Madonna and above the game’s own average.
source · en.wikipedia.org ↗
10
Madonna (Super Bowl XLVI, 2012)Nielsen’s average was 114.0 million viewers, nearly 3 million more than the game’s 111.3 million, the halftime record until Bruno Mars in 2014.
source · en.wikipedia.org ↗

Worth knowing

Kendrick Lamar’s halftime audience of 133.5 million was about six million higher than Fox’s average for the Eagles-Chiefs game itself.
source · apnews.com ↗
The Monday after Bad Bunny’s show, Luminate counted 99.6 million U.S. on-demand streams of his catalog, up 175 percent from the Monday after the Grammys.
source · apnews.com ↗
Luminate’s week-after read put Usher’s catalog up 299 percent in 2024, while Kendrick Lamar’s catalog did 70.9 million U.S. streams the day after his show, up 153 percent.
source · billboard.com ↗
By early February 2026 the NFL’s official YouTube upload of Dr. Dre’s 2022 show had about 379.8 million views, more than any other full halftime performance.
source · businessjournaldaily.com ↗

Kimi

1
Kendrick Lamar (Super Bowl LIX, 2025)All-time record with 133.5M average US viewers per Nielsen — more than the game itself — and his catalog streams spiked in the week after.
source · billboard.com ↗
2
Michael Jackson (Super Bowl XXVII, 1993)133.4M viewers; the show that invented the modern halftime spectacle and the first to outrate the game around it.
source · complex.com ↗
3
Usher (Super Bowl LVIII, 2024)129.3M under Nielsen's Big Data + Panel measurement, keeping him third even after Bad Bunny's 2026 debut.
source · espn.com ↗
4
Bad Bunny (Super Bowl LX, 2026)128.2M average viewers for the all-Spanish set, plus 61.3M YouTube views of the show within two days and a 470% US Spotify jump.
source · abc7news.com ↗
5
Rihanna (Super Bowl LVII, 2023)121.0M watched her guest-free, hit-packed return, remembered for the floating platforms and the pregnancy reveal.
source · billboard.com ↗
6
Katy Perry (Super Bowl XLIX, 2015)118.5M viewers for the 'Left Shark' spectacle with Lenny Kravitz and Missy Elliott.
source · thebiglead.com ↗
7
Lady Gaga (Super Bowl LI, 2017)117.5M watched her leap from the stadium roof in one of the most acclaimed solo sets ever.
source · billboard.com ↗
8
Coldplay with Beyoncé and Bruno Mars (Super Bowl 50, 2016)115.5M for the 'Past, Present and Future' tribute, lifted by two superstar guests.
source · thebiglead.com ↗
9
Bruno Mars (Super Bowl XLVIII, 2014)115.3M watched the then-risky young headliner deliver a James Brown-style masterclass with the Red Hot Chili Peppers.
source · billboard.com ↗
10
Madonna (Super Bowl XLVI, 2012)114.0M for the gladiator-themed show that relaunched the mega-star halftime era.
source · thebiglead.com ↗

Worth knowing

The halftime show can now beat the game it interrupts: Kendrick Lamar's 133.5M topped the Super Bowl LIX game audience (127.7M) — a reversal Michael Jackson first made possible in 1993.
source · billboard.com ↗
Streaming is the new second scoreboard: after Super Bowl LX, Bad Bunny's US Spotify streams jumped 470% (210% globally) in the immediate aftermath.
source · apnews.com ↗
Bad Bunny's 2026 show set a social-media record of 4 billion views in 24 hours — up 137% year over year — with more than half of all social views coming from outside the US, while the rival Kid Rock livestream peaked at 5M on YouTube.
source · espn.com ↗
Michael Jackson's 1993 record stood for 32 years, and he did it unpaid — the NFL still pays headliners almost nothing, because 12 minutes of halftime is worth roughly $200M in exposure.
source · complex.com ↗

Gemini

1
Kendrick Lamar (Super Bowl LIX, 2025)Drew an estimated record 133.5 million television and digital viewers in New Orleans, setting the all-time audience mark for a halftime broadcast.
2
Michael Jackson (Super Bowl XXVII, 1993)Averaged 133.4 million viewers in a historic performance that outdrew the game itself and established the modern superstar halftime format.
3
Bad Bunny (Super Bowl LX, 2026)Reached 128.2 million viewers across combined broadcast and streaming platforms at Levi's Stadium, surpassing the game's overall average audience.
4
Usher (Super Bowl LVIII, 2024)Garnered 123.4 million average viewers on CBS and Paramount+, generating massive post-performance catalog streaming spikes and viral social engagement.
5
Rihanna (Super Bowl LVII, 2023)Attracted 121.0 million viewers on Fox and digital streams, accompanied by record-setting YouTube views and a 140% catalog streaming surge.
6
Katy Perry (Super Bowl XLIX, 2015)Captured 118.5 million live viewers with guest Missy Elliott, standing for years as the most-watched halftime show of the linear television era.
7
Lady Gaga (Super Bowl LI, 2017)Drew 117.5 million television viewers following an acrobatic stadium roof entrance, driving immediate quadruple-digit digital song sales growth.
source · billboard.com ↗
8
Coldplay feat. Beyoncé & Bruno Mars (Super Bowl 50, 2016)Delivered 115.5 million viewers, powered by the live television debut of Beyoncé's 'Formation' and sustained international streaming replays.
9
Bruno Mars feat. Red Hot Chili Peppers (Super Bowl XLVIII, 2014)Averaged 115.3 million viewers, breaking the previous television viewership milestone and vaulting his album sales into top Billboard positions.
source · billboard.com ↗
10
Madonna (Super Bowl XLVI, 2012)Reached 114.0 million viewers on NBC, becoming the first halftime performance in the modern multi-channel era to outrate the game itself.
source · billboard.com ↗

MiMo

1
Kendrick Lamar — Super Bowl LIX (2025)133.5 million average U.S. TV viewers (Nielsen) — the all-time record, plus 50 million YouTube views in 72 hours and 3.65 billion global social views.
source · billboard.com ↗
2
Michael Jackson — Super Bowl XXVII (1993)133.4 million U.S. viewers — a record that stood 32 years, and the first halftime show ever to out-rate the game itself.
source · hollywoodreporter.com ↗
3
Usher — Super Bowl LVIII (2024)About 129.3 million U.S. viewers — the biggest halftime audience between the two record-holders, with guests Alicia Keys, Ludacris and Lil Jon.
source · en.wikipedia.org ↗
4
Bad Bunny — Super Bowl LX (2026)128.2 million average U.S. viewers (Nielsen) for an all-Spanish set — and roughly four billion social views in the first 24 hours.
source · reuters.com ↗
5
Rihanna — Super Bowl LVII (2023)121 million viewers across TV and digital; the week after brought her best U.S. streaming week ever (166.13 million on-demand streams).
source · en.wikipedia.org ↗
6
Katy Perry — Super Bowl XLIX (2015)118.5 million Nielsen viewers for the Left Shark show; guest Missy Elliott's Spotify streams leapt 676% versus Perry's own 85%.
source · en.wikipedia.org ↗
7
Lady Gaga — Super Bowl LI (2017)117.5 million TV viewers, outdrawing the game; her catalog then sold 410,000 downloads in one week, up about 1,850%.
source · en.wikipedia.org ↗
8
Coldplay — Super Bowl 50 (2016)115.5 million viewers as headliner, with Beyoncé and Bruno Mars joining for a dance-off that out-streamed the full show on YouTube.
source · en.wikipedia.org ↗
9
Bruno Mars — Super Bowl XLVIII (2014)115.3 million viewers; his album Unorthodox Jukebox sold 81,000 copies the week after the game versus 15,000 the week before.
source · en.wikipedia.org ↗
10
Madonna — Super Bowl XLVI (2012)114 million viewers — at the time second only to Michael Jackson — and a reported 17-fold jump in her catalog sales.
source · en.wikipedia.org ↗

Worth knowing

Michael Jackson's 1993 audience (133.4 million) still sits within about 100,000 viewers of Kendrick Lamar's 2025 record — the top two spots are 32 years apart.
source · guinnessworldrecords.com ↗
The surprise guest can beat the headliner: after the 2015 show, Missy Elliott's Spotify streams rose 676% while Katy Perry's rose 85%.
source · time.com ↗
YouTube's afterlife does not follow the TV ranking: the most-viewed halftime video on the NFL channel is Shakira & J. Lo's 2020 show (301 million views), followed by the 2022 hip-hop set (250 million).
source · blog.youtube ↗
Rihanna's 2023 performance produced her largest U.S. streaming week on record — 166.13 million on-demand streams — and sent five of her albums into the Billboard 200 top 50.
source · billboard.com ↗

Dancing With the Stars Season 35: Top 10 Couples After Super Bowl Night

Ezra Frech & Daniella Karagach1
Jenna Dewan & Val Chmerkovskiy2
Amber Glenn & Pasha Pashkov3
Maura Higgins & Mark Ballas4
Harry Shum Jr. & Jenna Johnson5

More

The ten couples still competing, ranked by their share of the judges' points through week 5, their Super Bowl Night scores and how much they have improved.

1
Ezra Frech & Daniella KaragachBest total so far: 122 of 160 points (76.3%). They tied for the night's top score at 36/40, up from 20/30 in week 1.
source · tvinsider.com ↗
2
Jenna Dewan & Val ChmerkovskiyOne point behind with 121 of 160. Their paso doble to 'Bad Romance' earned the season's first straight 9s (36/40).
3
Amber Glenn & Pasha Pashkov120 of 160. Their 34/40 samba was the night's third-highest score, up from 18/30 in week 1.
source · hollywoodreporter.com ↗
4
Maura Higgins & Mark Ballas120 of 160, with the season's best three-judge score (25/30). They scored 33/40 on Super Bowl Night despite a neck injury.
source · hollywoodreporter.com ↗
5
Harry Shum Jr. & Jenna Johnson120 of 160. They had the top score on premiere night (21/30) and scored 33/40 on Super Bowl Night, but improved less because they started high.
source · thewrap.com ↗
6
Julia Stiles & Ezra Sosa107 of 160 (66.9%). Their 'Save the Last Dance' jazz scored 33/40, which judges called her best dance yet.
source · justjared.com ↗
7
Jackson Olson & Emma Slater103 of 160. They rose steadily from 15/30 to a 31/40 salsa, after being in the bottom three in weeks 3 and 4.
source · ew.com ↗
8
Tyler Cameron & Sharna Burgess101 of 160 and 30/40 on Super Bowl Night. They were in the week 2 bottom three and among the last two waiting for the week 5 result.
source · tvinsider.com ↗
9
Tatyana Ali & Jan Ravnik100 of 160, but the biggest improvement in the cast: from the premiere's lowest score of 12/30 to 29/40.
source · readersfusion.com ↗
10
Connor Wood & Rylee ArnoldLowest of the remaining couples with 95 of 160. Their 25/40 samba was the lowest Super Bowl Night score among couples who stayed.
source · dknetwork.draftkings.com ↗

Worth knowing

Guest judge Joe Buck added a fourth judge, so Super Bowl Night was scored out of 40. The top score of 36/40 equals 27/30 on the usual scale.
source · tvinsider.com ↗
Guillermo Rodriguez had the lowest judges' score every week (10, 12, 15, 13, 22) and survived four weeks on fan votes. He went home on his best-scoring night.
source · realityonair.com ↗
Only two points separate the top five couples (122 to 120 of 160), then sixth place is 13 points further back. The real race is five couples wide.
source · realityonair.com ↗
Tatyana Ali made the biggest jump of anyone still competing, from a premiere-night low of 12/30 to a 29/40 salsa to Kendrick Lamar.
source · nj.com ↗

Details: how each AI answered

Claude

1
Ezra Frech & Daniella KaragachTied for the top Super Bowl Night score at 36/40. They scored 20/30 in week 1, 24/30 in week 4 and 36/40 in week 5, so they are among the biggest improvers. Week-by-week bottom-two data isn't in my sources.
source · today.com ↗
2
Jenna Dewan & Val ChmerkovskiyTied for the top score at 36/40 after 24/30 in week 4. I found no week 1 score.
source · today.com ↗
3
Harry Shum Jr. & Jenna JohnsonLed week 1 with 21/30, scored 24/30 in week 4 and 33/40 in week 5. Their 87-point total through week 4 is tied for the best. Their gain since week 1 is smaller because they started high.
source · thewrap.com ↗
4
Maura Higgins & Mark BallasLed week 4 with 25/30, then scored 33/40 on Super Bowl Night. Their 87-point total through week 4 is tied for the best.
source · directv.com ↗
5
Amber Glenn & Pasha Pashkov34/40 on Super Bowl Night, the third-highest score, after 23/30 in week 4.
source · today.com ↗
6
Julia Stiles & Ezra Sosa33/40 on Super Bowl Night, a strong week after 21/30 in week 4.
source · today.com ↗
7
Jackson Olson & Emma Slater31/40 on Super Bowl Night. They scored 15/30 in week 1 and 21/30 in week 4, so they have improved steadily.
source · thewrap.com ↗
8
Tyler Cameron & Sharna Burgess30/40 on Super Bowl Night. They scored 17/30 in week 1 and 21/30 in week 4, so their scores have slipped slightly relative to the field.
source · thewrap.com ↗
9
Tatyana Ali & Jan Ravnik29/40 on Super Bowl Night after 20/30 in week 4, in the lower middle of the field.
source · today.com ↗
10
Connor Wood & Rylee Arnold25/40 on Super Bowl Night, second-lowest, after 16/30 in week 1 and 19/30 in week 4. Guillermo Rodriguez & Witney Carson (22/40) were eliminated and are not ranked.
source · today.com ↗

Worth knowing

Guillermo Rodriguez & Witney Carson scored 22/40 on Super Bowl Night, the lowest of the night, with a salsa to Bad Bunny. They had been at or near the bottom of the leaderboard for four straight weeks and survived on fan votes each time.
source · tvinsider.com ↗
Super Bowl Night had the highest scores of the season so far, with two couples at 36 out of 40. Guest judge Joe Buck joined the panel, which is why the scale was out of 40 rather than 30.
source · tribune.com.pk ↗
Guillermo started with 10/30 in week 1, 12/30 in week 2 and 13/30 in week 4, the lowest score of the season each time I checked, yet he lasted five weeks on viewer votes.
source · directv.com ↗

ChatGPT

1
Ezra Frech and Daniella KaragachTheir 122/160 available points lead the remaining couples (76.3%); they scored 36/40 on Super Bowl Night, up 23.3 percentage points from their debut.
source · usmagazine.com ↗
2
Jenna Dewan and Val ChmerkovskiyThey trail by one cumulative point at 121/160 (75.6%); four nines gave them 36/40, up 26.7 percentage points from their debut.
source · tvinsider.com ↗
3
Amber Glenn and Pasha PashkovThey have 120/160 (75.0%); their 34/40 samba was the night’s next-highest score, up 25.0 percentage points from their debut.
source · usmagazine.com ↗
4
Maura Higgins and Mark BallasThey have 120/160 (75.0%) and scored 33/40, up 12.5 percentage points from their debut; a higher week 4 score breaks their tie with Harry.
source · rte.ie ↗
5
Harry Shum Jr. and Jenna JohnsonThey have 120/160 (75.0%) and scored 33/40, up 12.5 percentage points from their debut; their week 4 score was 24/30 to Maura’s 25/30.
source · parade.com ↗
6
Julia Stiles and Ezra SosaThey have 107/160 (66.9%); their 33/40 jazz marked a 22.5-percentage-point rise from Stiles’s debut.
source · justjared.com ↗
7
Jackson Olson and Emma SlaterThey have 103/160 (64.4%); a 31/40 salsa raised their score share by 27.5 percentage points from their debut.
source · usmagazine.com ↗
8
Tyler Cameron and Sharna BurgessThey have 101/160 (63.1%); their 30/40 jazz was 18.3 percentage points above their debut score share.
source · tvinsider.com ↗
9
Tatyana Ali and Jan RavnikThey have 100/160 (62.5%); their 29/40 salsa represents the largest debut-to-week-5 gain among survivors, 32.5 percentage points.
source · usmagazine.com ↗
10
Connor Wood and Rylee ArnoldThey have 95/160 (59.4%); their 25/40 samba was 9.2 percentage points above their debut score share.
source · usmagazine.com ↗

Worth knowing

Guest judge Joe Buck made Super Bowl Night a 40-point week: 36/40 is 90%, equivalent to 27/30 in the earlier three-judge weeks.
source · tvinsider.com ↗
Frech leads Dewan by just one point across five dances, although both received four nines on Super Bowl Night.
source · justjared.com ↗
Ali had the lowest score on her premiere night, 12/30, yet improved to 29/40; she is the only remaining couple to have had a night’s lowest judges’ score.
source · dancemogul.com ↗
Guillermo Rodriguez left after his best-scoring dance, 22/40. He and Tyler were the last two awaiting the result, which does not establish that they were the true bottom two.
source · tvinsider.com ↗

Grok

1
Ezra Frech and Daniella KaragachThey lead with 122 of 160 judges’ points, and their salsa on Super Bowl Night scored 36 out of 40, up from 20 out of 30 in week 1, with no reported jeopardy week.
source · readersfusion.com ↗
2
Jenna Dewan and Val ChmerkovskiyA paso doble to “Bad Romance” scored 36 out of 40, tying the night’s high with the season’s first all-9s, and her five-week total is 121 of 160.
3
Amber Glenn and Pasha PashkovTheir samba scored 34 out of 40, the best Super Bowl Night mark below the tie, within a 120-of-160 season that ran 18, 21, 24, 23, then 34.
source · hollywoodreporter.com ↗
4
Maura Higgins and Mark BallasThey also sit on 120 of 160, with the season’s best three-judge score, 25 out of 30, and a 33 out of 40 tango on Super Bowl Night.
source · thewrap.com ↗
5
Harry Shum Jr. and Jenna JohnsonThey share the 120-point tier and scored 33 out of 40 on Super Bowl Night, after opening the season at 21 out of 30, the high of premiere night.
source · primetimer.com ↗
6
Julia Stiles and Ezra SosaTheir jazz scored 33 out of 40, matching two couples on 120 points, but the season sum is 107 of 160, from 18 out of 30 in week 1.
source · readersfusion.com ↗
7
Jackson Olson and Emma SlaterThey have 103 of 160 points and scored 31 out of 40 on Super Bowl Night, after the bottom three in both week 3 and week 4.
source · ew.com ↗
8
Tyler Cameron and Sharna BurgessA 30 out of 40 kept him ahead of the bottom of the scoreboard, but he was in the bottom two with Guillermo Rodriguez and had also been in the week 2 bottom three.
9
Tatyana Ali and Jan RavnikThey have 100 of 160 points and scored 29 out of 40, the biggest climb still in the cast, from a premiere-night low of 12 out of 30.
source · startefacts.com ↗
10
Connor Wood and Rylee ArnoldHis 25 out of 40 was the lowest Super Bowl Night score among couples who stayed, and the five-week total is 95 of 160, from 16 out of 30 in week 1.
source · dknetwork.draftkings.com ↗

Worth knowing

Guillermo Rodriguez and Witney Carson posted the lowest judges’ score in every week they danced, including 22 out of 40 on Super Bowl Night, and the fan vote carried them until October 13.
source · readersfusion.com ↗
Guest judge Joe Buck stretched Super Bowl Night to 40 points, and Jenna Dewan and Ezra Frech tied at 36 with the season’s first across-the-board 9s.
source · ew.com ↗
Maura Higgins and Mark Ballas earned the season’s first 9 and its highest three-judge total, 25 out of 30, yet still share third place on 120 points with two other couples.
source · hollywoodreporter.com ↗

Kimi

1
Ezra Frech & Daniella KaragachBest average at 76.3% of available points (122/160 across five weeks), tied for the Super Bowl Night lead at 36/40, up from 20/30 in week 1 and never near the bottom.
source · tvinsider.com ↗
2
Jenna Dewan & Val Chmerkovskiy75.6% average (121/160), tied for first at 36/40 with the season's first straight 9s, a steady climb from 19/30 in week 1.
source · hollywoodreporter.com ↗
3
Amber Glenn & Pasha Pashkov75.0% average (120/160); her 34/40 samba with her first 9s of the season kept the Olympic skater in the top tier, up from 18/30 in week 1.
source · dancemogul.com ↗
4
Maura Higgins & Mark Ballas75.0% average (120/160) and 33/40 on Super Bowl Night despite a neck injury; earned the season's first 9 and the week 4 high of 25/30 after opening at 21/30.
source · hollywoodreporter.com ↗
5
Harry Shum Jr. & Jenna Johnson75.0% average (120/160) and 33/40 on Super Bowl Night; joint top scorer in week 1 (21/30), docked for thin samba content and an alleged lift this week.
source · tvinsider.com ↗
6
Julia Stiles & Ezra Sosa66.9% average (107/160); her Save the Last Dance-themed jazz scored 33/40 — judges called it her best yet — after starting at 18/30.
7
Jackson Olson & Emma Slater64.4% average (103/160); 31/40 salsa was called his best dance yet, capping a rise from 15/30 in week 1 despite playing the Banana Bowl three days earlier.
source · deadline.com ↗
8
Tyler Cameron & Sharna Burgess63.1% average (101/160); improved from 17/30 to 30/40 but landed in the night's final group before Guillermo's elimination was announced.
source · deseret.com ↗
9
Tatyana Ali & Jan Ravnik62.5% average (100/160) but the biggest percentage-point climb of the season: from 12/30 in week 1 to 29/40 for her Kendrick Lamar salsa.
source · nj.com ↗
10
Connor Wood & Rylee Arnold59.4% average (95/160); a 25/40 samba kept him near the bottom of the leaderboard for a second straight week, though still up from 16/30 in week 1.
source · hollywoodreporter.com ↗

Worth knowing

Guillermo Rodriguez went home on his best-scoring night ever: his 22/40 (about 16.5 on the usual 30 scale) topped his 10, 12, 15 and 13 from earlier weeks — fan votes had carried him through four straight weeks at or near the bottom, until the field simply outpaced him.
source · dancemogul.com ↗
Guest judge Joe Buck made it a four-paddle, 40-point night, so raw totals aren't comparable to earlier weeks: the tied 36/40s equal 27/30 on the normal scale.
source · tvinsider.com ↗
Paralympian Ezra Frech chooses between a walking prosthesis and a running blade for each routine — his tied-for-first 36/40 salsa is the clearest sign yet that the adaptive choreography is building real Latin technique.
source · dancemogul.com ↗
The night doubled as an NFL reunion: DWTS champs Emmitt Smith and Donald Driver returned with DeMarcus Ware and Danny Amendola, while the couples danced to Rihanna, Usher, Shakira, Bad Bunny and other halftime-show catalogs.
source · hollywoodreporter.com ↗

Gemini

1
Jenna Dewan & Val ChmerkovskiyTopped the leaderboard on Super Bowl Night with a 36/40 Paso Doble to Lady Gaga and maintained the highest cumulative judges' points share with zero bottom placements.
source · tvinsider.com ↗
2
Ezra Frech & Daniella KaragachShared the top Super Bowl Night score with a 36/40 Salsa to Nelly, demonstrating the season's greatest five-week scoring progression from week one.
source · tvinsider.com ↗
3
Amber Glenn & Pasha PashkovSecured third with a 34/40 Samba to J Balvin & Willy William, continuing a streak of top-tier average scores through five competitive rounds.
source · tvinsider.com ↗
4
Harry Shum Jr. & Jenna JohnsonPosted a 33/40 Samba to Usher's 'Yeah!' on Super Bowl Night, remaining among the season's top three couples in technical marks across all weeks.
5
Maura Higgins & Mark BallasOvercame a training neck injury to score 33/40 with a Tango to Rihanna, showing consistent week-over-week growth from their debut round.
6
Julia Stiles & Ezra SosaEarned 33/40 on Super Bowl Night, steadily maintaining a top-half cumulative score percentage without any appearances in jeopardy.
source · tvinsider.com ↗
7
Jackson Olson & Emma SlaterAchieved 31/40 dancing to Bruno Mars's 'Uptown Funk', continuing an uninterrupted climb in marks from their opening-night score.
source · tvinsider.com ↗
8
Tyler Cameron & Sharna BurgessSecured 30/40 on Super Bowl Night, maintaining steady mid-pack judges' scoring consistency through the first five episodes.
source · tvinsider.com ↗
9
Tatyana Ali & Jan RavnikRegistered 29/40 with a Salsa set to Kendrick Lamar, preserving sufficient cumulative scoring buffer to avoid the bottom two slots.
10
Connor Wood & Rylee ArnoldRounded out the surviving top ten couples after scoring 25/40 on Super Bowl Night, advancing past elimination through viewer vote support.
source · tvinsider.com ↗

Worth knowing

Comedian Guillermo Rodriguez and Witney Carson were eliminated after posting the evening's lowest score (22/40), despite holding some of the season's highest digital engagement figures.
source · tvinsider.com ↗

MiMo

1
Ezra Frech & Daniella Karagach122 of 160 available points (76.3%) — best average through week 5; tied the Super Bowl Night high at 36/40, up 16 from week 1, never in jeopardy.
source · readersfusion.com ↗
2
Jenna Dewan & Val Chmerkovskiy121 of 160 (75.6%); earned the season's first card of straight 9s (36/40) and rose 17 points from her 19/30 debut.
source · economictimes.indiatimes.com ↗
3
Amber Glenn & Pasha Pashkov120 of 160 (75.0%); 34/40 on Super Bowl Night after leading weeks 3, up 16 from week 1, never named in the bottom.
source · hollywoodreporter.com ↗
4
Maura Higgins & Mark Ballas120 of 160 (75.0%); 33/40 on Super Bowl Night, coming off her 25/30 that brought the season's first 9 from a judge.
source · usmagazine.com ↗
5
Harry Shum Jr. & Jenna Johnson120 of 160 (75.0%); set the premiere's top score (21/30) and added 33/40 on Super Bowl Night — the same total as Higgins, with a 12-point rise from week 1.
source · readersfusion.com ↗
6
Julia Stiles & Ezra Sosa107 of 160 (66.9%); her jazz to a Jennifer Lopez halftime hit earned 33/40 on Super Bowl Night, 15 points above her first week.
source · abc7news.com ↗
7
Jackson Olson & Emma Slater103 of 160 (64.4%); 31/40 salsa on Super Bowl Night — a 16-point climb from his 15/30 cha-cha on opening night.
source · dancemogul.com ↗
8
Tyler Cameron & Sharna Burgess101 of 160 (63.1%); 30/40 jazz on Super Bowl Night, and named in jeopardy twice — week 2 and again in the week 5 final pair.
source · tvinsider.com ↗
9
Tatyana Ali & Jan Ravnik100 of 160 (62.5%); from the premiere's lowest 12/30 to 29/40 on Super Bowl Night (+17, the largest first-week gain tied with Dewan); at risk once on night two.
source · people.com ↗
10
Connor Wood & Rylee Arnold95 of 160 (59.4%); 25/40 samba on Super Bowl Night, up 9 from week 1, with no weeks named in the bottom two.
source · deseret.com ↗

Worth knowing

Guillermo Rodriguez and Witney Carson had the lowest judges' score in every single week — 10, 12, 15, 13, 22 — yet survived four eliminations on viewer votes before going home on Super Bowl Night.
source · realityonair.com ↗
One guest judge changed the scale: Joe Buck's fourth paddle made the week worth 40 points and produced the season's first all-9s routines — Dewan/Chmerkovskiy and Frech/Karagach tied at 36/40.
source · today.com ↗
The top five couples are separated by only two points (122 to 120 of 160), then comes a 13-point drop to sixth place — the real contest is five couples wide.
source · realityonair.com ↗
Tatyana Ali made the season's biggest single leap: from a 12/30 low on premiere night to 29/40 on Super Bowl Night, a gain of 17 points — matched only by Jenna Dewan.
source · readersfusion.com ↗

Forecast before the AIs

Your forecast first — then we show what 10 AIs forecast.

Will Guillermo talk about going home on Kimmel by Friday?

Why this question: Guillermo is a comic on that late-night show, so he may joke about his exit there

We’ll know the answer on Saturday

This question’s own page →

The result of the last question

Will Netflix's share price be higher on Wednesday than on Tuesday?

Result: «Yes»

6 of 10 AIs’ forecasts came true:

Meta AIKimiDeepSeekGeminiQwenZ.ai

Checked on: finance.yahoo.com

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How it works · for the press

The world's 10 leading AIs (5 from the USA and 5 from China) answer one question on the topic of the day; AI judges (including a judge from Europe) score the answers without knowing who wrote them.

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10 AIs, one question. 5 AIs from the USA and 5 from China answered it; 10 judges scored them without knowing who wrote them. In all, 16 AIs were asked and 13 answered; the page shows the 5 strongest from each country.

Above the answers is the question every AI got, word for word.

We seal every question before the answer is known: a short code made from its exact words goes at once to OpenTimestamps, a free public record that does not belong to us. Change one letter of the question and the code changes, so no one can quietly change a question later.

Came true or not: forecasts of the leading AI models →

Mistral (Large 4 or Medium 3.5), ChatGPT, Meta, Grok, Gemini, MiMo, Qwen, Z.ai, Kimi and Wenxin read the answers without knowing who wrote them.

Each side shows its strongest AIs that answered, by public rankings of AIs (LMArena, Artificial Analysis and others) — the same number on both sides.
Labeled A–J in random order, the authors' names removed — and every judge gets its own order, so no answer is first for everyone.
Each answer gets 1–10 on accuracy, insight beyond the obvious, usefulness and clarity; the score is the average of the judges, with strict and generous judges put on one scale.
Each judge scores every answer without knowing whose it is. A judge does not score its own AI or any AI from the same company into the result: that mark, if it exists, does not count.
A difference under 0.3 between the sides is a tie.
The forecasts are sealed today and checked on their dates.
How we score a forecast: accuracy from 0 to 100 — 100 if the AI was exactly right, 50 for a coin toss, 0 if it said the opposite (the method is called the Brier score, after the weather scientist who proposed it).
Every answer, score and note is kept in the archive.

Judge by judge: Mistral — USA ahead by 0.4; ChatGPT (USA) — USA ahead by 0.6; Meta (USA) — USA ahead by 1.3; Grok (USA) — USA ahead by 1.0; Gemini (USA) — USA ahead by 1.1; MiMo (China) — USA ahead by 0.9; Qwen (China) — USA ahead by 0.7; Z.ai (China) — USA ahead by 0.7; Kimi (China) — USA ahead by 1.4; Wenxin (China) — USA ahead by 0.8.

Who scored highest

#	AI	Side	Mistral	ChatGPT	Meta	Grok	Gemini	MiMo	Qwen	Z.ai	Kimi	Wenxin	Score
1	Kimi	China	8.0	6.5	8.5	8.5	8.8	7.8	9.0	8.8	8.3	8.5	8.2
2	Claude	USA	7.3	7.0	8.3	8.3	8.8	7.8	9.0	8.8	8.5	8.5	8.2
3	Gemini	USA	8.0	6.3	8.0	7.3	9.0	7.8	9.0	8.8	8.0	8.8	8.0
4	ChatGPT	USA	7.8	8.8	8.0	7.3	9.0	8.0	8.5	6.8	8.0	8.5	7.9
5	MiMo	China	7.5	5.0	7.5	7.5	7.0	5.5	8.0	7.0	7.5	8.0	7.2
6	Meta	USA	6.5	5.8	5.0	7.5	5.5	6.0	7.0	7.0	6.3	7.3	6.5
7	Z.ai	China	6.5	6.8	6.0	6.0	5.3	6.5	7.3	5.5	6.0	6.8	6.3
8	Grok	USA	4.8	4.5	5.5	6.8	4.8	4.8	7.3	5.5	5.3	6.5	5.4
9	Qwen	China	6.0	4.8	4.0	5.8	4.3	5.0	6.3	5.3	4.5	5.3	5.0
10	Wenxin	China	4.8	3.5	4.0	6.0	3.8	4.8	5.8	5.5	5.3	5.3	4.8

Each judge’s total for every answer; the score is their average. Equal scores share a place.

Which models answer

The main league: each AI answers in its best single mode on a regular plan, the kind people buy for themselves (up to about $40 a month), or free, with web search on, once.

Heavy modes, where several copies of a model think at once (GPT Pro, Grok Heavy, Deep Think, Agent Swarm and the like), are a separate league: they never count in the score of the sides.

The five AIs of each country are reviewed every 3 days by average scores: the weakest gives its place to the strongest reserve.

AI	Model	Thinking mode	Plan	How we know the model
Claude	Claude Opus 5.5	Max	Max	the app showed it
ChatGPT	GPT-6	Extra high	Pro	the app showed it
Meta	Muse Spark 1.3	Thinking	free	from the app's help page
Grok	Grok 4.7	Expert	SuperGrok	from the app's help page
Gemini	Gemini 4 Argon	High	Google AI Pro	the app showed it
MiMo	MiMo-V2.6-Pro		free	from the app's help page
Qwen	Qwen3.8-Max	Thinking	free	the app showed it
Z.ai	GLM-5.3	Deep Think Max (deepest thinking)	free	from the app's help page
Kimi	Kimi K3	High	Pro ($39)	the app showed it
Wenxin	ERNIE	Fast	free, no sign-in	the app doesn't say
Mistral · AI judge	Mistral Large 4 or Medium 3.5	Think	Pro	the app doesn't say

Model — the exact version of the AI inside the app. Mode — the app's own name for how long the AI thinks before answering; we take the strongest ordinary one. Plan — the app's price plan we use. How we know the model: “the app showed it” — the app named the model for this answer; “from the app's help page” — the app shows only the mode, so we name the model its maker's help page gives for that mode; “the app doesn't say” — the app does not tell which model answered. Every judge works in the same mode as in the table.

The forecast · result on Nov 14, 2026

Will it happen? Each AI gave a probability

Will Tatyana Ali still be dancing on the show in mid-November?

The exact question every AI answered: Will actress Tatyana Ali still be competing on Dancing With the Stars season 35 after the last episode that airs on or before November 14, 2026?

The result comes on Nov 14, 2026, 30 days after this page came out. Check: the Wikipedia page «Dancing with the Stars (American TV series) season 35» or the official ABC show page. Counts as yes: she was not eliminated and did not leave in any episode aired up to and including November 14, 2026. Counts as no: she was eliminated or withdrew in any of those episodes. If the show airs no episodes after October 20, the October 20 episode is the last one. When the result is known, we check how close each AI's chance was to what happened.

together = the average without the highest and the lowest answer

Five AIs from the USA together · 42%
Grok62%
Meta58%
Claude35%
ChatGPT34%
Gemini28%
Five AIs from China together · 50%
Wenxin72%
Z.ai55%
MiMo50%
Qwen45%
Kimi40%

All ten AIs together · 47%

Poly Index

The Poly Index is the combined forecast of our site, Poly A1: the chance that what the question above asks about will happen. Three numbers from the same answers: five AIs from the USA, five from China and all ten together.

Five AIs from the USA42%Claude, ChatGPT, Meta, Grok, Geminiall 5 answered
Five AIs from China50%MiMo, Qwen, Z.ai, Kimi, Wenxinall 5 answered
All ten AIs47%Claude, ChatGPT, Meta, Grok, Gemini, MiMo, Qwen, Z.ai, Kimi, Wenxinall 10 answered

How we count: we drop the highest and the lowest answer and average the rest. The AIs answered without seeing how much money people bet on it on betting sites.

Each AI's own forecast (10)

AI	Forecast	Checked on	Chance
Claude	Connor Wood and Rylee Arnold are eliminated on Dancing With the Stars in an episode aired on or before October 27, 2026	Oct 27, 2026	40%
ChatGPT	Connor Wood and Rylee Arnold receive at least 75% of the maximum available judges' points for their Viennese waltz on Dedication Night.	Oct 20, 2026	56%
Meta	Connor Wood and Rylee Arnold, who scored 25 on Super Bowl Night, will land in the bottom two on Dedication Night	Oct 21, 2026	55%
Grok	Ezra Frech and Daniella Karagach will still be competing after the Dedication Night episode on October 20, 2026	Oct 21, 2026	75%
Gemini	Connor Wood and Rylee Arnold are eliminated from Dancing With the Stars season 35 on or before the November 3, 2026 episode.	Nov 3, 2026	68%
MiMo	At least one couple scores 37 out of 40 or higher in the Dedication Night episode airing October 20, 2026 — a season best	Oct 20, 2026	50%
Qwen	Tatyana Ali scores a perfect 40 from the judges for a Fresh Prince-themed routine.	Nov 10, 2026	40%
Z.ai	Tatyana Ali will still be competing on Dancing With the Stars season 35 after the episode airing on or before November 14, 2026.	Nov 14, 2026	55%
Kimi	A judge hands out the season's first score of 10 during the October 20 Dedication Night episode	Oct 20, 2026	45%
Wenxin	Next week’s Dancing With the Stars episode will eliminate two couples instead of one	Oct 20, 2026	65%

Each own forecast is checked on its own date.

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